Betting tips from AI for Lecce vs Como, 27 December 2025.

Bookmakers make Como the short favorite at 1.84, and prediction markets back them heavily, but the picture is muddied by a thin Como squad — Assane Diao, Alberto Dossena, Alvaro Morata and Edoardo Goldaniga are ruled out — which saps their attacking punch.
Lecce arrive buoyed by a sharp 1-0 win over Pisa (21 shots, >2 xG) and are unbeaten at home, while recent meetings and expert previews point to a low-scoring affair. Como’s rare off-day at Roma and Lecce’s defensive rhythm make a narrow stalemate likely. The draw at 3.46 represents the best mix of probability and value here, with Lecce at 4.92 a longshot and Como still vulnerable despite favorite status.

This Serie A clash between Lecce and Como presents an intriguing betting scenario. While betting experts and prediction markets lean towards a narrow Como victory at 1.84, several factors suggest a different outcome. Como arrives at Stadio Via del Mare severely hampered by injuries to key players like Assane Diao and Alvaro Morata, which could significantly impact their attacking prowess. They've also stumbled recently, suffering back-to-back losses and managing only one shot on target in their last outing against Roma.
Lecce, conversely, is buzzing after a dominant 1-0 win over Pisa, showcasing their "sharpest display yet" with 21 shots and over 2 xG. They boast a "rock-solid defense" and are unbeaten in three straight home games. Given Como's struggles cracking organized backlines and their current injury crisis, combined with Lecce's defensive strength and home form, a low-scoring affair is expected, with analysts eyeing under 2.5 goals. The historical dominance of Como over Lecce might be less relevant given the current squad dynamics. With Lecce's improved form and Como's depleted squad, a hard-fought draw at 3.46 offers excellent value.

Lecce's recent 1-0 dominance over Pisa shows they're finding form at the perfect time, generating an impressive 2+ xG and 21 shots. While Como sits higher in the table (7th with 24 points), their 0-1 stumble against Roma exposed offensive limitations with just one shot on target.

The injury crisis hitting Como couldn't come at a worse time, with Diao, Dossena, Morata, and Goldaniga all sidelined for this trip. Lecce's three-game unbeaten run at Stadio Via del Mare provides a foundation for confidence despite their historical struggles against Como.

Despite bookmakers favoring Como at 1.84, the value lies with Lecce at 4.92. Their improved offensive output combined with Como's depleted squad creates perfect upset conditions. Lecce's defensive solidity should frustrate a Como side missing key attacking threats, making the home team surprisingly dangerous as massive underdogs.

In the chilly embrace of Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce host Como in a Serie A showdown that screams value bet. Lecce's recent 1-0 grind over Pisa showcased their defensive grit, firing 21 shots and clocking over 2 xG while keeping a clean sheet—easing relegation woes with 16 points from 15 games. Unbeaten in three home outings, they're a fortress against leaky attacks.

Como, perched seventh with 24 points, tripped 0-1 at Roma, managing just one shot on target in a dismal display. Back-to-back losses sting, and injuries to Diao, Dossena, Morata, and Goldaniga leave their squad threadbare for this road test. History favors them, blanking Lecce 5-0 across last season's clashes, but cracking Lecce's organized backline won't be easy.

Experts lean Como for a 1-0 squeaker at 1.84, with prediction markets giving them 54% to win versus Lecce's 19% and draw's 28%. Yet, Lecce's low-scoring streak—seven straight under three goals—points to a stalemate in this cagey affair. I'm eyeing the draw at 3.46 for that juicy payout; it's the smart play where defenses dominate and ambition wanes.

Lecce's recent 1-0 dominance over Pisa and home unbeaten run offer hope, but Como's seventh-place standing and historical edge—outscoring Lecce 5-0 last season—tilt the scales. Betting experts forecast a narrow 1-0 Como win, echoed by prediction markets at 54% odds, despite injuries to key players like Assane Diao and Alvaro Morata thinning their squad.

With Lecce's rock-solid defense and low-scoring trends—their last seven mostly under three goals—this clash should be cagey, but Como's quality at 1.84 makes them the prudent pick for a profitable bet.

Lecce versus Como promises to be a tactical chess match, with both teams bringing unique narratives into this Serie A clash. Lecce enters the fixture on a high after dismantling Pisa 1-0, showcasing their attacking intent with 21 shots and over 2 xG. However, their historical struggles against Como—having conceded five unanswered goals in last season’s meetings—loom large. This psychological edge could weigh heavily on Lecce despite their recent resurgence.

Como, meanwhile, sits comfortably in seventh place but is reeling from back-to-back losses, including a frustrating 0-1 defeat at Roma where they managed just one shot on target. Their injury woes further complicate matters, with key players like Alvaro Morata sidelined. While prediction markets lean toward Como at 54% odds to win, their current form and depleted squad cast doubt on their ability to deliver under pressure.

The betting landscape reflects these dynamics. Como’s odds of 1.84 suggest they’re favorites, yet this line feels slightly inflated given their vulnerabilities. Lecce’s odds of 4.92 present significant value, especially considering their solid home record and newfound confidence. The draw, priced at 3.46, also warrants attention given the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring affair.

Ultimately, Lecce’s defensive resilience combined with Como’s struggles away from home tips the scales. Expect a hard-fought battle where Lecce’s hunger to overturn past demons proves decisive.