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Betting tips from AI for Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn, 24 January 2026.
AI Consensus
1.50
Home win
5 of 6 AI models pick Jakub Mensik to win at
1.50
ChatGPT tip
Ethan Quinn win
2.80
ChatGPT prediction for Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn, 24 January 2026.
Bookmakers make Mensik the clear favorite at 1.37 while Quinn sits a tempting 3.36. Advanced models give Mensik roughly a 69–74% chance, but that still leaves Quinn’s implied chance around the 26–31% band — and at the higher end of that range backing Quinn is +EV.
Context matters: Mensik (Auckland champion, superior serve numbers) is the classier pick on paper, yet Quinn arrives riding real momentum after upsetting Hubert Hurkacz and has been imposing his attacking game, undefeated through straight sets in earlier rounds.
I prefer the value here: a $1 wager on Ethan Quinn at 3.36 exploits the market’s steep favorite bias and offers positive expected value if Mensik’s true win probability is toward the Dimers estimate rather than the most aggressive forecasts. Small, value-driven play on Quinn.
Context matters: Mensik (Auckland champion, superior serve numbers) is the classier pick on paper, yet Quinn arrives riding real momentum after upsetting Hubert Hurkacz and has been imposing his attacking game, undefeated through straight sets in earlier rounds.
I prefer the value here: a $1 wager on Ethan Quinn at 3.36 exploits the market’s steep favorite bias and offers positive expected value if Mensik’s true win probability is toward the Dimers estimate rather than the most aggressive forecasts. Small, value-driven play on Quinn.
Gemini tip
Jakub Mensik win
1.50
Gemini prediction for Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn, 24 January 2026.
Jakub Mensik enters this Australian Open third-round clash as the undeniable favorite, and for good reason. Ranked 17th globally and fresh off an Auckland title, his form is peaking. Expert models from Dimers and Forebet project him with a 69% and 74% win probability, respectively, underscoring his clear advantage.
While Ethan Quinn, ranked 80th, pulled off a remarkable upset against Hubert Hurkacz and has shown an impressive all-court attacking game, Mensik's superior service hold percentage of 65% on hard courts compared to Quinn's 57% provides a critical edge. The bookmakers have Mensik at 1.37, reflecting his strong position.
Quinn's undefeated run through two sets is commendable, but Mensik's consistency and higher pedigree, even after a grueling first round, suggest he will navigate this challenge. Despite some analysts at Last Word On Sports seeing a path for Quinn, the overwhelming consensus and statistical backing point towards Mensik advancing to his first Grand Slam fourth round.
While Ethan Quinn, ranked 80th, pulled off a remarkable upset against Hubert Hurkacz and has shown an impressive all-court attacking game, Mensik's superior service hold percentage of 65% on hard courts compared to Quinn's 57% provides a critical edge. The bookmakers have Mensik at 1.37, reflecting his strong position.
Quinn's undefeated run through two sets is commendable, but Mensik's consistency and higher pedigree, even after a grueling first round, suggest he will navigate this challenge. Despite some analysts at Last Word On Sports seeing a path for Quinn, the overwhelming consensus and statistical backing point towards Mensik advancing to his first Grand Slam fourth round.
Claude tip
Jakub Mensik win
1.50
Claude prediction for Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn, 24 January 2026.
Jakub Mensik enters this third-round clash as the justified favorite against Ethan Quinn. Multiple prediction models, including Dimers' advanced system (69%) and Forebet's algorithm (74%), strongly favor the 17th-ranked Czech player. Mensik's recent Auckland title demonstrates his excellent hard-court form, making his 1.37 odds reasonable despite the steep price.
Quinn's upset over Hurkacz was impressive, but Mensik's overall game appears more complete for Grand Slam success. The Czech's superior service hold percentage on hard courts (65% vs. 57%) gives him a significant edge in a best-of-five format. While Quinn's attacking style has carried him this far, Mensik's higher ranking and more consistent baseline game should prevail.
Though neither player has reached a Grand Slam fourth round before, Mensik's experience and recent form suggest he'll handle the pressure better. Expect Mensik to win in four sets, though Quinn's 3.36 odds might tempt value seekers looking for another upset.
Quinn's upset over Hurkacz was impressive, but Mensik's overall game appears more complete for Grand Slam success. The Czech's superior service hold percentage on hard courts (65% vs. 57%) gives him a significant edge in a best-of-five format. While Quinn's attacking style has carried him this far, Mensik's higher ranking and more consistent baseline game should prevail.
Though neither player has reached a Grand Slam fourth round before, Mensik's experience and recent form suggest he'll handle the pressure better. Expect Mensik to win in four sets, though Quinn's 3.36 odds might tempt value seekers looking for another upset.
Grok tip
Jakub Mensik win
1.50
Grok prediction for Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn, 24 January 2026.
In the third round of the Australian Open Men's draw, 20-year-old sensation Jakub Mensik faces 21-year-old underdog Ethan Quinn in a clash that pits rising star power against gritty upset potential. Mensik, ranked 17th, enters as the clear favorite after clinching the Auckland title earlier this season, showcasing his hard-court prowess with a 65% service hold rate. His straight-sets demolition of Rafael Jodar in the second round highlights his recovery from a tough opener, positioning him well for this breakthrough moment—neither has reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam before.
Quinn, ranked 80th, stunned the field by ousting Hubert Hurkacz in the prior round, blending all-court aggression with flawless two-set dominance so far in the tournament. Yet, expert models like Dimers (69% for Mensik) and Forebet (74%) overwhelmingly back the Czech, as do most analysts who point to his superior ranking and suitability on these courts. While Quinn's form is electric, Mensik's experience edge should prevail in four sets.
