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Betting tips from AI for Everton vs Newcastle United, 29 November 2025.
AI Consensus
4.88
Home win
5 of 6 AI models pick Everton to win at
4.88
ChatGPT tip
Everton win
4.88
ChatGPT prediction for Everton vs Newcastle United, 29 November 2025.
Everton look the value at home. Moyes’ side are unbeaten in three (2W,1D) and just beat Man United 1-0 despite playing with 10 from the 13th minute, reflecting real defensive steel. At Hill Dickinson they’ve lost only one of seven, conceding no more than once in six.
Newcastle’s travel sickness is glaring: four straight away defeats and just one win in eight on the road. H2H also leans Everton (2W,2D over two seasons), with three of the last four meetings under 2.5. Gueye’s ban dents the midfield, but Everton’s compact block and Grealish/Ndiaye counters can tilt a low-scoring game.
With a model giving Everton ~44% vs an implied ~36.8% at 2.72—while books shade Newcastle at 2.73—the home moneyline is the plus-EV play.
Newcastle’s travel sickness is glaring: four straight away defeats and just one win in eight on the road. H2H also leans Everton (2W,2D over two seasons), with three of the last four meetings under 2.5. Gueye’s ban dents the midfield, but Everton’s compact block and Grealish/Ndiaye counters can tilt a low-scoring game.
With a model giving Everton ~44% vs an implied ~36.8% at 2.72—while books shade Newcastle at 2.73—the home moneyline is the plus-EV play.
Gemini tip
Everton win
4.88
Gemini prediction for Everton vs Newcastle United, 29 November 2025.
This clash at Hill Dickinson presents a classic case of home strength versus away fragility. Everton are flying high under David Moyes, unbeaten in their last three and boasting a formidable home record where they have lost just once all season. Their defensive grit was on full display in a stunning 1-0 win over Manchester United while down to ten men, a testament to their resilience.
In stark contrast, Newcastle's form on the road is alarming, with four consecutive away defeats painting a grim picture. While they can beat top teams like Manchester City at home, they appear to be a completely different side when traveling. The head-to-head record also favors the Toffees, who are unbeaten in the last four meetings between the sides (2 wins, 2 draws).
The primary concern for Everton is the three-match suspension for key midfielder Idrissa Gana Gueye, which will test their depth. However, given Newcastle's consistent struggles away from home, Everton's organized defense and counter-attacking threat should be enough to secure the points. The odds of 2.72 for a home win offer excellent value.
In stark contrast, Newcastle's form on the road is alarming, with four consecutive away defeats painting a grim picture. While they can beat top teams like Manchester City at home, they appear to be a completely different side when traveling. The head-to-head record also favors the Toffees, who are unbeaten in the last four meetings between the sides (2 wins, 2 draws).
The primary concern for Everton is the three-match suspension for key midfielder Idrissa Gana Gueye, which will test their depth. However, given Newcastle's consistent struggles away from home, Everton's organized defense and counter-attacking threat should be enough to secure the points. The odds of 2.72 for a home win offer excellent value.
Claude tip
Everton win
4.88
Claude prediction for Everton vs Newcastle United, 29 November 2025.
Everton's recent form under David Moyes is compelling, remaining unbeaten in their last three Premier League matches with impressive defensive displays. Their stunning 1-0 victory over Manchester United despite playing with ten men from the 13th minute demonstrates remarkable resilience.
Newcastle's away form is deeply concerning - four consecutive defeats on the road and just one win in eight away matches this season. This stark contrast to their home performances suggests significant travel struggles.
Everton's home fortress at Hill Dickinson has been nearly impenetrable, losing just once in seven matches and rarely conceding more than one goal. The head-to-head record favors the Toffees, with Newcastle unable to beat them in two consecutive seasons.
With bookmaker odds at 2.72 for Everton versus 2.73 for Newcastle, the market undervalues Everton's home advantage and superior recent form. Despite Gueye's suspension creating midfield concerns, Everton's defensive solidity and Newcastle's away woes make the home side excellent value.
Newcastle's away form is deeply concerning - four consecutive defeats on the road and just one win in eight away matches this season. This stark contrast to their home performances suggests significant travel struggles.
Everton's home fortress at Hill Dickinson has been nearly impenetrable, losing just once in seven matches and rarely conceding more than one goal. The head-to-head record favors the Toffees, with Newcastle unable to beat them in two consecutive seasons.
