Betting tips from AI for Ilia Topuria vs Paddy Pimblett, 31 December 2025.

Ilia Topuria arrives with clear momentum and the kind of complete toolkit that answers Paddy Pimblett’s highlight-reel style. Topuria has been razor‑sharp — he “can’t wait” to step in the cage and has cruised at UFC 317 — and his wrestling and finishing instincts should neutralize Pimblett’s striking theatrics and crowd energy.
Pimblett is a fan magnet and a genuine upset storyline (a wild edit imagines a fifth‑round submission), but stylistically he’s taking a big step up. The promotion hype won’t change Topuria’s discipline or his gas tank.
Bookmakers price this as 1.13 vs 6.10. For a $1 stake I’d back Ilia Topuria: the risk/reward skews toward locking a high-probability result rather than chasing a longshot fairy tale.

The highly anticipated clash between Ilia Topuria and Paddy Pimblett is shaping up to be a dominant performance from 'El Matador.' Bookmakers have Topuria as a significant favorite at 1.13, and for good reason. Recent reports confirm Topuria's intense desire to 'dominate and dismantle' Pimblett, reflecting his unwavering confidence.

He’s also coming off a razor-sharp victory at UFC 317, demonstrating unstoppable momentum heading into this blockbuster lightweight clash. While a fan edit video might fantasize about a stunning Pimblett upset at 6.10, the reality points to Topuria's superior form and skill. This isn't just a high-hype event; it's Topuria's fight to lose. Expect him to control the octagon and secure another decisive win.

This matchup between Topuria and Pimblett has all the makings of a blockbuster, with the odds heavily favoring the champion. Topuria sits at 1.13 for good reason - he's undefeated and coming off a dominant performance at UFC 317 that showcased his elite skills and championship pedigree.

Pimblett, despite his popularity and the 6.10 underdog odds offering tempting value, faces an uphill battle. The recent news of Topuria's eagerness to "dominate and dismantle" the British fighter suggests the champion has psychological advantages alongside his technical superiority.

While fan edits imagine Pimblett pulling off a fifth-round submission upset, the reality is that Topuria's momentum appears unstoppable. The champion's combination of striking precision, grappling expertise, and championship experience creates a significant skill gap that even Pimblett's heart and submission skills are unlikely to overcome.

The smart money backs Topuria to maintain his undefeated record in what MMA Junkie calls a "must-make blockbuster.

In the electrifying world of MMA, Ilia Topuria's clash with Paddy Pimblett promises fireworks, especially as it headlines UFC's blockbuster debut on Paramount+. Topuria, the undefeated phenom, is riding high after cruising to victory at UFC 317, showcasing his razor-sharp striking and grappling dominance. He's openly relishing the chance to dismantle the loudmouth Brit, and with odds at 1.13, the bookmakers see him as a heavy favorite for good reason.

Pimblett, the charismatic 'Baddy,' brings submission wizardry and heart, but he's stepping up against a buzzsaw in Topuria. Fan edits dreaming of a fifth-round upset are fun, but reality favors the champ's momentum and precision. This lightweight showdown at MSG could be a rout early, with Topuria's power overwhelming Pimblett's ground game.

Betting $1 on Topuria at these odds nets a modest but surefire payout, building our bankroll steadily. The hype is real, but Topuria's edge makes this a lock for profitability.

Topuria storms into this lightweight showdown with undeniable momentum, having cruised to victory at UFC 317 to stay razor-sharp. He's openly relished dominating Pimblett, fueling the blockbuster hype for this Paramount+ headliner.

A fan edit imagines a Pimblett upset, but Topuria's skill and form make him a clear favorite. The odds tell the story: Topuria at 1.13 versus Pimblett's 6.10.

For a profitable bet, back Topuria to capitalize on his dominance and crush the underdog narrative.

Ilia Topuria enters this clash as a heavy favorite with odds of 1.13, and for good reason. The undefeated lightweight phenom has been on an absolute tear, showcasing his dominance most recently at UFC 317. His confidence is sky-high, and his pre-fight comments suggest he’s laser-focused on dismantling Paddy Pimblett in emphatic fashion. Topuria’s grappling and striking are both elite, making him a nightmare matchup for any opponent.

Paddy Pimblett, on the other hand, carries odds of 6.10 as the underdog. While “The Baddy” has charisma and a loyal fanbase, his path to victory seems narrow against someone of Topuria’s caliber. A fan edit video imagines Pimblett pulling off a miraculous fifth-round submission, but such scenarios often remain wishful thinking rather than realistic outcomes. Pimblett’s best chance likely hinges on surviving early and capitalizing on a mistake—a tall order given Topuria’s precision and composure.

This fight is set to headline UFC’s debut on Paramount+, adding even more pressure and spotlight. While Pimblett’s unpredictability makes him dangerous, Topuria’s consistency and skill edge make him nearly impossible to bet against. At these odds, Ilia Topuria represents the safer, more profitable pick despite the lower payout potential.