Betting tips from AI for Elche CF vs Sevilla, 19 January 2026.
AI Consensus
1.47
Home win
6 of 6 AI models pick Elche CF to win at
1.47
ChatGPT tip
Elche CF win
1.47
ChatGPT prediction for Elche CF vs Sevilla, 19 January 2026.
Sevilla arrive in clear crisis — four straight defeats, a 0.27 xG showing in their last home loss and a winless run on the road that makes them vulnerable.
Elche’s home form (five wins in 10, solid defensive shape) and Dimers’ model backing (41.5% vs Sevilla 31.5% and draw 27%) make the hosts the sensible pick. The bookmaker quotes 2.27 for Elche, while Sevilla and the draw sit at 3.36 and 3.39 respectively. Back Elche CF to exploit Sevilla’s tactical struggles and fragile away record.
Elche’s home form (five wins in 10, solid defensive shape) and Dimers’ model backing (41.5% vs Sevilla 31.5% and draw 27%) make the hosts the sensible pick. The bookmaker quotes 2.27 for Elche, while Sevilla and the draw sit at 3.36 and 3.39 respectively. Back Elche CF to exploit Sevilla’s tactical struggles and fragile away record.
Gemini tip
Elche CF win
1.47
Gemini prediction for Elche CF vs Sevilla, 19 January 2026.
This La Liga clash sees a struggling Sevilla side, mired in a four-game losing streak and just three points above the relegation zone, travel to an Elche team showing promising form at home. Sevilla's tactical struggles under Matias Almeyda are evident, with a paltry 0.27 expected goals in their last home loss. They've also failed to win away in their last five, conceding an average of 1.80 goals in their last 10 away matches.
In contrast, Elche boasts a formidable home record, with five wins and four draws in their last 10 at home. Their defensive organization, despite a recent Copa del Rey loss, has impressed. Predictive models from Dimers and expert analysts like Sports Gambler and Scores24 heavily favor Elche, citing a 41.5% win probability and even projecting 1-0 or 2-1 victories. At 2.27, Elche represents excellent value given their strong home advantage and Sevilla's deep crisis. This looks like a prime opportunity for the home side to secure three crucial points.
In contrast, Elche boasts a formidable home record, with five wins and four draws in their last 10 at home. Their defensive organization, despite a recent Copa del Rey loss, has impressed. Predictive models from Dimers and expert analysts like Sports Gambler and Scores24 heavily favor Elche, citing a 41.5% win probability and even projecting 1-0 or 2-1 victories. At 2.27, Elche represents excellent value given their strong home advantage and Sevilla's deep crisis. This looks like a prime opportunity for the home side to secure three crucial points.
Claude tip
Elche CF win
1.47
Claude prediction for Elche CF vs Sevilla, 19 January 2026.
Elche's home advantage appears decisive against a struggling Sevilla side in crisis. The hosts' impressive home record of five wins in their last ten matches contrasts sharply with Sevilla's dismal away form, where they've failed to win in five consecutive road games.
The predictive models strongly favor Elche, with Dimers giving them a 41.5% win probability compared to Sevilla's 31.5%. This aligns with recent performances - Sevilla have lost four straight matches across all competitions and managed just 0.27 expected goals despite dominating possession against Celta Vigo.
With Sevilla languishing in 16th place and just three points above relegation, their confidence appears shattered. Meanwhile, Elche sit comfortably in 10th and have demonstrated solid defensive organization even in defeat.
The 2.27 odds on Elche represent excellent value given the circumstances. Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities and Elche's attacking threat at home make this a prime opportunity to back the hosts for a likely 2-1 victory.
The predictive models strongly favor Elche, with Dimers giving them a 41.5% win probability compared to Sevilla's 31.5%. This aligns with recent performances - Sevilla have lost four straight matches across all competitions and managed just 0.27 expected goals despite dominating possession against Celta Vigo.
With Sevilla languishing in 16th place and just three points above relegation, their confidence appears shattered. Meanwhile, Elche sit comfortably in 10th and have demonstrated solid defensive organization even in defeat.
The 2.27 odds on Elche represent excellent value given the circumstances. Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities and Elche's attacking threat at home make this a prime opportunity to back the hosts for a likely 2-1 victory.
Grok tip
Elche CF win
1.47
Grok prediction for Elche CF vs Sevilla, 19 January 2026.
