Betting tips from AI for Elias Ymer vs Alexander Shevchenko, 19 January 2026.

I take Elias Ymer as the value play — his perfect 3-0 qualifying run and a 2-0 head-to-head edge (including a straight-sets win in Mallorca) make this more than a gut upset.

Markets and pundits heap praise on Alexander Shevchenko and the books price him as the favorite (1.56), but his mixed lead-up in 2026 and losses to Ugo Humbert and Marton Fucsovics create a vulnerability. Tipster confidence and a 62–66% market sentiment have likely compressed Shevchenko's line.

Ymer arrives with rhythm, confidence on serve and return, and real matchup history; at 2.56 his price offers tangible value. I expect Ymer to push hard and pull off an upset, so I back Elias Ymer.

The betting markets are heavily backing Alexander Shevchenko at 1.56, with top tipsters like konstantinosg even calling for a straight-sets victory. However, a deeper dive reveals significant value in Elias Ymer. Despite Shevchenko's higher ranking, Ymer holds a perfect 2-0 head-to-head record against him, including a dominant straight-sets win last summer. Ymer is also riding a wave of confidence, having blasted through qualifiers with a perfect 3-0 record, showcasing excellent form. Shevchenko, on the other hand, has had a mixed start to 2026, with losses to Humbert and Fucsovics. The market seems to be overlooking Ymer's historical dominance over Shevchenko and his current hot streak. At 2.56, Ymer presents a compelling upset opportunity.

While Alexander Shevchenko enters as the bookmakers' favorite at 1.56, Elias Ymer's perfect 3-0 qualifying run and historical dominance over Shevchenko cannot be overlooked. The Swede holds a commanding 2-0 head-to-head record, including a straight-sets victory in their most recent encounter in Mallorca.

Shevchenko's inconsistent 2026 form (4-2) raises questions, particularly his losses to Humbert and Fucsovics in Adelaide. Meanwhile, Ymer's momentum through qualifiers demonstrates his comfort on the Melbourne courts.

Despite top predictor konstantinosg backing Shevchenko for a straight-sets win, the value lies with Ymer at 2.56. Tennis Tonic's prediction of a five-set thriller suggests this match is closer than odds indicate.

Ymer's psychological edge from previous victories combined with his current form creates the perfect storm for an upset. When factoring in the underdog value, Ymer represents the superior betting opportunity in this Round of 128 clash.

In the Australian Open's Round of 128, Elias Ymer faces Alexander Shevchenko in a matchup dripping with intrigue and upset potential. Ymer, the Swedish qualifier, has been on fire, storming through the prelims with a flawless 3-0 record, including dominant wins over Chak Lam Coleman Wong, Elmer Moeller, and Alex Bolt. His momentum is palpable, and he's got the psychological edge with a perfect 2-0 head-to-head record against Shevchenko, highlighted by a straight-sets demolition in Mallorca last summer.

Shevchenko, the higher-ranked Russian, enters as the favorite at 1.56, backed by markets implying a 62-66% win probability. His 2026 form is solid but uneven at 4-2, with cruise-control victories over Carlos Taberner and Filip Misolic offset by stumbles against Ugo Humbert and Marton Fucsovics in Adelaide. Tipsters like konstantinosg are pounding the Shevchenko moneyline for straight-sets glory, but Ymer's underdog value at 2.56 screams opportunity.

While Tennis Tonic envisions a grueling five-setter favoring Shevchenko's ranking, I'm betting on Ymer's qualifier grit and H2H dominance to flip the script. This rematch could be Ymer's breakthrough—back him to profit on the $1 wager.

Alexander Shevchenko is the market favorite at 1.56, with tipsters like konstantinosg projecting a straight-sets win and Tennis Tonic predicting a tough five-set battle. His higher ranking and ability to handle elite opponents, despite mixed 2026 form, give him an edge.

Elias Ymer's perfect qualifier run and 2-0 head-to-head record, including a recent straight-sets victory, make him a live underdog at 2.56. However, Shevchenko's consistency and betting market confidence at 62-66% win probability suggest he will overcome past setbacks for a profitable outcome.

This Australian Open clash between Elias Ymer and Alexander Shevchenko presents an intriguing betting opportunity, with the odds painting a clear picture of market expectations. Shevchenko enters as the favorite at 1.56, reflecting his higher ranking and perceived consistency on hard courts. Meanwhile, Ymer's upset potential is reflected in his generous odds of 2.56, bolstered by his perfect 3-0 run into this match.

Ymer’s recent dominance over Shevchenko cannot be ignored. His 2-0 head-to-head record includes a commanding straight-sets victory last summer in Mallorca, which could provide a psychological edge. However, Shevchenko’s form in 2026 has been solid overall, with notable wins against quality opponents like Carlos Taberner and Filip Misolic. The Russian’s mixed results suggest he’s beatable but far from outclassed.

The betting markets heavily lean toward Shevchenko, assigning him a 62-66% win probability. This aligns with expert opinions like konstantinosg’s prediction of a straight-sets victory. Yet, the narrative shifts when considering Ymer’s current momentum. His three consecutive qualifying wins demonstrate sharpness and confidence heading into Melbourne Park.

Given the circumstances, backing Ymer at 2.56 offers strong value. While Shevchenko is favored, Ymer’s proven ability to exploit his opponent’s weaknesses makes him a compelling underdog pick. Tennis Tonic’s prediction of a grueling battle hints at potential struggles for Shevchenko, further tilting the scales toward Ymer.