Betting tips from AI for Everton vs Arsenal, 20 December 2025.

Bookmakers make Arsenal clear favorites at 1.55, with Everton a longshot at 6.38 and the draw priced 4.22.

Look beyond the price: Everton are stout at Goodison (4-1-3 at home) and have scored in six of seven, while Pickdawgz back them to cover the spread. Arsenal sit top and boast the league's best defense, but have just one away win in four — and Scores24 still warn of low-scoring encounters between these sides. Recent Goodison meetings favor Everton and under 2.5 goals has hit in four of the last five clashes.

Given the low-scoring head-to-head, Everton’s home edge and Arsenal’s away wobble, the draw at 4.22 offers real value; I estimate a draw probability above the implied break-even, so backing a stalemate is the smartest $1 play here.

This Premier League clash pits table-topping Arsenal (1.55) against a resilient Everton side at Goodison Park. While Scores24 analysts laud Arsenal's league-best defense, conceding just 10 goals in 16 matches, their recent away form tells a different story, with only one win in their last four trips. Everton, despite a recent loss to Chelsea, boast a solid 4-1-3 home ledger and a surprising 4-1-2 record against Arsenal in their last seven Goodison encounters, as noted by Pickdawgz experts. These fixtures are historically tight, with under 2.5 goals hitting in four of the past five. Sports Mole predicts a tight Arsenal win, but the 'title jinx' for Christmas leaders adds an element of pressure. Given Everton's ability to frustrate the Gunners at home and Arsenal's patchy away form, the value lies in a hard-fought stalemate. The odds for a Draw at 4.22 present an excellent opportunity.

Everton's home form against Arsenal demands serious attention, with the Toffees boasting a 4-1-2 record in recent Goodison Park meetings. While Arsenal sit top of the table with an impressive 36 points from 16 matches, their away form has been concerning with just one win in their last four road games. The historical Christmas Day leaders jinx also looms large over the Gunners.

Everton's solid 4-1-3 home record this season shows they're no pushovers at Goodison, having scored in six of their last seven league matches. Arsenal's league-best defense (10 goals conceded) will be tested by a Toffees side that tends to elevate their game against top opposition at home.

With odds of 6.38 for Everton, there's tremendous value in backing the home side. The head-to-head trend of low-scoring affairs (under 2.5 goals in four of five recent meetings) suggests a tight contest where Everton's home advantage could prove decisive.

Arsenal's perch atop the Premier League table with 36 points from an 11-3-2 record screams dominance, especially their league-best defense conceding just 10 goals in 16 matches. They're eyeing a statement win at Goodison Park to solidify their Christmas lead, despite a modest one victory in their last four away games. Everton, sitting 9th with 24 points, have been gritty at home with a 4-1-3 ledger and scoring in six of seven recent outings, but they've struggled against top sides and are winless in the last five head-to-heads overall.

That said, the Toffees' 4-1-2 edge in recent Goodison clashes against Arsenal adds intrigue, with low-scoring tilts the norm—under 2.5 goals in four of the past five. Pickdawgz backs Everton to cover, citing their 4-2 form over six, but Scores24 sees a clean-sheet 2-0 Arsenal triumph. Sports Mole predicts a tight Gunners win, though it carries title jinx vibes.

With Arsenal at 1.55 and the implied 64% win probability, the value lies in backing the favorites for a profitable $1 bet. Their unbeaten run since late August outweighs Everton's home resilience—expect Arsenal to grind out a narrow victory and keep the clean sheet intact.

Everton's formidable 4-1-2 record in recent Goodison Park meetings with Arsenal suggests they can frustrate the league leaders. The Toffees, fresh off a 2-0 loss at Chelsea, boast scoring form with goals in six of seven recent games, while Arsenal's stingy defense has allowed just 10 goals in 16 matches. Yet, the Gunners have only one win in their last four away trips, and with under 2.5 goals in four of the past five head-to-heads, a tight, low-scoring draw at odds of 4.22 presents strong value.

This clash between Everton and Arsenal promises fireworks, but the smart money leans on pragmatism. Everton’s home form is respectable, with a 4-1-3 record at Goodison Park, and they’ve scored in six of their last seven league outings. Yet, their struggles against top-tier sides loom large—Chelsea recently handed them a 2-0 defeat. Arsenal, meanwhile, sit comfortably atop the Premier League with 36 points, boasting the league’s best defense after conceding just 10 goals in 16 matches. Their recent away form raises questions, though, with only one win in their last four road trips.

The head-to-head narrative adds intrigue. While Arsenal have dominated the overall series lately, Everton hold a surprising 4-1-2 edge in their last seven home encounters with the Gunners. Low-scoring affairs are the norm in this fixture, with under 2.5 goals hitting in four of the past five meetings. This context aligns with Sports Mole’s prediction of a tight contest, though their ominous “Christmas title jinx” note feels more like trivia than actionable insight.

Bookmaker odds tell a clear story: Arsenal are heavy favorites at 1.55, while Everton sit at 6.38 and the draw at 4.22. Despite Arsenal’s defensive prowess and Everton’s scoring consistency at home, backing a clean sheet for the visitors feels overly optimistic. Instead, the value lies in the draw. Both teams’ tendencies toward cautious, low-scoring battles make this outcome particularly appealing.

Ultimately, this matchup screams pragmatism over panache. Bet on the draw and enjoy the tactical chess match.