Betting-wise, Mensik at 1.37 offers solid value for a $1 wager, while Quinn's 3.36 tempts the bold but carries higher risk against a player in peak form. This matchup screams opportunity for Mensik to advance.
Quinn, ranked 80th, stunned the field by ousting Hubert Hurkacz in the prior round, blending all-court aggression with flawless two-set dominance so far in the tournament. Yet, expert models like Dimers (69% for Mensik) and Forebet (74%) overwhelmingly back the Czech, as do most analysts who point to his superior ranking and suitability on these courts. While Quinn's form is electric, Mensik's experience edge should prevail in four sets.
Betting-wise, Mensik at 1.37 offers solid value for a $1 wager, while Quinn's 3.36 tempts the bold but carries higher risk against a player in peak form. This matchup screams opportunity for Mensik to advance.
DeepSeek tip
Jakub Mensik win
1.50
DeepSeek prediction for Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn, 24 January 2026.
The Australian Open third-round match pits Jakub Mensik against Ethan Quinn, with Mensik heavily favored. Expert models from Dimers and Forebet project a 69% to 74% win probability for Mensik, aligning with his 1.37 moneyline odds.
Mensik, ranked 17th and coming off an Auckland title, has superior hard-court form and a service hold edge. Quinn, ranked 80th, impressed by upsetting Hurkacz, but Mensik's consistency and higher ranking make him the logical choice for a profitable bet.
Backing Mensik at 1.37 offers value given his high win likelihood, despite Quinn's potential for an attacking upset.
Mensik, ranked 17th and coming off an Auckland title, has superior hard-court form and a service hold edge. Quinn, ranked 80th, impressed by upsetting Hurkacz, but Mensik's consistency and higher ranking make him the logical choice for a profitable bet.
Backing Mensik at 1.37 offers value given his high win likelihood, despite Quinn's potential for an attacking upset.
Qwen tip
Jakub Mensik win
1.50
Qwen prediction for Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn, 24 January 2026.
In the upcoming Australian Open Men's third-round match, Jakub Mensik is favored to advance against Ethan Quinn. The Czech player, ranked 17th, has shown impressive form, especially after winning the Auckland title this season. His superior service hold percentage and hard-court suitability make him a strong contender. Despite Quinn's recent upset over Hubert Hurkacz, the odds and expert predictions lean heavily towards Mensik. Dimers' model gives Mensik a 69% win probability, and Forebet's algorithm further supports this with a 74% chance of victory. While Quinn's all-court attacking style and current form are noteworthy, Mensik's experience and ranking advantage should see him through. The bookmaker odds reflect this, with Mensik at 1.37 and Quinn at 3.36. Given these factors, betting on Mensik is the safer and more likelyable option.
Match News
# Jakub Mensik vs. Ethan Quinn - Australian Open Third Round
## Expert Predictions
• Dimers' advanced model projects Mensik as the clear favorite, giving the Czech player a 69% win probability over Quinn[1].
• Forebet's algorithm backs Mensik even more heavily, predicting a 74% chance of victory for the higher-ranked competitor[8].
• Last Word On Sports analysts are split: Ateet and Andreas favor Mensik in four sets, citing his superior ranking and hard-court suitability, while Yesh believes Quinn's current form and attacking tennis could overwhelm his opponent in straight sets[2].
• Gooners Guide predicts Mensik will prevail in three or four sets, highlighting the Czech player's superior service hold percentage (65% vs. 57%) in their previous hard-court meetings[3].
## Match Context
• Mensik, ranked 17th at age 20, arrives as the clear favorite after winning the Auckland title this season, while Quinn, ranked 80th at 21, pulled off a stunning upset over Hubert Hurkacz in the previous round[3].
• Neither player has previously reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam, making this a career-defining opportunity for both competitors[3].
• Quinn has impressed with his all-court attacking blend and remains undefeated through two sets in the tournament, while Mensik recovered from a grueling first-round match with a straight-sets victory over Rafael Jodar[2].
## Betting Odds
• Mensik is heavily favored at -278 moneyline odds, with Quinn at +220[1].
## Expert Predictions
• Dimers' advanced model projects Mensik as the clear favorite, giving the Czech player a 69% win probability over Quinn[1].
• Forebet's algorithm backs Mensik even more heavily, predicting a 74% chance of victory for the higher-ranked competitor[8].
• Last Word On Sports analysts are split: Ateet and Andreas favor Mensik in four sets, citing his superior ranking and hard-court suitability, while Yesh believes Quinn's current form and attacking tennis could overwhelm his opponent in straight sets[2].
• Gooners Guide predicts Mensik will prevail in three or four sets, highlighting the Czech player's superior service hold percentage (65% vs. 57%) in their previous hard-court meetings[3].
## Match Context
• Mensik, ranked 17th at age 20, arrives as the clear favorite after winning the Auckland title this season, while Quinn, ranked 80th at 21, pulled off a stunning upset over Hubert Hurkacz in the previous round[3].
• Neither player has previously reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam, making this a career-defining opportunity for both competitors[3].
• Quinn has impressed with his all-court attacking blend and remains undefeated through two sets in the tournament, while Mensik recovered from a grueling first-round match with a straight-sets victory over Rafael Jodar[2].
## Betting Odds
• Mensik is heavily favored at -278 moneyline odds, with Quinn at +220[1].
See how multiple AI models rate Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn. We aggregate today's
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