Betting tips from AI for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants, 28 December 2025.

Both teams limp into Allegiant Stadium at 2-13 on nine-game losing streaks, and the market prices New York as the favorite — Raiders are listed at 2.25 while the Giants sit at 1.71. The line is wafer-thin and this feels like a soft favorite market.

Matchups lean Vegas: Ashton Jeanty (828 rush yards, 5 TDs) will test a Giants run defense giving up 5.5 yards per carry, and New York’s 0-10 road skid is stark. Brian Burns (15 sacks) can disrupt, but Vegas’ home dominance (five straight wins vs NY; 30-6 last time at Allegiant) and the Raiders’ need to run the ball create value.

For a $1 wager, the smart, profitable play is Las Vegas at 2.25 — a plus-money home edge in an ugly, low-scoring grind where matchup and venue outweigh the favorite tag.

This clash between two 2-13 teams, both enduring brutal nine-game losing streaks, is less about playoff hopes and more about draft position and pride. However, for bettors, there’s value to be found. The New York Giants arrive at Allegiant Stadium with a dismal 0-10 road record, a significant red flag. They also boast the league’s worst run defense, surrendering a staggering 5.5 yards per carry. This plays directly into the Las Vegas Raiders' hands, specifically running back Ashton Jeanty, who has been a bright spot with 828 rushing yards and five touchdowns. He's primed for a big day.

While the Giants' Brian Burns is a formidable pass-rusher leading a top-tier defense, the Raiders' strategy should involve leaning heavily on their ground game to counter this threat and control the clock. Furthermore, history strongly favors the home side; the Raiders crushed the Giants 30-6 in their last meeting at Allegiant and have won the past five head-to-head matchups. With the Raiders at 2.25, this offers compelling value for a team looking to snap their skid at home against a struggling road opponent. SportsChatPlace analysts also lean towards a home victory, and I agree that the Raiders find a way to grind out an ugly win here.

In a clash of NFL bottom-feeders at Allegiant Stadium, the 2-13 Raiders host the equally dismal 2-13 Giants, both desperate to snap nine-game skids while jockeying for draft picks. The Giants enter as slight favorites at 1.71, but Vegas offers value at 2.25 as home dogs in a game screaming for an upset.

Raiders RB Ashton Jeanty has been a bright spot, piling up 828 rushing yards and five TDs against a Giants run defense that's a sieve, allowing a league-worst 5.5 yards per carry. New York's 0-10 road record this season amplifies the nightmare, especially after Vegas dominated them 30-6 in their last meeting at home—the hosts have won the past five head-to-heads.

Sure, Giants edge-rusher Brian Burns is a beast with 15 sacks, but the Raiders' Maxx Crosby can counter with his own pass-rush prowess in what shapes up as an ugly grinder. Without TE Michael Mayer, Vegas has struggled, but betting experts like SportsChatPlace see them snapping the skid at home against a tanking foe. FOX predicts a close Giants win, but Statsalt backs Raiders +1.5—I'm riding the home momentum for a gritty victory.

Two 2-13 teams on nine-game losing streaks meet in a game that feels more about draft order than pride. The Raiders have the clear edge on the ground with Ashton Jeanty, whose 828 rushing yards and five TDs should shred a Giants run defense allowing a league-worst 5.5 yards per carry. While the Giants' pass rush led by Brian Burns (15 sacks) is formidable, New York's 0-10 road record and Vegas's five-game head-to-head win streak—including a 30-6 blowout last meeting at Allegiant—point toward a home side ready to snap the skid. At 2.25, the Raiders offer solid value to gut out a close one.

This matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders and New York Giants feels like a battle of futility, but there’s value lurking for sharp bettors. Both teams are 2-13 and riding nine-game losing streaks, yet the Raiders hold an edge in this contest thanks to their dominance at Allegiant Stadium against New York. The Giants’ road woes are glaring—they’re 0-10 away from home—while the Raiders have shown resilience in narrow losses, including a gritty 23-21 defeat in Houston.

Offensively, the Raiders could exploit New York’s league-worst run defense, which surrenders 1.06 yards per carry. Ashton Jeanty’s 828 rushing yards and knack for finding the end zone make him a pivotal figure here. Meanwhile, the Giants' pass rush, led by Brian Burns’ 15 sacks, is formidable, but Vegas’s offensive line has Maxx Crosby to counter on the edges. The absence of tight end Michael Mayer looms large, but the Raiders’ familiarity with success against the Giants—including a 30-6 rout last season—boosts confidence.

The odds reflect the uncertainty: Raiders at 2.25 and Giants at 1.71. With the public leaning toward New York’s defensive strengths, the value lies squarely on the home team. Backing the Raiders to snap their skid aligns with both historical trends and situational factors.