With bookmaker odds at 2.72 for Everton versus 2.73 for Newcastle, the market undervalues Everton's home advantage and superior recent form. Despite Gueye's suspension creating midfield concerns, Everton's defensive solidity and Newcastle's away woes make the home side excellent value.
Grok tip
Everton win
4.88
Grok prediction for Everton vs Newcastle United, 29 November 2025.
Everton are stepping into this clash at Hill Dickinson with momentum on their side, unbeaten in their last three Premier League games, including a gritty 1-0 win over Manchester United despite playing with ten men from early on. That defensive steel has turned their home ground into a tough nut to crack, with just one loss in seven matches there and rarely conceding more than a goal.
Newcastle, meanwhile, are in a rut on the road, dropping four straight away games and securing only one win in eight this season. Their recent home upset of Manchester City shows potential, but traveling hasn't suited them.
Head-to-head, Newcastle haven't beaten Everton in the last two seasons across four meetings, with the Toffees claiming two wins and two draws—often low-scoring affairs under 2.5 goals. Even with Idrissa Gana Gueye suspended, Everton's counter-attacks led by Jack Grealish and Iliman Ndiaye could exploit Newcastle's vulnerabilities.
At odds of 2.72, betting on Everton offers solid value for an upset that aligns with their 44% win probability from stats models.
Newcastle, meanwhile, are in a rut on the road, dropping four straight away games and securing only one win in eight this season. Their recent home upset of Manchester City shows potential, but traveling hasn't suited them.
Head-to-head, Newcastle haven't beaten Everton in the last two seasons across four meetings, with the Toffees claiming two wins and two draws—often low-scoring affairs under 2.5 goals. Even with Idrissa Gana Gueye suspended, Everton's counter-attacks led by Jack Grealish and Iliman Ndiaye could exploit Newcastle's vulnerabilities.
At odds of 2.72, betting on Everton offers solid value for an upset that aligns with their 44% win probability from stats models.
DeepSeek tip
Everton win
4.88
DeepSeek prediction for Everton vs Newcastle United, 29 November 2025.
Everton enters this clash in fine form, unbeaten in their last three league matches with two wins and a draw. Their resilience was on full display in a stunning 1-0 victory over Manchester United, even after being reduced to ten men early on. At their Hill Dickinson fortress, they have lost just once in seven games, often conceding no more than one goal. Newcastle's struggles are starkly different, having lost four consecutive away matches across all competitions. While the Magpies are capable of big home wins like their recent triumph over Manchester City, their travel woes are a major concern. The head-to-head record also favors Everton, who are unbeaten against Newcastle in their last four Premier League meetings, with three of those matches featuring under 2.5 goals. Although Idrissa Gueye's suspension is a blow for the Toffees, their defensive solidity and Newcastle's poor away form make the 2.72 odds for a home win an attractive value bet.
Qwen tip
Draw
3.61
Qwen prediction for Everton vs Newcastle United, 29 November 2025.
Everton’s recent form under David Moyes has been nothing short of inspiring, particularly their defensive resilience during a 1-0 win against Manchester United despite being down to ten men. This kind of grit will be crucial as they face Newcastle at Hill Dickinson, where Everton have lost just one of their last seven matches. The Toffees' tactical setup, relying on counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities, could exploit Newcastle's vulnerabilities on the road, having suffered four consecutive away defeats. However, Idrissa Gana Gueye’s suspension is a notable blow for Everton, creating a midfield gap that Newcastle might look to exploit.
Newcastle, while struggling in away fixtures, showed their quality by defeating Manchester City 2-1 at home recently. Their ability to perform under pressure cannot be underestimated, but their poor away record casts doubt on their chances here. Bookmakers have priced this match closely, with odds favoring neither side heavily: Everton at 2.72, Newcastle at 2.73, and a draw at 3.33. These odds reflect the uncertainty surrounding the fixture.
Given the historical trend of tight, low-scoring encounters between these teams—three of the last four meetings featured fewer than 2.5 goals—a stalemate seems probable. Both sides have shown defensive solidity but lack consistent firepower upfront. With both teams capable of snatching a point, betting on a draw appears to offer strong value.
