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Betting tips from AI for Erik Badillo vs Elwin Soto, 30 November 2025.
AI Consensus
2.18
Away win
4 of 6 AI models pick Elwin Soto to win at
2.18
ChatGPT tip
Erik Badillo win
1.77
ChatGPT prediction for Erik Badillo vs Elwin Soto, 30 November 2025.
In Fresno’s co-feature, unbeaten WBC No.1 Erik Badillo (18-0, 8 KOs) meets former WBO champ Elwin Soto. The market lists Badillo at 1.77 versus Soto’s 2.18 (draw 17.00).
Badillo brings steadier form, a two-inch height edge, and consistent activity. Soto still carries real pop (62% KO rate) but he’s coming off hand injuries and just one fight in the last year—a split nod over Moises Caro—raising rust and reliability questions.
At 1.77 the implied ~56.5% underrates Badillo; I price him around 60–62% thanks to size, jab-first discipline, and clearer momentum. Expect him to control range, blunt Soto’s counters, and bank rounds down the stretch.
Bet: Badillo moneyline. The draw is a pass at 17.00.
Badillo brings steadier form, a two-inch height edge, and consistent activity. Soto still carries real pop (62% KO rate) but he’s coming off hand injuries and just one fight in the last year—a split nod over Moises Caro—raising rust and reliability questions.
At 1.77 the implied ~56.5% underrates Badillo; I price him around 60–62% thanks to size, jab-first discipline, and clearer momentum. Expect him to control range, blunt Soto’s counters, and bank rounds down the stretch.
Bet: Badillo moneyline. The draw is a pass at 17.00.
Gemini tip
Elwin Soto win
2.18
Gemini prediction for Erik Badillo vs Elwin Soto, 30 November 2025.
This junior flyweight eliminator presents a classic crossroads fight. On one side, you have the undefeated prospect, Erik Badillo, who brings a pristine 18-0 record and the WBC's top ranking into the ring. The oddsmakers have him as a slight favorite at 1.77, likely factoring in his momentum and two-inch height advantage.
On the other side stands Elwin Soto, a former WBO world champion seeking redemption. Soto's path is more complicated; he's returning from a year-long layoff due to hand injuries, a significant concern for any fighter. However, his experience and power are undeniable. With a formidable 62% knockout rate compared to Badillo's 44%, Soto possesses the fight-ending ability that can negate any scorecard advantage.
While Badillo is untested at this elite level, Soto has been there and done that. The value lies with the proven veteran. Despite the layoff, getting a former world champion with this kind of power at underdog odds of 2.18 is too good to pass up. Soto's championship experience should be the deciding factor in a high-stakes bout.
On the other side stands Elwin Soto, a former WBO world champion seeking redemption. Soto's path is more complicated; he's returning from a year-long layoff due to hand injuries, a significant concern for any fighter. However, his experience and power are undeniable. With a formidable 62% knockout rate compared to Badillo's 44%, Soto possesses the fight-ending ability that can negate any scorecard advantage.
While Badillo is untested at this elite level, Soto has been there and done that. The value lies with the proven veteran. Despite the layoff, getting a former world champion with this kind of power at underdog odds of 2.18 is too good to pass up. Soto's championship experience should be the deciding factor in a high-stakes bout.
Claude tip
Elwin Soto win
2.18
Claude prediction for Erik Badillo vs Elwin Soto, 30 November 2025.
This junior flyweight eliminator presents a classic clash between undefeated prospect and proven champion. Erik Badillo's perfect 18-0 record and WBC top ranking at 108 pounds showcases his rising star status, while his two-inch height advantage could prove crucial in controlling distance.
However, Elwin Soto's championship pedigree and superior knockout ratio (62% vs 44%) cannot be overlooked. The former WBO titleholder returns after a year battling hand injuries, but his experience at elite level and proven finishing power make him dangerous.
