Betting tips from AI for Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic, 19 January 2026.

Hamad Medjedovic is the sensible pick here. Bookmakers and markets are humming the same tune: Medjedovic is the form player and hard-court favorite, listed at 1.44 while Navone comes in as the underdog at 2.99.

Medjedovic arrives 3-1 in 2026 with solid Auckland form and a clear hard-court edge, and Tennis Tonic even expects him to prevail in four gritty sets. Navone’s 0-2 start and early Auckland exit leave him vulnerable, especially on a fast Melbourne surface where errors will be punished.

For a $1 betting unit aimed at long-run profit, backing the stronger, in-form Serb is the best risk-reward: lower payout but a much higher win probability, matching both book and market signals.

The Australian Open clash between Mariano Navone and Hamad Medjedovic presents a clear favorite according to all indicators. Medjedovic, priced at 1.44, arrives in Melbourne with significant momentum, boasting a 3-1 record in 2026, including a solid second-round run in Auckland. Tennis Tonic specifically highlights his superior hard-court edge, predicting he'll edge out Navone in four gritty sets.

In stark contrast, Mariano Navone, the 2.99 underdog, has had a shaky start to 2026, sitting at 0-2 overall and winless on hard courts after a first-round exit in Auckland. Bookmakers and prediction markets heavily back Medjedovic, with traders pricing him at 71¢ to win against Navone's 29¢. Given Medjedovic's current form, hard-court prowess, and Navone's struggles, betting on the Serb offers the most profitable and logical path here. He's simply playing better tennis right now.

Hamad Medjedovic enters this Australian Open clash with significant momentum, boasting a respectable 3-1 record in 2026 that includes a solid Auckland run. His odds of 1.44 reflect bookmakers' strong confidence in the Serbian's hard-court prowess.

In stark contrast, Mariano Navone has struggled mightily to start the year, carrying an 0-2 record into Melbourne and showing particular weakness on hard courts. His first-round exit in Auckland to Michelsen exposed vulnerabilities that Medjedovic is well-positioned to exploit.

Medjedovic's superior adaptation to hard-court conditions gives him a tactical edge that the odds accurately reflect. The prediction markets pricing him at 71¢ to win versus Navone's 29¢ aligns with my analysis.

While Navone's 2.99 odds might tempt value hunters, the form disparity is too significant to ignore. Expect Medjedovic to control the tempo and secure a convincing victory, likely in four sets as Tennis Tonic suggests.

In the opening rounds of the Australian Open Men's draw, Mariano Navone faces a steep uphill battle against Hamad Medjedovic, a matchup that screams value for the favorite. Medjedovic, the world No. 96, enters Melbourne riding a wave of momentum from his 3-1 start to 2026, highlighted by a gritty second-round push in Auckland before a narrow loss to Mensik. His hard-court prowess shines through, giving him the tools to dictate play on these fast surfaces.

Navone, meanwhile, is mired in early-season struggles, winless at 0-2 overall after a quick Auckland exit to Michelsen. That shaky form on hard courts leaves him vulnerable, especially against a dialed-in opponent like Medjedovic. Bookmakers reflect this disparity, installing Medjedovic as a solid -228 favorite while Navone lingers at +199 as the underdog.

Tennis Tonic's call for Medjedovic to prevail in four sets aligns perfectly with the Serb's edge in stamina and shot-making. Prediction markets back this too, with 71¢ on Medjedovic versus 29¢ for Navone. For bettors eyeing profit, Medjedovic's reliability makes him the smart play to kick off the Aussie Slam with a win.

Hamad Medjedovic arrives with undeniable momentum, sporting a 3-1 record in 2026 and a recent second-round push in Auckland. Tennis Tonic projects a gritty four-set win, underscoring his hard-court edge and superior form.

Mariano Navone's 0-2 start to the year, including a first-round Auckland exit, highlights his struggles on the surface. This disparity is captured in the odds, with Medjedovic a heavy favorite at 1.44 versus Navone's underdog price of 2.99.

Given Medjedovic's consistent performance and Navone's shaky beginnings, betting on the Serb at 1.44 aligns with both analytics and market sentiment for a profitable outcome.

Hamad Medjedovic enters this Australian Open clash as the clear favorite, and for good reason. The Serbian has shown impressive form in the early part of 2026, boasting a 3-1 record that includes a solid run in Auckland where he pushed past quality opponents before falling to Mensik. His hard-court prowess is well-documented, and Tennis Tonic’s projection of a four-set victory aligns with his recent performances. Medjedovic’s odds of 1.44 reflect both his consistency and the market’s confidence in his ability to overpower Mariano Navone.

On the other hand, Navone’s struggles are impossible to ignore. He arrives winless in two matches this year after an early exit in Auckland, where he lost to Michelsen. This shaky start has left him searching for answers on hard courts, a surface where Medjedovic thrives. The odds of 2.99 on Navone suggest there’s value for bettors seeking long shots, but his current form raises serious doubts about his chances here. Prediction markets further reinforce this narrative, pricing Medjedovic at 71¢ compared to Navone’s 29¢.

While upsets are always possible in tennis, Medjedovic’s combination of momentum, superior skill on hard courts, and head-to-head edge makes him the logical choice. Backing the favorite in this matchup appears to be the most profitable path forward.