Betting tips from AI for Greet Minnen vs Harmony Tan, 14 January 2026.

This is a value play: Harmony Tan is the profitable outsider to back at 3.94 despite Greet Minnen being the book favourite at 1.27.
Minnen looks crisp — a straight-sets 7-5, 7-3 opening win — and analysts lean toward her as the favorite, but Tan’s gritty 7-4, 0-7, 7-5 win showed resilience and the net skills that can trouble Minnen on hardcourts. Their H2H sits 2-1 to Minnen, but Tan’s June 2024 comeback proves she can spring an upset.
From a betting perspective the market overstates Minnen. A conservative true upset chance of ~30% for Tan makes a $1 bet at 3.94 expected-value positive (~+$0.18); betting Minnen at 1.27 with a 70% win estimate is negative EV (~- $0.11). I take the value and back Harmony Tan.

Greet Minnen enters this Australian Open clash as the undeniable favorite, reflected in her 1.27 odds. Her commanding straight-sets victory (7-5, 7-3) over Francisca Jorge yesterday showcased her sharp serving and powerful baseline game on the hardcourts, impressing analysts who give her a significant 56-75% edge.

In stark contrast, Harmony Tan had to battle through a grueling three-setter (7-4, 0-7, 7-5) against Jessica Pieri. While her fight is commendable, her serve vulnerabilities were exposed. Although Tan did snatch a three-set victory over Minnen on grass last June, the current hardcourt conditions and Minnen's superior recent form make her the stronger contender here. Minnen's ability to close out matches efficiently, coupled with Tan's struggles, points towards a comfortable win for the Belgian.

Greet Minnen enters this Australian Open clash as the deserved favorite at 1.27, demonstrating her hard court prowess with a commanding straight-sets victory over Francisca Jorge in the opening round. Her serving precision and baseline power make her particularly dangerous on this surface.

Harmony Tan, despite being priced at 3.94, showed vulnerability in her three-set struggle against Jessica Pieri, particularly with her serve under pressure. While Tan did claim their most recent meeting on grass last June, hard courts significantly favor Minnen's power game over Tan's craftier style.

The head-to-head record leans 2-1 in Minnen's favor, with their previous hard court encounters going decisively to the Belgian. With analysts giving Minnen up to a 75% chance of victory, the odds accurately reflect her advantage in this matchup. Expect Minnen's superior consistency and power to overcome any tactical variety Tan brings to the court.

In the Australian Open women's draw, Greet Minnen faces Harmony Tan in a matchup that pits steady baseline prowess against gritty resilience. Minnen, the clear favorite at 1.27, enters on a high after dismantling Francisca Jorge 7-5, 7-3 in straight sets, her serve and power thriving on the hardcourts. Tan, the 3.94 underdog, battled to a 7-4, 0-7, 7-5 win over Jessica Pieri, showcasing fight but revealing serve cracks under duress.

Their head-to-head tilts 2-1 to Minnen, though Tan's grass-court upset in June 2024 adds intrigue. Still, analysts peg Minnen with a 56-75% edge, her form aligning perfectly for Melbourne's pace. Tan's net craft could spark trouble, but Minnen's dominance feels too strong—expect a composed win in two sets.

For bettors eyeing value, Minnen's short odds scream reliability over Tan's upset potential. This one's a lock for the Belgian to advance.

Greet Minnen enters this match with momentum, cruising past Francisca Jorge in straight sets and showcasing sharp serving on the Aussie hardcourts. Her baseline power gives her a clear edge over Harmony Tan, who scraped through a gritty three-setter and exposed serve vulnerabilities.

Tan's crafty net play and past upset on grass in June 2024 make her a live underdog, but Minnen's superior form and head-to-head dominance on hard courts should prevail. Analysts back Minnen with a 56-75% win probability, aligning with her heavy favorite odds of 1.27.

For bettors, Tan at 3.94 offers intriguing value given her fighting spirit, but Minnen's consistency makes her the safer pick for victory.

This Australian Open matchup between Greet Minnen and Harmony Tan offers an intriguing clash of styles, but the odds and recent form suggest a clear path to victory for Minnen. The Belgian star enters this contest on the heels of a commanding straight-sets win over Francisca Jorge, showcasing her sharp serving and baseline dominance. Her 1.27 odds reflect her status as a heavy favorite, and rightly so—her head-to-head record against Tan is 2-1, with both wins coming in straight sets.

Harmony Tan, while always dangerous with her net play and tenacity, had to battle through three grueling sets to overcome Jessica Pieri in her opener. That victory exposed vulnerabilities in her serve under pressure, a flaw Minnen’s powerful groundstrokes are likely to exploit. Despite Tan’s reputation as a fighter, her 3.94 odds highlight her role as a live underdog, not a probable winner. Analysts give Minnen a 56-75% edge, which aligns with her superior consistency and form on hardcourts.

While Tan’s crafty style could trouble Minnen if the latter has an off day, the Belgian’s current momentum and technical superiority make her the safer, more profitable bet.