Soto's ring rust from inactivity is the primary concern, but his split decision victory over Moises Caro in his last outing demonstrated he still possesses championship-caliber skills. The 2.18 odds on Soto offer excellent value for a former world champion facing an untested prospect at this level.
However, Elwin Soto's championship pedigree and superior knockout ratio (62% vs 44%) cannot be overlooked. The former WBO titleholder returns after a year battling hand injuries, but his experience at elite level and proven finishing power make him dangerous.
Soto's ring rust from inactivity is the primary concern, but his split decision victory over Moises Caro in his last outing demonstrated he still possesses championship-caliber skills. The 2.18 odds on Soto offer excellent value for a former world champion facing an untested prospect at this level.
Grok tip
Erik Badillo win
1.77
Grok prediction for Erik Badillo vs Elwin Soto, 30 November 2025.
Erik Badillo steps into the ring as the undefeated prospect with an impressive 18-0 record, including eight knockouts, and he's currently the WBC's top-ranked fighter at 108 pounds. This junior flyweight clash at Fresno's Save Mart Arena feels like a perfect stage for Badillo to showcase his skills against a battle-tested opponent.
Elwin Soto, the former WBO world champion, is hungry for redemption after a year off due to hand injuries, but his last fight was a close split decision win over Moises Caro back in November 2024. While Soto boasts a higher knockout rate at 62 percent compared to Badillo's 44 percent, suggesting he packs serious power, Badillo's two-inch height advantage and undefeated streak give him the edge in what promises to be a tactical battle.
With odds favoring Badillo at 1.77 and Soto at 2.18, I'm betting on the rising star to keep his perfect record intact. This eliminator bout could propel Badillo toward title contention, making it a smart play for bettors looking for value in a favored fighter.
Elwin Soto, the former WBO world champion, is hungry for redemption after a year off due to hand injuries, but his last fight was a close split decision win over Moises Caro back in November 2024. While Soto boasts a higher knockout rate at 62 percent compared to Badillo's 44 percent, suggesting he packs serious power, Badillo's two-inch height advantage and undefeated streak give him the edge in what promises to be a tactical battle.
With odds favoring Badillo at 1.77 and Soto at 2.18, I'm betting on the rising star to keep his perfect record intact. This eliminator bout could propel Badillo toward title contention, making it a smart play for bettors looking for value in a favored fighter.
DeepSeek tip
Elwin Soto win
2.18
DeepSeek prediction for Erik Badillo vs Elwin Soto, 30 November 2025.
Erik Badillo enters as the undefeated WBC top-ranked contender at 108 pounds, bringing an 18-0 record and a two-inch height advantage that could dictate the fight's range. However, Elwin Soto's proven knockout power, with a 62% KO rate, and his experience as a former world champion make him a live underdog. While Badillo is the favorite at 1.77, Soto's redemption quest and significant power edge at 2.18 offer excellent value for a fighter capable of ending this eliminator with one punch.
Given the stylistic clash, Soto's superior finishing ability and higher level of past competition provide a clear path to victory, making his plus-money odds an attractive bet in a closely matched bout.
Given the stylistic clash, Soto's superior finishing ability and higher level of past competition provide a clear path to victory, making his plus-money odds an attractive bet in a closely matched bout.
Qwen tip
Elwin Soto win
2.18
Qwen prediction for Erik Badillo vs Elwin Soto, 30 November 2025.
Erik Badillo enters this junior flyweight eliminator as the betting favorite with odds of 1.77, and for good reason. His undefeated 18-0 record, combined with a two-inch height advantage, gives him an edge in reach and precision against Elwin Soto. Badillo’s consistency has been evident throughout his career, though his knockout rate of 44% suggests he may lack the raw power to decisively end fights early.
Elwin Soto, on the other hand, is a former WBO world champion with a dangerous 62% knockout rate across his 21 wins. Despite being away from the ring for nearly a year due to hand injuries, Soto’s experience at the highest level cannot be underestimated. He demonstrated resilience in his last bout, defeating Moises Caro by split decision, showcasing his ability to adapt under pressure. The odds of 2.18 for Soto present significant value, especially considering his track record and finishing ability.
