Betting tips from AI for Iryna Shymanovich vs Arina Rodionova, 13 January 2026.

This is a classic value-bet scenario. Bookmakers make Iryna Shymanovich the clear favorite at 1.63, but experts only give her a 51% chance; she also arrives off a tough qualifying loss in Canberra and is just 0-1 on hard courts for 2026. That thin edge and recent form temper the favorite tag.

Arina Rodionova is the local underdog with little 2026 hard-court mileage after Dubai, yet she has past AO experience and presents better value at 2.32. Using the 51/49 split implied by expert views, a $1 bet on Rodionova yields about +$0.14 expected value — profitable over time.

Pick the underdog: the market overprices Shymanovich, so back Rodionova for long-term profit.

As the Australian Open qualifiers heat up, Iryna Shymanovich steps onto the hard courts as the bookmakers' favorite at 1.63 against local hope Arina Rodionova. Despite a recent qualifying loss in Canberra, Shymanovich boasts an impressive 137-67 career record on hard courts, a testament to her proficiency on this surface. Her 0-1 hard court start to 2026 is a minor blip, not a trend.

Rodionova, ranked 207, faces a significant challenge. She hasn't played a single hard court match in 2026 and comes off a straight-sets loss in Dubai last month. While a 2020 run to the second round of the AO shows her past capabilities, her current lack of match play on hard courts is a major concern. Betting experts, while giving Shymanovich a 51% win probability, still lean towards her, and Tennis Tonic predicts a tight three-setter in her favor. Given Shymanovich's superior recent form (4 wins in last 10 vs Rodionova's 2) and her established hard court prowess, she is the more reliable pick here.

Shymanovich enters this Australian Open clash as the bookmakers' favorite at 1.63, but her recent form raises questions. Her qualifying loss in Canberra doesn't inspire confidence, starting 0-1 on hard courts this year. However, her career 137-67 record on the surface demonstrates her overall competence on this court type.

Rodionova, playing on home soil, brings the advantage of local support despite being priced as the underdog at 2.32. The Australian hasn't played on hard courts yet in 2026, but has previous experience at this tournament, reaching the second round in 2020.

The betting experts' 51% win probability for Shymanovich seems cautious compared to the odds offered, suggesting value on Rodionova. With Shymanovich managing just four wins in her last ten matches versus Rodionova's two, neither player brings exceptional form. Tennis Tonic's prediction of a three-set victory for Shymanovich seems plausible, but Rodionova's home advantage could prove decisive in a tight contest.

In the Australian Open women's draw, Iryna Shymanovich faces off against local favorite Arina Rodionova in what promises to be a gritty first-round battle on the hard courts of Melbourne. Shymanovich, the Belarusian powerhouse, enters as the clear favorite at 1.63, and for good reason—her career hard-court record stands at an impressive 137-67, showcasing her affinity for the surface. Despite a recent qualifying hiccup in Canberra, where she fell to 0-1 this year, experts at Tennis Tonic foresee her grinding out a tight three-set victory, pegging her win probability at 51%.

Rodionova, ranked 207 and hungry to shine on home soil, offers value at 2.32, but her form tells a different story. The Aussie hasn't stepped on a hard court in 2026 yet, coming off a straight-sets loss in Dubai last month, and she's managed just two wins in her last 10 matches amid a frustrating streak of early exits. Her 2020 second-round run here is a distant memory, and facing Shymanovich's superior recent edge—four wins in 10—looks like an uphill climb.

For bettors eyeing profit with a $1 stake, Shymanovich's consistency and head-to-head advantages make her the smart play, even in a potential nail-biter. Expect the favorite to prevail and build momentum early in the tournament.

Shymanovich is favored at 1.63, but news reveals a narrow edge with just a 51% win probability per experts, hinting at value elsewhere. Tennis Tonic forecasts a tight three-setter, and while Shymanovich has a solid hard-court record, her recent qualifying loss in Canberra shows vulnerability.

Rodionova, the Aussie underdog at 2.32, brings local inspiration and past AO success, despite no hard-court matches in 2026. With odds overestimating Shymanovich's form, Rodionova's payout potential makes this a smart bet in a likely competitive clash.

This matchup between Iryna Shymanovich and Arina Rodionova at the 2026 Australian Open Women’s draw presents an intriguing betting opportunity. Shymanovich enters as the favorite with odds of 1.63, while Rodionova sits at 2.32. While Shymanovich boasts a stronger overall hard-court record (137-67), her recent form raises some concerns. A qualifying loss in Canberra just days before this match suggests she might not be at her sharpest, despite being projected by experts to have a 51% win probability.

Rodionova, ranked 207th, has had limited action on hard courts in 2026, last seen losing in straight sets in Dubai. However, her history at the Australian Open could provide a psychological edge. As a local player, she may also benefit from crowd support, which often fuels underdog performances. That said, her track record against higher-ranked opponents remains inconsistent, marked by early exits in recent tournaments.

Given the tight prediction margins and Shymanovich's slight edge in head-to-head encounters, backing the Belarusian seems prudent. The odds suggest she is expected to win, but her struggles leading into this match mean it won’t come easy. With disciplined play, Shymanovich should prevail, though bettors eyeing value might find Rodionova tempting at 2.32 if they believe in a Melbourne miracle.