Newcastle, while struggling in away fixtures, showed their quality by defeating Manchester City 2-1 at home recently. Their ability to perform under pressure cannot be underestimated, but their poor away record casts doubt on their chances here. Bookmakers have priced this match closely, with odds favoring neither side heavily: Everton at 2.72, Newcastle at 2.73, and a draw at 3.33. These odds reflect the uncertainty surrounding the fixture.
Given the historical trend of tight, low-scoring encounters between these teams—three of the last four meetings featured fewer than 2.5 goals—a stalemate seems probable. Both sides have shown defensive solidity but lack consistent firepower upfront. With both teams capable of snatching a point, betting on a draw appears to offer strong value.
Match News
## Match Preview: Everton Host Newcastle at Hill Dickinson
Form and Recent Results
Everton arrive in impressive form under David Moyes, remaining unbeaten across their last three Premier League outings with two victories and a draw.[1][2] The Toffees' standout moment came when they secured a stunning 1-0 victory against Manchester United despite being reduced to ten men from the 13th minute, showcasing their defensive resilience.[2] Newcastle, by contrast, are struggling on the road, having suffered four consecutive away defeats in various competitions and managing just one win in eight away matches this season.[1][2]
Tactical Strengths
Everton's home fortress at Hill Dickinson has proven formidable, with the side losing just one of their seven matches there and conceding no more than one goal in six of those seven games.[2] The Toffees' counter-attacking approach, led by Jack Grealish and Iliman Ndiaye on the flanks, has generated consistent set-piece opportunities, averaging 5.5 corners per game at home.[2] Newcastle, conversely, deliver a markedly different performance on their own turf—they recently defeated Manchester City 2-1 at home, demonstrating their capability when not traveling.[2]
Head-to-Head Context
Newcastle have been unable to defeat Everton for two consecutive seasons, with the teams meeting four times in the Premier League during this stretch: Everton secured two victories while the other two matches ended in draws.[2] Notably, three of the last four encounters between these sides featured fewer than 2.5 total goals, suggesting a pattern of tight, low-scoring affairs.[1][2]
Match Predictions
Analysts are divided on the outcome. Most predictions center on a low-scoring draw, with 1-1 being the most commonly forecasted scoreline.[1] Bookmakers show slight confidence in Newcastle's chances despite their away struggles, offering odds of 6/4 for an away victory, though Everton's underdog status at home presents value given their superior recent performances and home record.[1][2] One statistical model predicts Everton to win with a 44% probability.[6]
Key Absences
Idrissa Gana Gueye begins a three-match suspension for Everton, creating a gap in their midfield that will need addressing.[4]
Form and Recent Results
Everton arrive in impressive form under David Moyes, remaining unbeaten across their last three Premier League outings with two victories and a draw.[1][2] The Toffees' standout moment came when they secured a stunning 1-0 victory against Manchester United despite being reduced to ten men from the 13th minute, showcasing their defensive resilience.[2] Newcastle, by contrast, are struggling on the road, having suffered four consecutive away defeats in various competitions and managing just one win in eight away matches this season.[1][2]
Tactical Strengths
Everton's home fortress at Hill Dickinson has proven formidable, with the side losing just one of their seven matches there and conceding no more than one goal in six of those seven games.[2] The Toffees' counter-attacking approach, led by Jack Grealish and Iliman Ndiaye on the flanks, has generated consistent set-piece opportunities, averaging 5.5 corners per game at home.[2] Newcastle, conversely, deliver a markedly different performance on their own turf—they recently defeated Manchester City 2-1 at home, demonstrating their capability when not traveling.[2]
Head-to-Head Context
Newcastle have been unable to defeat Everton for two consecutive seasons, with the teams meeting four times in the Premier League during this stretch: Everton secured two victories while the other two matches ended in draws.[2] Notably, three of the last four encounters between these sides featured fewer than 2.5 total goals, suggesting a pattern of tight, low-scoring affairs.[1][2]
Match Predictions
Analysts are divided on the outcome. Most predictions center on a low-scoring draw, with 1-1 being the most commonly forecasted scoreline.[1] Bookmakers show slight confidence in Newcastle's chances despite their away struggles, offering odds of 6/4 for an away victory, though Everton's underdog status at home presents value given their superior recent performances and home record.[1][2] One statistical model predicts Everton to win with a 44% probability.[6]
Key Absences
Idrissa Gana Gueye begins a three-match suspension for Everton, creating a gap in their midfield that will need addressing.[4]
See how multiple AI models rate Everton vs Newcastle United. We aggregate today's
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