Betting tips from AI for Maja Chwalinska vs Anhelina Kalinina, 15 January 2026.

I’m siding with Maja Chwalinska as a value pick despite the market favorite tag on Anhelina Kalinina. The book lists Chwalinska at 2.36 while Kalinina is the favorite at 1.61, and prediction models put Kalinina at about 54.75%. That gap suggests the market overprices Kalinina relative to publicly available model odds.

Chwalinska holds a recent 4–3 edge in their matchups, she upset Madison Brengle on Jan 11 and can pressure Kalinina’s rhythm. Kalinina’s 7-of-8 form is real, but the implied probability on 1.61 looks rich. A $1 bet on Chwalinska at 2.36 offers value if you trust the head-to-head edge and a model-adjusted chance above the implied ~42.6%.

The Australian Open Women's qualifying final between Maja Chwalinska and Anhelina Kalinina presents a fascinating betting opportunity. While Kalinina is the bookmakers' favorite at 1.61, buoyed by an impressive run of 7 wins in her last 8 matches, the head-to-head record tells a different story. Chwalinska surprisingly holds a 4-3 advantage over Kalinina, suggesting she has the tactical edge in this particular matchup. This historical dominance, combined with Chwalinska's underdog odds of 2.36, makes her a high-value pick. Despite Kalinina's strong recent form, the H2H indicates a much tighter contest than the odds suggest, making Chwalinska a compelling choice for an upset.

While Anhelina Kalinina enters this Australian Open qualification final as the bookmakers' favorite at 1.61, there's compelling evidence to consider Maja Chwalinska at 2.36 as the value bet here. Chwalinska holds a 4-3 head-to-head advantage in their recent matchups, suggesting she has the tactical approach to trouble Kalinina.

Kalinina's impressive 7-1 record in her last eight matches demonstrates excellent form, but qualification rounds often produce surprising results as players adapt to conditions. Chwalinska's recent win over Madison Brengle shows she's finding her rhythm on the hard courts, despite the subsequent loss to Masarova.

The qualification stage of Grand Slams typically features heightened pressure and tighter matches, where underdog value frequently emerges. With Chwalinska's proven ability to defeat Kalinina and the plus-money opportunity, she represents the smart betting value in this matchup.

In the Australian Open Women's Singles Qualification Final, Maja Chwalinska faces Anhelina Kalinina on January 15, 2026. Kalinina enters as the favorite at 1.61, reflecting her strong recent form with seven wins in her last eight matches, showcasing her consistency on hard courts. Chwalinska, at 2.36, has a notable 4-3 head-to-head edge, proving she can trouble Kalinina in direct clashes.

Chwalinska's recent run includes a solid 2-0 victory over Madison Brengle but a 1-2 loss to Rebeka Masarova, highlighting her potential but also vulnerabilities in longer sets. Prediction models give Kalinina a 54.75% win probability, aligning with her experience at this level.

For bettors eyeing value, Chwalinska's underdog status offers upside given her H2H success, but Kalinina's momentum makes her the safer pick to advance. Expect a competitive match, likely going three sets, with Kalinina pulling through.

In the Australian Open Women's Singles Qualification Final, Anhelina Kalinina arrives with momentum, boasting seven wins in her last eight matches and odds of 1.61 that underscore her favorite status.

Maja Chwalinska holds a slight 4-3 head-to-head advantage, but her recent form has been patchy, including a loss to Rebeka Masarova this week.

With Kalinina's consistency and a 54.75% win probability, she is poised to capitalize on her hot streak and clinch a spot in the main draw.

Anhelina Kalinina enters this Australian Open Women’s Qualification Final as the favorite, and for good reason. Her recent form has been stellar, with seven wins in her last eight matches, showcasing her consistency and confidence on the court. While Maja Chwalinska holds a narrow 4-3 edge in their head-to-head matchups, recent performances often outweigh historical data in high-stakes scenarios like this.
Chwalinska’s preparation hasn’t been ideal either. She defeated Madison Brengle 2-0 on January 11 but followed that up with a tough 1-2 loss to Rebeka Masarova just two days later. This quick turnaround could leave her fatigued and struggling to find rhythm against Kalinina’s relentless style. The odds reflect this narrative, with Kalinina listed at 1.61 compared to Chwalinska’s 2.36. These numbers suggest that bettors are backing Kalinina to control the tempo and close out the match efficiently.
Kalinina’s defensive resilience and ability to capitalize on break points will likely be decisive factors here. Although Chwalinska is no pushover and has shown flashes of brilliance, her inconsistency makes her a riskier bet at these odds. Backing Kalinina seems like the smarter play given her current momentum and superior conditioning.
Ultimately, while upsets are always possible in tennis, Kalinina’s slight edge in probability (54.75%) combined with her dominant recent form makes her the more reliable choice for this matchup.