Elche CF hosts Sevilla in a pivotal La Liga clash, and the home side looks poised to capitalize on their opponents' woes. Sitting comfortably in 10th with 23 points, Elche has been a fortress at home, boasting five wins, four draws, and just one loss in their last 10 outings, while averaging a solid 1.70 goals scored per game. Their defensive setup shone even in a narrow 2-1 Copa del Rey defeat to Real Betis last week, showcasing resilience that could trouble a faltering Sevilla.
Sevilla, meanwhile, are in freefall, mired in 16th place with only 20 points and teetering three points above relegation. They've endured four straight losses across competitions, including a dismal 1-0 home defeat to Celta Vigo where they mustered a mere 0.27 expected goals despite dominating possession. Away form is even grimmer: no wins in their last five road trips and six defeats in the past 10, conceding 1.80 goals on average. Under coach Matias Almeyda, tactical issues persist, making them vulnerable to Elche's attacking threat.
Expert models back this narrative—Dimers gives Elche a 41.5% win probability over Sevilla's 31.5%, with a 27% draw chance from 10,000 simulations. Analysts at Sports Gambler and Scores24 predict Elche triumphs, like a 2-1 or 1-0 scoreline, highlighting Sevilla's defensive frailties. With Elche at 2.27 offering strong value against Sevilla's 3.36 and draw at 3.39, this screams a profitable home bet. Expect Elche to grind out a victory, keeping the under 2.5 goals line in play at 55% likelihood.
Sevilla, meanwhile, are in freefall, mired in 16th place with only 20 points and teetering three points above relegation. They've endured four straight losses across competitions, including a dismal 1-0 home defeat to Celta Vigo where they mustered a mere 0.27 expected goals despite dominating possession. Away form is even grimmer: no wins in their last five road trips and six defeats in the past 10, conceding 1.80 goals on average. Under coach Matias Almeyda, tactical issues persist, making them vulnerable to Elche's attacking threat.
Expert models back this narrative—Dimers gives Elche a 41.5% win probability over Sevilla's 31.5%, with a 27% draw chance from 10,000 simulations. Analysts at Sports Gambler and Scores24 predict Elche triumphs, like a 2-1 or 1-0 scoreline, highlighting Sevilla's defensive frailties. With Elche at 2.27 offering strong value against Sevilla's 3.36 and draw at 3.39, this screams a profitable home bet. Expect Elche to grind out a victory, keeping the under 2.5 goals line in play at 55% likelihood.
DeepSeek tip
Elche CF win
1.47
DeepSeek prediction for Elche CF vs Sevilla, 19 January 2026.
Elche CF rides a wave of home confidence, with five wins in their last ten matches at Estadio Martínez Valero. Sevilla's crisis deepens after four consecutive defeats, highlighting their road woes and defensive fragility.
Predictive models like Dimers assign Elche a 41.5% win probability, and analysts tout them as strong value picks. The odds of 2.27 present a lucrative opportunity given the hosts' edge.
While Sevilla's 3.36 odds are tempting, their form and Elche's resilience make the home side the profitable bet for this La Liga encounter.
Predictive models like Dimers assign Elche a 41.5% win probability, and analysts tout them as strong value picks. The odds of 2.27 present a lucrative opportunity given the hosts' edge.
While Sevilla's 3.36 odds are tempting, their form and Elche's resilience make the home side the profitable bet for this La Liga encounter.
Qwen tip
Elche CF win
1.47
Qwen prediction for Elche CF vs Sevilla, 19 January 2026.
Elche CF looks to be in a strong position heading into this La Liga clash against Sevilla, with multiple factors tipping the scales in their favor. Dimers' predictive model gives Elche a 41.5% chance of victory compared to Sevilla's 31.5%, and experts like Sports Gambler analysts are backing the hosts as value picks at 2.27. Their solid home form—five wins, four draws, and just one loss in their last 10 matches—combined with Sevilla’s alarming dip in performance makes this a compelling case for an Elche win.
Sevilla’s struggles cannot be overstated. They’ve lost four consecutive matches, including a dire showing against Celta Vigo where they mustered only 0.27 expected goals despite controlling possession. Under coach Matias Almeyda, tactical issues have surfaced, and their away record is abysmal, failing to secure a win in five straight games while conceding an average of 1.80 goals per match. Meanwhile, Elche has demonstrated defensive resilience even in defeat, as seen in their narrow Copa del Rey loss to Real Betis.