The fight’s dynamics could hinge on Badillo’s ability to manage distance and use his jab effectively. However, Soto’s hunger for redemption and proven power make him a live underdog. While the draw option exists at 17.00, it’s unlikely given both fighters’ aggressive styles.
Considering Soto’s championship pedigree and knockout threat, backing him at 2.18 offers a strong opportunity for profit.
Elwin Soto, on the other hand, is a former WBO world champion with a dangerous 62% knockout rate across his 21 wins. Despite being away from the ring for nearly a year due to hand injuries, Soto’s experience at the highest level cannot be underestimated. He demonstrated resilience in his last bout, defeating Moises Caro by split decision, showcasing his ability to adapt under pressure. The odds of 2.18 for Soto present significant value, especially considering his track record and finishing ability.
The fight’s dynamics could hinge on Badillo’s ability to manage distance and use his jab effectively. However, Soto’s hunger for redemption and proven power make him a live underdog. While the draw option exists at 17.00, it’s unlikely given both fighters’ aggressive styles.
Considering Soto’s championship pedigree and knockout threat, backing him at 2.18 offers a strong opportunity for profit.
Match News
# Erik Badillo vs. Elwin Soto: Pre-Fight News
Badillo Enters as Undefeated Prospect — The 29-year-old Mexican fighter brings a perfect 18-0 record into Saturday's junior flyweight showdown, holding the WBC's top ranking at 108 pounds and boasting eight knockout victories.[1][5]
Soto Seeks Redemption After Title Loss — Former WBO world champion Elwin Soto returns to action after a year sidelined by hand injuries, looking to reclaim title contention in what amounts to an eliminator bout.[1][2] His last outing came nearly a year ago when he defeated Moises Caro by split decision in November 2024.
Power Advantage Favors Soto — Despite Badillo's undefeated status, Soto carries a significant knockout edge with a 62 percent KO rate across his 21 wins compared to Badillo's 44 percent, suggesting the former champion retains dangerous finishing ability.[1]
Badillo's Height and Experience Edge — The undefeated contender holds a two-inch height advantage over his opponent and is one year Soto's senior, factors that could prove decisive in a closely matched contest.[1]
Fresno Hosts Eliminator Clash — The Save Mart Arena in California will stage this co-feature bout on the undercard of a main event featuring Justin Pauldo and Nike Theran, with the fight streaming on ProBox TV starting at 4 p.m. Pacific time.[1][2]
Badillo Enters as Undefeated Prospect — The 29-year-old Mexican fighter brings a perfect 18-0 record into Saturday's junior flyweight showdown, holding the WBC's top ranking at 108 pounds and boasting eight knockout victories.[1][5]
Soto Seeks Redemption After Title Loss — Former WBO world champion Elwin Soto returns to action after a year sidelined by hand injuries, looking to reclaim title contention in what amounts to an eliminator bout.[1][2] His last outing came nearly a year ago when he defeated Moises Caro by split decision in November 2024.
Power Advantage Favors Soto — Despite Badillo's undefeated status, Soto carries a significant knockout edge with a 62 percent KO rate across his 21 wins compared to Badillo's 44 percent, suggesting the former champion retains dangerous finishing ability.[1]
Badillo's Height and Experience Edge — The undefeated contender holds a two-inch height advantage over his opponent and is one year Soto's senior, factors that could prove decisive in a closely matched contest.[1]
Fresno Hosts Eliminator Clash — The Save Mart Arena in California will stage this co-feature bout on the undercard of a main event featuring Justin Pauldo and Nike Theran, with the fight streaming on ProBox TV starting at 4 p.m. Pacific time.[1][2]
See how multiple AI models rate Erik Badillo vs Elwin Soto. We aggregate today's
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