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Betting tips from AI for Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints, 30 November 2025.
AI Consensus
1.41
Home win
6 of 6 AI models pick Miami Dolphins to win at
1.41
ChatGPT tip
Miami Dolphins win
1.41
ChatGPT prediction for Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints, 30 November 2025.
Miami’s momentum and defense tilt this matchup. The Dolphins have won 3 of 4, including a gritty 16-13 OT win, and have allowed just 16.0 ppg over their last four. Their run game (112.8 ypg) shortens the game and protects a passing attack that’s still finding rhythm.
New Orleans is reeling at 2-9, dropping 5 of 6 and managing a league-worst 15.0 ppg. Tyler Shough has been steady but limited (64.3%, 829 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT), and a 91.5 ypg ground game offers little balance. The Saints are 3-8 ATS and have rarely covered as big dogs.
With projections clustering from 23-19 to 30-13 and both sides trending under, the safest edge is Miami’s moneyline at 1.39. The Saints’ scoring drought and Miami’s defense at home justify laying the price over chasing the juicier 3.16 dog.
New Orleans is reeling at 2-9, dropping 5 of 6 and managing a league-worst 15.0 ppg. Tyler Shough has been steady but limited (64.3%, 829 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT), and a 91.5 ypg ground game offers little balance. The Saints are 3-8 ATS and have rarely covered as big dogs.
With projections clustering from 23-19 to 30-13 and both sides trending under, the safest edge is Miami’s moneyline at 1.39. The Saints’ scoring drought and Miami’s defense at home justify laying the price over chasing the juicier 3.16 dog.
Gemini tip
Miami Dolphins win
1.41
Gemini prediction for Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints, 30 November 2025.
The Miami Dolphins and New Orleans Saints are heading in completely opposite directions, making this matchup a study in contrasts. The Dolphins are surging, having won three of their last four games, powered by a defense that has allowed a mere 16.0 points per game during that stretch. This defensive fortitude presents a nightmare scenario for the Saints, who are mired in a deep slump, having lost five of their last six contests and fielding the NFL's least productive offense at just 15.0 points per game.
Miami's offensive game plan will likely be straightforward: control the clock with their effective rushing attack against a Saints team that has shown little ability to stop anyone. While Miami's passing game is a work in progress, their ground game should be more than enough to exploit a demoralized New Orleans squad. The Saints' offense, led by QB Tyler Shough, has been ineffective and turnover-prone, a bad combination when facing a confident and opportunistic defense.
The betting lines reflect this disparity, with the Dolphins as heavy favorites at 1.39. Miami also boasts a respectable 6-5 record against the spread, compared to the Saints' abysmal 3-8 ATS record. Given the Saints' recent form and offensive woes, backing the Dolphins at home is the most logical play.
Miami's offensive game plan will likely be straightforward: control the clock with their effective rushing attack against a Saints team that has shown little ability to stop anyone. While Miami's passing game is a work in progress, their ground game should be more than enough to exploit a demoralized New Orleans squad. The Saints' offense, led by QB Tyler Shough, has been ineffective and turnover-prone, a bad combination when facing a confident and opportunistic defense.
The betting lines reflect this disparity, with the Dolphins as heavy favorites at 1.39. Miami also boasts a respectable 6-5 record against the spread, compared to the Saints' abysmal 3-8 ATS record. Given the Saints' recent form and offensive woes, backing the Dolphins at home is the most logical play.
Claude tip
Miami Dolphins win
1.41
Claude prediction for Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints, 30 November 2025.
Miami enters this matchup with significant momentum, winning three of their last four games including a gritty overtime victory against Washington. The Dolphins have tightened defensively, allowing just 16.0 points over their previous four contests, which should pose major problems for a Saints offense averaging a league-worst 15.0 points per game.
New Orleans sits at a dismal 2-9 record and has lost five of six games, including a disappointing 24-10 loss to Atlanta as favorites. The Saints' struggles are evident in their 3-8 record against the spread, particularly concerning when considering they've covered just twice in five games as underdogs of 5.5+ points.
Miami's rushing attack has been effective lately, averaging 112.8 yards per game, while New Orleans manages only 91.5 rushing yards. Playing at Hard Rock Stadium as 1.39 favorites, the Dolphins should capitalize on their superior form and home-field advantage against a Saints team that's clearly in rebuilding mode.
New Orleans sits at a dismal 2-9 record and has lost five of six games, including a disappointing 24-10 loss to Atlanta as favorites. The Saints' struggles are evident in their 3-8 record against the spread, particularly concerning when considering they've covered just twice in five games as underdogs of 5.5+ points.
