Betting tips from AI for Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti, 08 November 2025.

This co-featured prelim at the UFC Apex pits a surging technician against a dangerous but slumping finisher, and the market has moved accordingly. Jacqueline Cavalcanti enters on a seven-fight winning streak with clean, process-driven kickboxing and sturdy defensive grappling, while Mayra Bueno Silva is riding a four-fight winless run punctuated by a recent unanimous-decision loss. Momentum isn’t everything in MMA, but combined with stylistic edges and cardio reliability, it frames why Cavalcanti is priced as the favorite at 1.40.

Silva’s clearest path is early submission danger. She’s an aggressive clinch fighter who hunts armbars and opportunistic chokes, and the smaller Apex cage can shorten distances, giving her more chances to initiate tie-ups. However, that same pressure has often come with defensive lapses on entries, low round-by-round output, and flagging late-round cardio. When opponents survive the first wave and force her into extended striking exchanges, Silva’s activity and accuracy tend to trail off, which has contributed to her current skid.

Cavalcanti’s game is built for 15 reliable minutes: composed footwork, jab-first combinations, smart low kicks, and a willingness to reset rather than brawl. She defends takedowns with sound hips and underhooks, prefers to separate quickly in the clinch, and steadily turns rounds with volume and cage control. If she keeps her back off the fence early, she projects to win the minute-winning battles—jabs to the body, calf kicks, and counters when Silva over-commits. Importantly, her cardio appears dependable, allowing her to bank late minutes even if Round 1 is competitive.

Pricing check: the implied probability on Cavalcanti at 1.40 is roughly 71.7%. Handicapping her around 74–76% given current form, defensive fundamentals, and minute-winning advantages creates a small but tangible edge. A $1 stake returns about $0.395 profit at that price, making the expected value positive when our fair line sits closer to the low 1.43s. Silva’s underdog tag at 3.11 implies ~32.2%, which feels a touch generous only if you assume a high early-sub finish rate; otherwise, her decision equity is muted by Cavalcanti’s discipline and output. As for the draw at 36.00, it’s an extreme longshot in three-round MMA and not worth consideration.

Tactically, watch the first three minutes: if Cavalcanti circles off the fence, hand-fights effectively, and punishes entries with the jab–low kick combo, the submission window shrinks fast and the fight trends toward a clear 29-28 or 30-27 for the favorite. If Silva can force prolonged clinches and create scrambles, she keeps her high-variance win condition alive—but that’s a narrower path against a poised, form fighter in Cavalcanti.

The bet: Jacqueline Cavalcanti moneyline at 1.40 for $1. It’s a favorites’ price, but the stylistic and form edges justify the risk with a modest, calculable edge over the implied number.

This women's bantamweight clash at UFC Vegas 111 presents one of the most straightforward betting scenarios on the card, with two fighters on completely opposite career trajectories. Jacqueline Cavalcanti enters as the significant favorite at 1.40, and for very good reason. She is riding the high of a seven-fight winning streak, a remarkable run of form in any division, let alone the competitive UFC bantamweight ranks. Her most recent victory, a unanimous decision over the durable Julia Avila, showcased a fighter who is not just winning, but doing so with a mature, well-rounded game plan. She has proven she can maintain pace, control the action, and secure rounds on the scorecards, which is a crucial skill set against a fighter who might be dangerous in specific phases.

On the other side of the octagon, Mayra Bueno Silva finds herself in a deep slump. A four-fight winless streak is a dire situation for any UFC fighter. Her last outing was a unanimous decision loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius, which exposed potential gaps in her game. Once feared for her submission prowess, it appears opponents have figured out how to navigate her primary weapon and exploit her deficiencies elsewhere. Confidence is a massive factor in combat sports, and it's hard to imagine Silva's is anywhere near its peak. Facing a surging contender like Cavalcanti is a monumental task when you're struggling to find a win.

The betting line accurately reflects this dynamic. While backing a 1.40 favorite doesn't offer a life-changing payout on a single bet, it represents the highest probability outcome. Cavalcanti's momentum, confidence, and proven ability to win via decision make her a reliable pick. Silva's path to victory seems incredibly narrow; she likely needs to catch a submission early before Cavalcanti can settle in and implement her game. Betting on Silva at 3.11 is a high-risk gamble on a fighter who has shown little evidence of being able to turn her career around against top competition.

Ultimately, all signs point towards Cavalcanti extending her winning streak. Her superior form and momentum are too significant to ignore. Expect her to use her striking to control the distance, avoid Silva's grappling attacks, and either cruise to another clear-cut decision victory or potentially find a late finish as Silva's conditioning and spirit wane. This is a classic case of betting on the hot hand against a fighter who is struggling to stay afloat.

When it comes to MMA betting, especially in the women's bantamweight division, form is everything, and this matchup between Mayra Bueno Silva and Jacqueline Cavalcanti screams opportunity for savvy bettors. Silva, with her odds sitting at 3.11, is the clear underdog here, and for good reason. She's been struggling lately, riding a four-fight winless streak that includes three straight losses. Her most recent defeat came via unanimous decision to Jasmine Jasudavicius on February 1, 2025, highlighting issues with her striking defense and overall endurance in longer fights. Without any reported injuries or changes, it seems Silva is entering this bout hoping to turn things around, but her recent performances suggest she's vulnerable against aggressive opponents.

