Betting tips from AI for Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic, 18 January 2026.

Take Memphis for the value. They’re listed at 2.70 while Orlando is -213 (1.47), and the market prices Memphis like a ~37% shot — but Forebet gives them 56% and models are split, signaling clear value on the Grizzlies.

Orlando did beat Memphis 118-111 in Berlin two days ago, but quick back-to-back travel and a dismal 5-11 ATS record when heavy favorites (≥5.5) blunt that edge. Memphis’s games are explosive (233 ppg environments) and Ja Morant can flip a neutral-court rematch. For a $1 EV-focused wager, I’ll back Memphis Grizzlies at the price.

The Orlando Magic secured a win against the Grizzlies just two days ago, setting up an intriguing "revenge" game for Memphis. Despite the Magic being favored at 1.47, their track record as heavy favorites is concerning, sporting a dismal 5-11 ATS mark when spotted 5.5 or more points. This suggests they often underperform expectations in such scenarios.

While computer models are split, with some like SportsLine favoring Orlando, others like iHeart predict a Grizzlies upset, projecting a 116-115 score. Forebet analysts are even bolder, giving Memphis a 56% chance to win, driven by Ja Morant's explosive potential. With the Grizzlies' recent games averaging a high 233 points, they possess the offensive firepower to challenge Paolo Banchero's Magic. The value at 2.70 for the Grizzlies is too good to pass up given these factors.

The Magic's recent 118-111 victory over Memphis in Berlin gives Orlando a psychological edge heading into this London rematch, but there's value in the Grizzlies at 2.70. While computer models are split, the Grizzlies' explosive offense (233 points average in recent games) suggests they can keep pace with Banchero's Magic.

Orlando's troubling 5-11 ATS record as heavy favorites (5.5+ points) is a major red flag. They've consistently underperformed when expected to dominate, making Memphis an attractive underdog play. Forebet's 56% win probability for Memphis aligns with my analysis.

Ja Morant's 21.4 PPG and playmaking ability gives the Grizzlies the star power needed to orchestrate an upset. While Orlando has Banchero's consistent production (24.4 PPG), Memphis has the motivation factor after the Berlin loss. The Grizzlies' poor 24% win rate as road underdogs is concerning, but the value at 2.70 is too good to pass up in what projects to be a close contest.

The Orlando Magic are riding high after stunning the Memphis Grizzlies 118-111 in Berlin just two days ago, grabbing a 1-0 edge in this international back-to-back series. Now at London's O2 Arena, the Magic enter as heavy favorites at 1.47, but their track record as big favorites is shaky—boasting a dismal 5-11 ATS when spotted 5.5 or more points this season. Paolo Banchero's been a beast, averaging 24.4 points and 7.3 rebounds, but Memphis has the firepower to flip the script.

Ja Morant, with 21.4 points and 6.2 assists per game, thrives in high-stakes spots like this revenge bid. The Grizzlies, at 2.70 underdogs, are ice-cold on the road (24% win rate as dogs), yet their recent games average a scorching 233 points—smashing over the 227.5 total. Computer models are split: SportsLine sees Orlando edging a nail-biter, but Forebet gives Memphis a bold 56% shot at the upset, banking on Morant's explosiveness against Banchero's squad.

Magic's 23-18 overall looks solid, but Grizzlies' desperation (17-23) could spark a gritty comeback. In this quick turnaround, fatigue favors the motivated underdog—I'm betting Memphis pulls off the stunner for value.

The Orlando Magic stunned Memphis 118-111 in Berlin days ago, but this London rematch is ripe for an upset. Computer models are split, with SportsLine leaning Orlando while iHeart and Forebet project a Grizzlies win, giving Memphis 56% odds behind Ja Morant's explosiveness.

Orlando struggles as heavy favorites, posting a 5-11 ATS mark when spotted 5.5+ points, making their 1.47 moneyline odds questionable. Memphis, despite a 17-23 record, sees recent games averaging 233 points, and as underdogs at 2.70, they offer sharp value for revenge.

This matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and Orlando Magic presents a fascinating betting opportunity, especially given the context of their recent clash. The Magic pulled off a stunning 118-111 victory just two days prior, but that win might not tell the full story for this London showdown. Orlando enters with a solid 23-18 record but struggles significantly as heavy favorites, posting an uninspiring 5-11 ATS mark when spotted 5.5 or more points. This trend raises concerns about their ability to cover or even win outright at odds of 1.47.
On the other side, the Grizzlies, despite being mired in a subpar season at 17-23, have shown resilience in high-scoring games. Their average total over recent contests sits at 233 points—well above the projected 227.5-point line. Ja Morant’s explosiveness could be key here; his 21.4 points and 6.2 assists per game give Memphis a fighting chance against Paolo Banchero’s impressive 24.4-point contributions. Forebet analysts see value in backing Memphis, assigning them a 56% likelihood to flip the script on their home soil abroad.
With the Grizzlies listed at 2.70, they offer significant upside for bettors willing to take the underdog route. Considering Orlando's shaky performance as chalk and Memphis’ potential to thrive in a close contest, siding with the Grizzlies seems like the smarter wager.