Betting tips from AI for Jon Jones vs Tom Aspinall, 31 December 2025.

I recommend a $1 value bet on Jon Jones at 2.18.

Jones remains one of the most cerebral fighters ever; Dana White’s public guarantee and the fight buildup show Jones isn’t avoiding risks and is locked in for a career-defining moment. ESPN and many oddsmakers favor Tom Aspinall’s explosive power, hence his price at 1.65, but that same aggression plays into Jones’ strengths: elite clinch, takedown control and fight IQ to survive early storms and win rounds or find a late finish.

Backing Jones here buys upside at nice odds — the market may be overpricing Aspinall’s explosiveness against a veteran who adapts mid-fight.

The highly anticipated clash between Jon Jones and Tom Aspinall is set to be the biggest heavyweight bout in UFC history, as guaranteed by Dana White. While Jones, the undisputed GOAT, carries an unmatched legacy, his age at 37 and recent inactivity are notable factors. Standing opposite him is the interim champion, Tom Aspinall, a fighter lauded for his explosive power. ESPN predicts Aspinall will dethrone Jones, and the bookmakers agree, listing Aspinall as the favorite at 1.65, while Jones sits as the underdog at 2.18.

Aspinall’s confidence is palpable, even accusing Jones of insecurity, a claim Dana White swiftly dismissed. However, Aspinall's youth and raw power present a formidable challenge to Jones' tactical brilliance. Given Aspinall's momentum, devastating striking, and the natural progression of the heavyweight division, he is poised to unify the titles. This isn't a slight against Jones' legendary status, but rather an acknowledgment of Aspinall's prime and the evolving landscape. Betting on Aspinall at 1.65 appears to be the profitable play, capitalizing on the rising star's potential to overcome the aging legend in what promises to be a blockbuster New Year's Eve showdown.

The highly anticipated heavyweight showdown between Jon Jones and Tom Aspinall has all the makings of a historic UFC event. While Jones (2.18) brings legendary status and tactical brilliance, Aspinall's (1.65) explosive power and youth advantage cannot be overlooked.

Dana White's guarantee of this fight happening signals the UFC's confidence in its magnitude, but the odds favor the interim champion for good reason. At 37, Jones faces a hungry, dynamic heavyweight in his prime who presents unique challenges. Aspinall's combination of speed and power makes him particularly dangerous, and ESPN's prediction of him dethroning Jones aligns with the betting market's assessment.

Jones' technical mastery has overcome many challengers, but Aspinall's well-rounded skillset and finishing ability present a perfect stylistic counter. The British fighter's confidence is evident in his public statements, while Jones' reluctance to embrace the matchup raises questions about his own confidence level heading into this potential New Year's Eve blockbuster.

The heavyweight unification bout between Jon Jones and Tom Aspinall is shaping up as the fight of the year, with UFC CEO Dana White guaranteeing it for 2025 and hyping it as the biggest clash in history. At 37, Jones remains the tactical GOAT, but ESPN's prediction leans toward Aspinall dethroning him, citing the Brit's explosive power as the ideal counter to Jones's brilliance. Aspinall's accusations of Jones's insecurity add fuel, suggesting the champ might be vulnerable after past camp issues, which White dismisses as history.

Odds reflect the split: Jones at 2.18 as the underdog, implying value for believers in his experience, while Aspinall's 1.65 favoritism aligns with his youth and knockout threat. For a $1 bet, I'd back Aspinall—the interim champ's speed and power could overwhelm Jones in this New Year's Eve blockbuster, potentially ending the legend's reign and unifying the titles in explosive fashion.

The guaranteed heavyweight superfight between Jon Jones and Tom Aspinall promises fireworks, with UFC CEO Dana White labeling it a historic record-breaker.

Odds position Aspinall as the favorite at 1.65, backed by ESPN's prediction praising his explosive power as a foil to Jones's tactical genius, while Jones offers value at 2.18.

Aspinall's accusations of Jones projecting insecurity, combined with his interim champ status and youth, edge out the 37-year-old legend's experience, pointing to a new era atop the division.

Jon Jones, the longtime heavyweight champion, faces a formidable challenge from Tom Aspinall in what UFC CEO Dana White calls the biggest heavyweight clash in history. At 37 years old, Jones remains one of the most technically gifted fighters in MMA, but age and wear from past battles could play a factor. Aspinall enters this bout as the interim champ with a record of explosive power, which ESPN analysts believe might be the key to dethroning Jones. The odds reflect this dynamic: Jones is listed at 2.18, while Aspinall sits at 1.65. These numbers suggest oddsmakers see Aspinall as the favorite, yet Jones’ tactical brilliance cannot be underestimated.

Aspinall’s recent comments about Jones projecting insecurity add a psychological layer to this matchup. If true, Jones may struggle under the pressure of facing an opponent many consider his toughest test yet. However, Dana White has dismissed concerns about Jones dodging the fight, emphasizing that the legend fears no one—a sentiment that reinforces confidence in Jones' mental toughness. This fight also carries significant promotional weight, set for New Year's Eve 2025, ensuring both athletes will bring their absolute best into the octagon.

Given the circumstances, Aspinall’s physical advantages and momentum make him a strong candidate to unify the titles. His odds at 1.65 indicate he’s favored, but betting on Jones at 2.18 offers value if you believe in his ability to adapt and outthink a powerful challenger. My analysis leans toward Aspinall’s raw explosiveness prevailing over Jones’ experience in this historic showdown.