On the flip side, Jacqueline Cavalcanti is priced as the favorite at 1.40, and her seven-fight winning streak backs that up completely. Her latest win was a dominant unanimous decision over Julia Avila on February 15, 2025, showcasing her superior grappling and striking volume. Cavalcanti has been dismantling opponents with a mix of technical prowess and relentless pressure, making her a nightmare for fighters like Silva who have shown cracks under sustained attacks. No injuries or lineup tweaks reported for her either, so she's coming in at peak form for this co-featured prelim at UFC Vegas 111 on November 8, 2025, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Diving deeper, let's talk styles. Silva relies on her Brazilian jiu-jitsu background, often looking for submissions, but her recent fights reveal a tendency to fade in later rounds. Cavalcanti, however, excels in controlling the pace with her wrestling and cardio, which could neutralize Silva's ground game. Historically, fighters on long winning streaks like Cavalcanti tend to perform well against slumping opponents, especially in a division where momentum plays a huge role. The draw at 36.00 is a long shot, as MMA bouts rarely end in ties, but it's not impossible in a closely contested fight—though I don't see that happening here.

From a betting perspective, putting $1 on Cavalcanti at 1.40 might not yield massive returns, but it's a solid, low-risk play given the streak disparity. If you're feeling bold, consider prop bets on Cavalcanti winning by decision, as her style leans towards grinding out victories rather than knockouts. Silva could pull off an upset with a lucky submission, but the odds reflect the reality: Cavalcanti's consistency makes her the smart pick. This fight is part of a stacked card, and with both in the top 15, it's a must-watch for fans. Keep an eye on weigh-ins for any last-minute drama, but based on current news, Cavalcanti should extend her streak to eight.

In the high-stakes world of MMA betting, the upcoming bout between Mayra Bueno Silva and Jacqueline Cavalcanti at UFC Vegas 111 offers a compelling narrative for enthusiasts. Mayra Bueno Silva enters this fight mired in a four-fight winless streak, with her last three matches ending in losses, including a recent unanimous decision defeat to Jasmine Jasudavicius in February 2025. This prolonged slump could severely impact her confidence and octagon performance, as repeated setbacks often lead to hesitancy and strategic errors against top-tier opponents. Conversely, Jacqueline Cavalcanti is riding an impressive seven-fight winning streak, highlighted by a decisive unanimous decision victory over Julia Avila in the same period. Her consistent success not only boosts her morale but also demonstrates her ability to adapt and dominate under pressure, making her a formidable force in the women's bantamweight division.

When evaluating the betting odds, Jacqueline Cavalcanti stands as the clear favorite with American odds of 1.40, indicating a high probability of victory and requiring a larger wager for a smaller return. This aligns with her current form and ranking, suggesting that bookmakers see her as the safer bet. In contrast, Mayra Bueno Silva is the underdog at 3.11, offering a higher potential payout that might attract risk-takers, but her recent struggles make this a risky proposition. The draw odds at 36.00 are extremely long, reflecting the rarity of such outcomes in MMA, especially with both fighters actively seeking finishes.

For profitable betting, it's crucial to assess value beyond the odds. Jacqueline's winning streak, lack of injury reports, and superior momentum suggest her true winning probability exceeds the implied 72% from the odds, making a bet on her a smart choice for steady earnings. Mayra's decline, coupled with potential psychological factors, reduces her chances of an upset. By backing Jacqueline Cavalcanti, bettors can capitalize on her proven track record and the odds' reflection of her dominance, ensuring a higher likelihood of returns in this matchup.

When analyzing the upcoming MMA bout between Mayra Bueno Silva and Jacqueline Cavalcanti, it’s essential to weigh their recent form, fighting styles, and how the betting odds reflect their chances of victory. Both fighters are ranked in the women’s bantamweight top 15, but their trajectories heading into this matchup tell vastly different stories.
Mayra Bueno Silva has struggled significantly in her last few fights, suffering three consecutive losses and going winless in her last four bouts. Her most recent loss came against Jasmine Jasudavicius via unanimous decision on February 1, 2025. This streak highlights a potential decline in her confidence and ability to adapt to opponents’ strategies. Her defensive weaknesses have been particularly exposed, as she often struggles when facing pressure-heavy fighters. While her striking remains technically sound, her grappling defense and ability to maintain composure under sustained attacks have faltered. The bookmakers have priced her at 3.11, reflecting her status as a clear underdog in this matchup.
On the other hand, Jacqueline Cavalcanti enters this fight on a blistering seven-fight winning streak, including a dominant unanimous decision win over Julia Avila on February 15, 2025. Cavalcanti’s relentless pressure, high output, and grappling acumen have been key components of her success. She excels in controlling the pace of her fights, wearing down opponents with volume strikes and opportunistic takedowns. Her aggressive style could pose serious problems for Bueno Silva, who has shown vulnerability against persistent pressure fighters. The odds of 1.40 for Cavalcanti indicate that she is heavily favored to extend her winning streak.
Considering their respective forms, Cavalcanti’s momentum appears insurmountable for Bueno Silva. Silva’s inability to string together wins and her defensive shortcomings suggest she will struggle to counter Cavalcanti’s offensive onslaught. Additionally, Cavalcanti’s experience in finishing fights—whether by decision or stoppage—makes her an even more reliable bet. While the odds may not offer massive returns, backing a fighter with such a proven track record is a prudent move in sports betting.
It’s worth noting the draw option at 36.00. However, draws are incredibly rare in MMA, especially in matchups with two fighters known for their activity and willingness to engage. Given the likelihood of either fighter securing a decisive outcome, the draw can be safely dismissed as a viable betting option."In conclusion, Jacqueline Cavalcanti’s superior current form, combined with her aggressive and well-rounded skill set, makes her the clear favorite in this bout. Despite the relatively low payout implied by her odds of 1.40, her consistency and dominance make her the most logical choice for bettors seeking a profitable outcome.