Betting tips from AI for Mallorca vs Girona, 04 January 2026.

Mallorca's home edge and Girona's porous defence make the hosts the smart play. Scores24 backs a tight 2-1 Mallorca win and Dimers gives the Islanders a 42.6% chance at Son Moix; Girona sit 18th, shipping 1.9 goals per game and yet to win away there. Keeper Paulo Gazzaniga’s shaky form and Girona’s trouble keeping clean sheets tilt the game toward Mallorca.
Bookmakers price Mallorca attractively at 2.23, with Girona at 3.62 and the draw at 3.24. Back Mallorca for a narrow home victory based on form, head-to-head history and value.

As La Liga action heats up, Mallorca prepares to defend their 'unbreached home fortress' against a struggling Girona side. Historically, Girona has never tasted victory away at Mallorca in La Liga, a trend that's unlikely to change given their current form. The Islanders boast a strong home record with only one loss this season, averaging 1.3 goals per game, making their 2.23 odds look attractive.

Girona, languishing in 18th place, has managed just one away triumph all season. Their defense is a significant concern, leaking 1.9 goals per game, and with keeper Paulo Gazzaniga's 'shaky form' exposing the backline, Mallorca's attack should find opportunities. While both teams have been 'defensive wrecks' lately, failing to keep clean sheets, Mallorca's home advantage and offensive capabilities are superior.

Experts at Scores24 are tipping a tight 2-1 Mallorca victory, a sentiment echoed by Dimers' model giving Mallorca a 42.6% win probability. Considering Girona's historical woes at Son Moix and their current away form, the 2.23 odds for a Mallorca win present a compelling value, making it the smart play.

History heavily favors Mallorca at Son Moix, where Girona has never tasted victory in La Liga encounters. The bookmakers agree, offering Mallorca at 2.23 compared to Girona's longer 3.62. This value is impossible to ignore.

Mallorca's solid 14th position contrasts sharply with Girona's relegation zone struggle in 18th. The visitors' defensive woes are alarming, conceding 1.9 goals per game and without a clean sheet in six matches. Their lone away win this season speaks volumes about their road troubles.

Dimers' simulation gives Mallorca a 42.6% win probability, which aligns with the value in their odds. While Viktor Tsygankov provides attacking threat for Girona with three goals and two assists, Paulo Gazzaniga's shaky goalkeeping has left their defense vulnerable.

Expect a classic 2-1 scoreline favoring the hosts, as predicted by Scores24 experts. Both teams' leaky defenses suggest goals, but Mallorca's home fortress status should ultimately prevail in this crucial mid-season clash.

In the sun-kissed stadium of Son Moix, Mallorca hosts Girona in a La Liga clash that screams value for the home side. With Mallorca entrenched in 14th on 18 points and a rock-solid home record—boasting just one loss and mirroring their 1.3 goals scored and conceded— they're primed to exploit Girona's woes. The visitors slump in 18th with a measly 15 points, their away form a nightmare, never having triumphed over the Islanders in La Liga history and leaking 1.9 goals per game amid a six-match clean-sheet drought.

Experts at Scores24 tip a gritty 2-1 Mallorca win, underscoring that unbreached fortress mentality, while Dimers' models hand the hosts a 42.6% win probability, with under 2.5 goals and a 1-1 draw lurking but less likely. Both teams' defensive frailties—Mallorca winless for clean sheets in three, Girona in six—hint at both scoring, as seen in five of their last seven meetings. Yet, Viktor Tsygankov's flair for Girona can't mask Paulo Gazzaniga's shaky gloves exposing the backline.

At 2.23 for Mallorca, this is betting gold; their home edge turns the tide against a Girona side desperate but outmatched. Expect a tense, low-scoring affair where Mallorca grinds out the points.

Mallorca's Son Moix has been a fortress against Girona, with the hosts unbeaten in La Liga home clashes. Girona languishes 18th, leaking 1.9 goals per game and managing just one away win this season, while Mallorca's solid home record—only one loss—makes them favorites. Dimers' simulation gives Mallorca a 42.6% edge to win, aligning with the valuable odds of 2.23.

Both teams are defensive wrecks, with clean sheets rare, suggesting both sides could score as in past meetings. However, Mallorca's ability to average 1.3 goals at home should overcome Girona's exposed backline, despite Viktor Tsygankov's threat.

With historical dominance and current form favoring the Islanders, betting on Mallorca offers the clearest path to profit in this matchup.

Mallorca holds a distinct advantage heading into this La Liga clash against Girona, particularly given their historical dominance at home. Scores24’s prediction of a 2-1 win for Mallorca aligns with their solid home form, where they’ve only suffered one loss this season. The odds reflect this edge, with Mallorca priced at 2.23, suggesting they’re the favorite to secure all three points. Meanwhile, Girona’s struggles are evident in their poor away record and defensive frailties, conceding 1.9 goals per game, which makes their 3.62 odds seem like a risky proposition.

The likelihood of both teams scoring appears high, considering neither side has kept a clean sheet recently, and five of their last seven encounters have seen goals at both ends. However, Dimers’ simulation model gives Mallorca a 42.6% chance of victory, significantly higher than Girona’s prospects. A 1-1 draw, projected at 12.8%, could tempt bettors eyeing the 3.24 odds, but Girona’s lack of away wins and reliance on Viktor Tsygankov’s individual brilliance make them an unreliable pick.

Given the circumstances, Mallorca’s consistency at Son Moix and Girona’s ongoing struggles on the road tilt the scales firmly in favor of the home team. Backing Mallorca to win seems the most profitable route, especially with favorable odds and strong underlying metrics supporting their chances.