Betting tips from AI for Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks, 22 January 2026.

I lean with Memphis at home — they’re the cleaner, more cohesive unit. Memphis’ 29.0 assists per game (5th in the league) and superior ball movement should exploit Atlanta’s porous defense (28th in limiting opponent assists), and the Grizzlies arrive off a confidence-boosting 126-109 win. Backing Memphis at 1.72 is about buying a small, realistic edge.

Atlanta is desperate after a four-game skid and shot well at the line in their last loss, but their defensive lapses and Memphis’ home-court rhythm make the Grizzlies the safer play versus the underdog value of 2.15.

This mid-table NBA clash sees the Memphis Grizzlies, favored at 1.72, host the struggling Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta arrives desperate, reeling from a brutal four-game losing streak, while Memphis rides the momentum of a recent 126-109 victory over Orlando. While betting analysts call this a toss-up, the Grizzlies' superior home-court performance against the spread offers a crucial edge.

The decisive factor, however, lies in Memphis's ball movement. Ranking 5th in assists, the Grizzlies are perfectly positioned to exploit an Atlanta defense that ranks 28th in limiting opponent assists. Despite both teams' defensive frailties, Memphis's offensive fluidity and home advantage should see them through.

The Grizzlies enter this matchup with momentum after a convincing 126-109 victory over Orlando, while the Hawks are desperate to snap a four-game losing streak. Memphis holds a slight edge playing at home, where they've covered the spread in 10 of 21 games this season.

What stands out is Memphis' superior ball movement, ranking 5th in assists (29.0 per game), which should exploit Atlanta's defensive weakness (28th in limiting opponent assists). The Hawks' defense has been particularly vulnerable, allowing 119.0 points per game (25th in the league).

While Atlanta's recent 112-110 loss to Milwaukee showed they can keep games close, their defensive struggles will likely be their undoing against a Grizzlies team that's finding its rhythm. The bookmakers' odds of 1.72 for Memphis reflect their justified favorite status, making them the smarter bet despite the relatively tight spread. The Hawks' 2.15 odds are tempting but not enough given their current form crisis.

The matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and Atlanta Hawks promises a gritty battle in the heart of the NBA season, with both teams jockeying for playoff positioning. As the home favorites at 1.72, the Grizzlies hold a slight edge, backed by FOX Sports' projection of a narrow 119-115 victory. Memphis has been lights-out at home, covering the spread in 10 of 21 games, while Atlanta limps in on a brutal four-game skid, their latest heartbreaker a 112-110 loss to Milwaukee despite hitting 83.3% from the line.

Memphis rides momentum from a convincing 126-109 rout of Orlando, showcasing their offensive firepower. What tilts the scales? The Grizzlies' elite ball movement—ranking 5th league-wide with 29.0 assists per game—exploits Atlanta's porous defense, which sits 28th in limiting opponent assists and coughs up 119.0 points nightly (25th overall). While both squads struggle defensively, Memphis surrenders fewer points (116.0, 16th) and boasts a 54-55% win probability from analysts, making this a toss-up ripe for home dominance.

Betting $1 on Memphis at 1.72 offers solid value in a contest where superior playmaking and court familiarity should seal the deal. Expect Ja Morant and company to dictate tempo, frustrating Trae Young's Hawks in a high-scoring affair.

The Memphis Grizzlies enter this matchup with momentum after a convincing 126-109 victory over Orlando, while the Atlanta Hawks aim to snap a brutal four-game losing streak. Memphis holds a key advantage with elite ball movement, ranking 5th in assists, poised to exploit Atlanta's defense that ranks 28th in limiting opponent assists. Betting odds list Memphis at 1.72 and Atlanta at 2.15, reflecting the Grizzlies' home-court edge. FOX Sports projects a tight 119-115 win for Memphis, and with both teams defensively challenged, the Grizzlies' slightly better defense (16th vs. 25th) and desperation to maintain home form should prevail.

The Memphis Grizzlies are set to host the Atlanta Hawks in what promises to be an exciting and closely contested NBA matchup. The Grizzlies, who have been performing well at home with 10 covers in 21 home games, will look to leverage their strong ball movement, which ranks 5th in the league with 29.0 assists per game. This could pose a significant challenge for the Hawks, whose defense ranks 28th in limiting opponent assists. Adding to the Grizzlies' advantage is Atlanta's current form; the Hawks are on a four-game losing streak, most recently falling to the Milwaukee Bucks by a narrow margin. Despite this, the defensive struggles of both teams, with Atlanta allowing 119.0 points per game and Memphis 116.0, suggest that this game could turn into a high-scoring affair. Given the Grizzlies' recent win over Orlando and their superior home-court performance, they are favored slightly with odds of 1.72. However, the tight nature of the contest, as projected by FOX Sports, means the Grizzlies will need to bring their A-game to secure a victory.