Betting tips from AI for Jason Kubler vs Vilius Gaubas, 15 January 2026.

I back Vilius Gaubas at 2.38 as the value play. Bookmakers have Jason Kubler installed as the favorite at 1.61, but the market price amplifies home hype and undercuts the payout on what looks like a close qualifiers clash.

Forebet gives Kubler a 59% edge, yet Gaubas arrives as the No.17 seed in qualifying (ranked 129) while Kubler sits around No.192 — that ranking gap and qualifier rhythm matter on these fast hard courts. There’s no H2H, so momentum and recent form swing this one.

A $1 wager on Gaubas captures upside: the price at 2.38 offers a meaningful return if the Lithuanian’s seeding and freshness translate into an upset. I’ll take the underdog for long-term bankroll growth.

Jason Kubler enters this Australian Open qualifier as the clear favorite, and for good reason. Despite a numerically lower ranking than his opponent, Vilius Gaubas, the bookmakers have priced Kubler at 1.61, signaling strong confidence in his victory. This sentiment is echoed by Forebet's algorithm, which gives the Aussie a solid 59% edge, particularly on his preferred hard-court surface.

Experts are leaning heavily on Kubler's experience and the intangible 'Aussie grit' that often shines in home Grand Slams. While Gaubas is a qualifier, ranked 129 to Kubler's 192, the market's conviction suggests that factors like home crowd advantage, specific hard-court prowess, and potentially stronger recent form or a higher ceiling are being heavily weighed. With no prior head-to-head history to muddy the waters, we're backing the local hero to leverage these advantages and kick off his campaign strongly.

This Australian Open qualifier presents an intriguing matchup between hometown hero Jason Kubler and Lithuanian qualifier Vilius Gaubas. The bookmakers have established Kubler as the favorite at 1.61, reflecting confidence in the Australian's abilities on home soil.

Despite Kubler's lower world ranking (192) compared to Gaubas's qualifier seeding (17th, ranked 129), Forebet's algorithm gives Kubler a substantial 59% win probability. This home-court advantage shouldn't be underestimated – Aussie players typically elevate their game significantly during their home Slam.

With no previous head-to-head encounters, we're left analyzing their individual merits. Gaubas offers tempting value at 2.38, but Kubler's experience and determination to perform well in front of his home crowd will likely prove decisive. The hard courts of Melbourne Park should favor Kubler's playing style, and his familiarity with the conditions gives him a crucial edge in what promises to be a competitive match.

In the opening rounds of the Australian Open Men's qualifiers, Jason Kubler takes on Vilius Gaubas in what promises to be a hard-court clash infused with home-soil intensity. Kubler, the world No. 192 Aussie, enters this match with a clear edge, backed by Forebet's algorithm that hands him a 59% win probability. As a seasoned player hungry to launch his Slam campaign on familiar turf, Kubler's experience against qualifiers like the No. 17-seeded Gaubas—ranked 129 and coming off a tough qualification path—should shine through.

Bookmakers echo this sentiment, installing Kubler as the favorite at 1.61, implying a strong likelihood of victory in this gritty battle. Gaubas, the Lithuanian underdog at 2.38, brings unpredictability with no prior head-to-head, but experts favor Kubler's resilience on the hard courts of Melbourne. For bettors eyeing value, the favorite's path looks solid, though Gaubas's qualifier momentum could spark an upset.

Ultimately, Kubler's home advantage and tactical know-how tip the scales in a match that could go the distance, but the edge goes to the local battler.

In the Australian Open qualifiers, home favorite Jason Kubler brings Aussie grit to the hard courts against Lithuanian qualifier Vilius Gaubas. Bookmakers have installed Kubler as the clear favorite at 1.61, while Gaubas offers tempting underdog value at 2.38.

Forebet's algorithm gives Kubler a solid 59% edge, emphasizing his experience and comfort on home soil. Despite Gaubas's higher qualifying rank at 129 versus Kubler's world No. 192, the lack of prior head-to-head adds unpredictability, but experts lean toward Kubler's determination to shine in his home Slam.

With the crowd behind him and a hunger to advance, Kubler's resilience should prove decisive in a gritty battle.

This Australian Open qualifier presents an intriguing clash between Jason Kubler and Vilius Gaubas, where experience and grit may outweigh raw potential. Kubler, despite being ranked No. 192, enters as the clear favorite with odds of 1.61. His status as a local player in Melbourne adds a layer of motivation, and Forebet’s algorithm gives him a solid 59% edge on hard courts—a surface that rewards his defensive tenacity and shot-making precision. Qualifiers can be unpredictable, but Kubler’s familiarity with the conditions could prove decisive.
On the other side, Gaubas, ranked No. 129, carries the underdog tag at odds of 2.38. While he has shown flashes of promise, this is his first major test against a seasoned opponent like Kubler. The lack of prior head-to-head meetings introduces some unpredictability, but Kubler’s ability to navigate high-pressure situations should not be underestimated. Experts suggest his “Aussie grit” will likely shine through in what promises to be a fiercely contested match.
Betting on Kubler feels like the safer route given his statistical advantage and home-ground comfort. However, Gaubas’ potential for an upset exists if he can impose himself early. Still, the odds favor Kubler’s consistency over Gaubas’ untested resilience in this scenario.