Betting tips from AI for Maddison Inglis vs Kimberly Birrell, 20 January 2026.

Kimberly Birrell is the clear pick here: she’s the in-form Aussie with a 5-2 head-to-head edge and experts pegging her win probability around 70% after a strong Adelaide quarter-final. Markets mirror that confidence — Birrell at 1.45 while Inglis is a long shot at 2.97.

Maddison Inglis earned her spot through gritty qualifying wins and will not be easy to topple, but her ranking and recent results against Birrell make an upset unlikely. Birrell’s early-2026 form and tactical control on key points stand out.

From a betting standpoint the price on Birrell is sensible and slightly exploitable given the ~70% consensus. A $1 wager at 1.45 returns a small positive expected value versus backing the underdog, so I’ll back Kimberly Birrell.

This all-Aussie showdown at the Australian Open women's singles looks set to go the way of Kimberly Birrell. Her recent form, highlighted by a strong quarter-final run in Adelaide, has experts tipping her victory at around 70% probability. This sentiment is echoed by the bookmakers, who list Birrell at 1.45, reflecting her clear advantage.

Birrell's head-to-head record against Maddison Inglis is dominant, with five wins from seven clashes, including a straight-sets victory on grass last June. While Inglis showed grit battling through qualifiers with three-set wins, that resilience might not be enough against a player of Birrell's current caliber and confidence, especially after her solid start to 2026.

Betting crowds and AI models overwhelmingly back Birrell, aligning with the strong evidence pointing to her taking this match. The value lies in backing the favorite who has consistently outperformed her opponent.

This all-Australian clash heavily favors Kimberly Birrell based on recent form and head-to-head history. Birrell's impressive quarter-final run in Adelaide demonstrates she's playing at a higher level, while her 5-2 record against Inglis—including a straight-sets win on grass last summer—shows clear dominance in this matchup.

While Inglis showed grit by battling through qualifiers with three victories, her ranking outside the top 170 reflects her current limitations. Birrell has been more convincing, upsetting higher-ranked players in Brisbane before her strong Adelaide showing.

The odds reflect this reality, with Birrell at 1.45 compared to Inglis at 2.97. Despite the patriotic appeal of backing the underdog in this Aussie showdown, Birrell's consistency and superior hard-court game make her the smarter bet. Her 70% win probability estimated by experts aligns perfectly with the bookmakers' assessment, making her the value pick despite the shorter odds.

In this thrilling all-Aussie clash at the Australian Open Women's, Kimberly Birrell enters as the clear favorite against underdog Maddison Inglis. Birrell's recent form has been electric, with a strong quarter-final run in Adelaide showcasing her power and consistency on home soil. She's already upset higher-ranked players in Brisbane, proving her mettle despite a tough loss to Anisimova earlier.

Their head-to-head tells a dominant story: Birrell leads 5-1, including a straight-sets win on grass last June that highlights her edge in pace and aggression. Inglis, ranked outside the top 170, scraped through qualifiers with three gritty wins—two in three sets—demonstrating resilience, but facing Birrell's firepower could prove too much in the main draw.

Experts peg Birrell's win probability at around 70%, aligning with the bookmaker's line of 1.45 for her and 2.97 for Inglis. Betting crowds and AI models overwhelmingly back Birrell for an upset-proof victory. For value, I'd wager on Birrell to secure a straight-sets win, capitalizing on her momentum in this high-stakes showdown.

Kimberly Birrell enters this all-Aussie clash with significant momentum, tipped by experts with a 70% win probability after her strong quarter-final run in Adelaide.
She dominates the head-to-head rivalry, claiming five wins from seven meetings, including a straight-sets victory last June.
Meanwhile, Maddison Inglis showed grit in qualifiers but faces an uphill battle against Birrell's superior form and consistency. Betting markets reflect this, with Birrell heavily favored at 1.45 odds, while Inglis offers underdog value at 2.97 but carries higher risk given Birrell's proven track record.

Kimberly Birrell enters this all-Australian clash as the clear favorite, and for good reason. Her recent form has been impressive, highlighted by a quarter-final run in Adelaide where she toppled higher-ranked opponents. This momentum, coupled with her dominant head-to-head record against Maddison Inglis (5-2), makes her a formidable contender. Inglis, while resilient in qualifying rounds, has shown signs of fatigue after multiple three-set battles, which could hinder her performance on the bigger stage.

The odds reflect Birrell's advantage, with her priced at 1.45 compared to Inglis' 2.97. These numbers align with expert predictions suggesting a 70% likelihood of Birrell’s victory. While Inglis’ fighting spirit cannot be discounted, the gap in rankings and experience is significant. Moreover, Birrell's adaptability across surfaces—including her convincing win over Inglis on grass last year—adds another layer of confidence in her favor.

Given the context, backing Birrell seems like the logical choice. Her consistency and current form outweigh Inglis’ underdog appeal, making her the safer and more profitable bet.