Miami's rushing attack has been effective lately, averaging 112.8 yards per game, while New Orleans manages only 91.5 rushing yards. Playing at Hard Rock Stadium as 1.39 favorites, the Dolphins should capitalize on their superior form and home-field advantage against a Saints team that's clearly in rebuilding mode.
Grok tip
Miami Dolphins win
1.41
Grok prediction for Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints, 30 November 2025.
The Miami Dolphins are entering this matchup with solid momentum, having won three of their last four games, including a gritty 16-13 overtime victory against Washington. Their defense has been lockdown, allowing just 16.0 points per game over that stretch, which spells trouble for the struggling New Orleans Saints.
The Saints are in a rough spot at 2-9, dropping five of their last six, and their offense is sputtering with a league-worst 15.0 points per game. Miami's rushing attack, averaging 112.8 yards per game, should exploit New Orleans' weak run defense.
With the Dolphins favored at 1.39 and a 6-5 ATS record, compared to the Saints' dismal 3-8 ATS, this looks like a prime spot for Miami to cover the 5.5-point spread. Analysts are projecting scores like 23-19 or 30-13 in the Dolphins' favor, and historically, Miami won their last meeting 20-3. Betting on the Dolphins here feels like a smart, profitable play to build that bankroll.
The Saints are in a rough spot at 2-9, dropping five of their last six, and their offense is sputtering with a league-worst 15.0 points per game. Miami's rushing attack, averaging 112.8 yards per game, should exploit New Orleans' weak run defense.
With the Dolphins favored at 1.39 and a 6-5 ATS record, compared to the Saints' dismal 3-8 ATS, this looks like a prime spot for Miami to cover the 5.5-point spread. Analysts are projecting scores like 23-19 or 30-13 in the Dolphins' favor, and historically, Miami won their last meeting 20-3. Betting on the Dolphins here feels like a smart, profitable play to build that bankroll.
DeepSeek tip
Miami Dolphins win
1.41
DeepSeek prediction for Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints, 30 November 2025.
The Miami Dolphins enter this game with significant momentum, winning three of their last four and showcasing a formidable defense that has allowed just 16.0 points per game over their recent stretch. Their ground game, averaging 112.8 rushing yards, provides a reliable offensive foundation. In contrast, the New Orleans Saints are mired in a deep slump at 2-9, having lost five of their last six while fielding the league's lowest-scoring offense at 15.0 points per game. The Saints' struggles are compounded by a poor 3-8 record against the spread, and their offense, led by QB Tyler Shough, has been inconsistent. With the Dolphins favored by 5.5 points and holding strong home-field advantage, their defensive prowess and superior form make them the clear pick. The odds of 1.39 reflect this heavy expectation.
The betting market and analyst projections overwhelmingly favor Miami, with predicted scores like 30-13 highlighting the anticipated dominance. Given the Saints' inability to cover the spread as substantial underdogs and their offensive ineptitude, backing the Dolphins at 1.39 offers a solid, value-driven bet for this matchup.
The betting market and analyst projections overwhelmingly favor Miami, with predicted scores like 30-13 highlighting the anticipated dominance. Given the Saints' inability to cover the spread as substantial underdogs and their offensive ineptitude, backing the Dolphins at 1.39 offers a solid, value-driven bet for this matchup.
Qwen tip
Miami Dolphins win
1.41
Qwen prediction for Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints, 30 November 2025.
The Miami Dolphins enter this matchup as heavy favorites with odds of 1.39, and for good reason. Their recent form has been solid, particularly on defense, where they’ve allowed just 16 points per game over their last four contests. This stingy defense could spell trouble for a Saints offense that ranks dead last in scoring at 15 points per game. New Orleans’ struggles are compounded by a lackluster rushing attack averaging only 91.5 yards per game, which will make it difficult to sustain drives against Miami’s improving defense.
On the other side, the Dolphins have shown balance, especially with their effective ground game. While their passing attack hasn’t been elite, ranking 26th in the league, it doesn’t need to carry the team given their defensive dominance and ability to control the clock with the run. The Saints, meanwhile, are throwing the ball 60% of the time but without much success, relying on quarterback Tyler Shough, who has more interceptions than touchdowns over his limited starts this season.
Betting trends also favor Miami. They’re 6-5 against the spread this year, while the Saints sit at a dismal 3-8 ATS. Additionally, New Orleans has covered the spread just twice in five games as underdogs by 5.5 points or more. With analysts projecting a Dolphins win in the range of 23-19 to 30-13, backing Miami seems like the smart play despite the steep odds of 1.39.
