Betting tips from AI for Josiah Harrell vs Bekmyrza Dosmatov, 17 January 2026.

Bookmaker lists Harrell at 2.10 and Dosmatov at 1.66. I’m siding with Josiah Harrell as the value play: Sports Gambling Podcast analysts praise his sharper striking and body kicks to outpoint the Kyrgyz grinder, and Harrell’s former UFC experience suggests he can manage the mental chess of a comeback bout.

Yes, lines flipped dramatically and Dosmatov’s wrestling is a legit threat, but both men crushed weight and this fight can be decided standing. Harrell’s kick-heavy game should sap takedown output and win rounds on volume and cleaner shots. At 2.10, the upside on a technical stand-up win outweighs backing the favorite’s narrower profit.

The LFA 224 co-main event between Josiah Harrell and Bekmyrza Dosmatov presents a fascinating betting puzzle. While sharp money has pushed Dosmatov to a 1.66 favorite, signaling confidence in the Kyrgyz wrestler, the value lies with Josiah Harrell at 2.10. Sports Gambling Podcast analysts are bullish on Harrell, citing his superior striking and effective body kicks as the key to outpointing Dosmatov, particularly if he can keep the fight standing.

Harrell, a former UFC signee, is on a comeback trail, and this bout is a prime opportunity to showcase his refined stand-up game against a grappling-heavy opponent. The weigh-ins saw both welterweights hit their marks professionally, setting the stage for a high-stakes encounter. If Harrell can leverage his "sharper striking" and prevent Dosmatov from implementing his grinding wrestling, those "stand-up edges" could indeed be the deciding factor, making him a profitable underdog pick.

The dramatic line movement in this welterweight clash tells a compelling story. Harrell opened as a heavy favorite but sharp money has flipped the odds, with Dosmatov now sitting at 1.66 while Harrell offers value at 2.10. Despite this shift, Harrell's striking advantages shouldn't be overlooked.

Both fighters made weight comfortably, suggesting optimal preparation. Harrell's sharper striking and effective body kicks could prove decisive in a match that's likely to feature wrestling exchanges. The Sports Gambling Podcast analysts backing Harrell at plus-money odds aligns with my analysis.

Dosmatov's grinding wrestling style from Kyrgyzstan will test Harrell, but the former UFC signee's stand-up skills should create separation on the scorecards. In this LFA 224 co-main event, Harrell's ability to keep the fight standing or quickly return to his feet will be crucial. I'm siding with the value play on Harrell to outpoint Dosmatov in what should be a competitive but ultimately striking-favored contest.

In the welterweight clash at LFA 224, Josiah Harrell faces Bekmyrza Dosmatov in a matchup that screams value for bettors. Harrell, the former UFC signee hungry for a comeback, brings sharper striking and devastating body kicks to the table, poised to outpoint the grinding Kyrgyz wrestler in what could turn into a wrestling-heavy scrap.

The betting lines have flipped dramatically, with Harrell surging from a -200 favorite to 2.10, while Dosmatov shifted from +150 underdog to 1.66. This signals sharp money on the visitor, but Sports Gambling Podcast analysts are backing Harrell as the true value pick at plus-money odds. Both fighters crushed weigh-ins—Harrell at 171 pounds, Dosmatov at 169.6—setting up a tense co-main on Vice TV.

Harrell's stand-up edge should shine through Dosmatov's grappling pressure, allowing him to control distance and rack up points. At 2.10, this is a profitable spot to bet on the underdog's superior tools. Expect Harrell to edge a decision victory in this Prior Lake showdown.

The betting lines have flipped dramatically, with Josiah Harrell surging from a 1.50 favorite to 2.10, while Bekmyrza Dosmatov shifted from 2.50 to 1.66, signaling sharp money on the visitor.

Despite this, Sports Gambling Podcast analysts back Harrell as a value pick at plus-money odds, praising his sharper striking and body kicks to outpoint Dosmatov in a wrestling-heavy scrap.

As a former UFC signee, Harrell's stand-up edges could decide the Vice TV showdown, making him a profitable underdog bet in the co-main event.

This welterweight clash at LFA 224 presents a fascinating stylistic battle between Josiah Harrell’s striking and Bekmyrza Dosmatov’s wrestling-heavy approach. The odds movement tells a compelling story, with sharp bettors driving Dosmatov from a +150 underdog to a 1.66 favorite. This suggests confidence in his grinding style wearing down Harrell over time. However, the Sports Gambling Podcast analysts’ endorsement of Harrell at 2.10 is intriguing. They highlight his sharper striking and effective body kicks as potential difference-makers against Dosmatov’s pressure.

Harrell’s experience as a former UFC signee could give him the mental edge needed to execute his game plan effectively. While Dosmatov’s wrestling pedigree is undeniable, Harrell’s ability to maintain distance and pick apart his opponent with precise strikes might prove decisive. Moreover, Harrell’s weigh-in showing at 171 pounds indicates he’s physically prepared for this bout, adding another layer of confidence in his performance.

Given the plus-money odds on Harrell and his technical advantages, this matchup offers solid value on the underdog. A tactical fight where Harrell controls the range could see him outpoint Dosmatov, making him the smarter bet despite the shifting lines.