The odds reflect opportunity, with Elche priced attractively at 2.27 compared to Sevilla’s 3.36. While both teams scoring is projected in about half of simulations, Sevilla’s current vulnerabilities make it hard to trust them here. A low-scoring affair seems likely given Elche’s defensive discipline and Sevilla’s lack of attacking threat, aligning with Dimers’ prediction of under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
Ultimately, Elche’s home dominance and Sevilla’s ongoing crisis point firmly toward a home victory.
Sevilla’s struggles cannot be overstated. They’ve lost four consecutive matches, including a dire showing against Celta Vigo where they mustered only 0.27 expected goals despite controlling possession. Under coach Matias Almeyda, tactical issues have surfaced, and their away record is abysmal, failing to secure a win in five straight games while conceding an average of 1.80 goals per match. Meanwhile, Elche has demonstrated defensive resilience even in defeat, as seen in their narrow Copa del Rey loss to Real Betis.
The odds reflect opportunity, with Elche priced attractively at 2.27 compared to Sevilla’s 3.36. While both teams scoring is projected in about half of simulations, Sevilla’s current vulnerabilities make it hard to trust them here. A low-scoring affair seems likely given Elche’s defensive discipline and Sevilla’s lack of attacking threat, aligning with Dimers’ prediction of under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
Ultimately, Elche’s home dominance and Sevilla’s ongoing crisis point firmly toward a home victory.
Match News
# Elche vs. Sevilla: Match Preview & Analysis
## Predictions & Expert Opinions
• Dimers' predictive model favors Elche with a 41.5% win probability compared to Sevilla's 31.5%, with a 27% chance of a draw based on 10,000 simulations[1].
• Sports Gambler analysts back Elche as strong value picks, believing the home side will outperform their visiting opponents[3].
• Scores24 editors predict a 2-1 Elche victory, highlighting the hosts' formidable home record and Sevilla's tactical struggles under coach Matias Almeyda[2].
• Football Whispers projects an Elche 1-0 win as the most likely correct score[6].
## Recent Form & Context
• Elche enter on mixed form after losing 2-1 to Real Betis in the Copa del Rey last week, though their defensive organization impressed despite the defeat[2].
• Sevilla are in crisis, suffering four consecutive defeats across all competitions, including a 1-0 home loss to Celta Vigo where they managed just 0.27 expected goals despite 59% possession[2][4].
• Elche sit 10th in La Liga with 23 points from 19 matches, while Sevilla languish in 16th place with only 20 points—just three points above the relegation zone[4].
• The hosts boast a strong home record with five wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 10 matches, averaging 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded[3].
• Sevilla have failed to win away in their last five games, posting six defeats in their past 10 away matches with an average of 1.80 goals conceded[3].
## Betting Insights
• Both teams are projected to score in approximately 50% of outcomes, with Elche's attacking threat particularly highlighted given Sevilla's recent defensive vulnerabilities[1][2].
• The over/under 2.5 goals line favors the under at 55% probability according to Dimers' model[1].
## Predictions & Expert Opinions
• Dimers' predictive model favors Elche with a 41.5% win probability compared to Sevilla's 31.5%, with a 27% chance of a draw based on 10,000 simulations[1].
• Sports Gambler analysts back Elche as strong value picks, believing the home side will outperform their visiting opponents[3].
• Scores24 editors predict a 2-1 Elche victory, highlighting the hosts' formidable home record and Sevilla's tactical struggles under coach Matias Almeyda[2].
• Football Whispers projects an Elche 1-0 win as the most likely correct score[6].
## Recent Form & Context
• Elche enter on mixed form after losing 2-1 to Real Betis in the Copa del Rey last week, though their defensive organization impressed despite the defeat[2].
• Sevilla are in crisis, suffering four consecutive defeats across all competitions, including a 1-0 home loss to Celta Vigo where they managed just 0.27 expected goals despite 59% possession[2][4].
• Elche sit 10th in La Liga with 23 points from 19 matches, while Sevilla languish in 16th place with only 20 points—just three points above the relegation zone[4].
• The hosts boast a strong home record with five wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 10 matches, averaging 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded[3].
• Sevilla have failed to win away in their last five games, posting six defeats in their past 10 away matches with an average of 1.80 goals conceded[3].
## Betting Insights
• Both teams are projected to score in approximately 50% of outcomes, with Elche's attacking threat particularly highlighted given Sevilla's recent defensive vulnerabilities[1][2].
• The over/under 2.5 goals line favors the under at 55% probability according to Dimers' model[1].
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