Given the context, the Dolphins’ momentum, superior defense, and favorable betting history make them the clear choice to win outright.
On the other side, the Dolphins have shown balance, especially with their effective ground game. While their passing attack hasn’t been elite, ranking 26th in the league, it doesn’t need to carry the team given their defensive dominance and ability to control the clock with the run. The Saints, meanwhile, are throwing the ball 60% of the time but without much success, relying on quarterback Tyler Shough, who has more interceptions than touchdowns over his limited starts this season.
Betting trends also favor Miami. They’re 6-5 against the spread this year, while the Saints sit at a dismal 3-8 ATS. Additionally, New Orleans has covered the spread just twice in five games as underdogs by 5.5 points or more. With analysts projecting a Dolphins win in the range of 23-19 to 30-13, backing Miami seems like the smart play despite the steep odds of 1.39.
Given the context, the Dolphins’ momentum, superior defense, and favorable betting history make them the clear choice to win outright.
Match News
## Team Form and Recent Results
The Miami Dolphins are riding momentum with victories in three of their last four games, including a hard-fought 16-13 overtime win against Washington.[1][2] They sit at 4-7 in the AFC East standings and have been particularly stingy defensively lately, allowing just 16.0 points across their previous four contests.[2] The New Orleans Saints, by contrast, are struggling significantly at 2-9 and fourth in the NFC South after dropping their last matchup 24-10 to Atlanta despite being favored.[1][2] The Saints have lost five of their last six games and are averaging a league-worst 15.0 points per game.[1][2]
## Offensive Capabilities
Miami's ground game has been a strength in recent weeks, with the Dolphins running effectively and averaging 112.8 rushing yards per game.[1] However, their passing attack ranks 26th in the league.[1] New Orleans, meanwhile, is throwing the ball 60 percent of the time with a 20th-ranked passing offense, while their rushing game averages just 91.5 yards per game.[1] Saints quarterback Tyler Shough has completed 64.3 percent of his passes for 829 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions.[2]
## Betting Insights and Predictions
The Dolphins are favored by 5.5 points heading into Sunday's matchup at Hard Rock Stadium.[3] Miami holds a 6-5 record against the spread this season, while New Orleans sits at just 3-8 ATS.[3][4] The Saints have covered the spread only twice when underdogs by 5.5 points or more in five opportunities.[3] Most analysts project a Dolphins victory, with predictions ranging from 23-19 to 30-13 in Miami's favor.[3][4][5] The over-under is set at approximately 42.5 points, with both teams having played under the total in recent games.[1]
## Historical Context
New Orleans holds a 5-4 edge in the all-time series against Miami, though the Dolphins won the most recent matchup in 2021 by a score of 20-3.[1] The last two meetings between these teams have gone under the total.[1]
The Miami Dolphins are riding momentum with victories in three of their last four games, including a hard-fought 16-13 overtime win against Washington.[1][2] They sit at 4-7 in the AFC East standings and have been particularly stingy defensively lately, allowing just 16.0 points across their previous four contests.[2] The New Orleans Saints, by contrast, are struggling significantly at 2-9 and fourth in the NFC South after dropping their last matchup 24-10 to Atlanta despite being favored.[1][2] The Saints have lost five of their last six games and are averaging a league-worst 15.0 points per game.[1][2]
## Offensive Capabilities
Miami's ground game has been a strength in recent weeks, with the Dolphins running effectively and averaging 112.8 rushing yards per game.[1] However, their passing attack ranks 26th in the league.[1] New Orleans, meanwhile, is throwing the ball 60 percent of the time with a 20th-ranked passing offense, while their rushing game averages just 91.5 yards per game.[1] Saints quarterback Tyler Shough has completed 64.3 percent of his passes for 829 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions.[2]
## Betting Insights and Predictions
The Dolphins are favored by 5.5 points heading into Sunday's matchup at Hard Rock Stadium.[3] Miami holds a 6-5 record against the spread this season, while New Orleans sits at just 3-8 ATS.[3][4] The Saints have covered the spread only twice when underdogs by 5.5 points or more in five opportunities.[3] Most analysts project a Dolphins victory, with predictions ranging from 23-19 to 30-13 in Miami's favor.[3][4][5] The over-under is set at approximately 42.5 points, with both teams having played under the total in recent games.[1]
## Historical Context
New Orleans holds a 5-4 edge in the all-time series against Miami, though the Dolphins won the most recent matchup in 2021 by a score of 20-3.[1] The last two meetings between these teams have gone under the total.[1]
See how multiple AI models rate Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints. We aggregate today's
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