Betting tips from AI for Middlesbrough vs Hull City, 29 December 2025.

This is a top-five scrap with Middlesbrough the short-priced home pick — form, position and a near-unbeaten Riverside record justify the market favourite tag at 1.68.
Hull City, though, are being underpriced. Models and pundits put Hull’s upset chance near 31%, yet the book offers 4.69, implying much lower probability. Hull’s away games have cleared 2.5 goals in 90% of recent outings and BTTS is frequent for both sides, so an open game suits the visitors’ counter-attacking profile.
Backing Hull is a value play: the price compensates for the upset probability and the match context — goals, corners and Hull’s form on the road — makes 4.69 a profitable one-dollar wager compared with the draw at 4.06 or heavy favourite money on Boro.

This top-five clash in the EFL Championship pits a formidable Middlesbrough, sitting 2nd with 43 points, against 4th-placed Hull City. Boro head into this fixture as clear favorites, boasting an impressive home record with just one loss all season. Their earlier 4-1 thrashing of Hull this term further underscores their dominance.

While betting models suggest Hull has a 4.69 upset chance at around 31%, Middlesbrough's consistent form and home advantage make them a strong contender. The bookmakers have Boro at 1.68, reflecting this favoritism. Expect an exciting, high-scoring affair; Hull's away games have seen over 2.5 goals in 90% of their last ten, and both teams are expected to score, a trend seen in four of their last five head-to-heads. Despite the potential for a thriller, Boro's home strength should prevail.

Middlesbrough's dominant home form makes them worthy favorites at 1.70 against Hull City. With just one home loss all season and sitting 2nd in the table, Boro has established their Riverside Stadium as a fortress. Their convincing 4-1 victory over Hull earlier this season demonstrates their superiority in this matchup.

However, Hull City's away form shouldn't be dismissed entirely. The Tigers have been scoring consistently on the road, with over 2.5 goals in 90% of their last 10 away matches. This suggests they'll likely find the net, even in defeat.

The head-to-head history shows both teams scoring in four of their last five meetings, indicating defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. With Middlesbrough's attacking prowess at home and Hull's ability to score on the road, a 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline favoring the hosts seems probable.

While the 4.16 odds on a draw might tempt some, Middlesbrough's quality and home advantage should prove decisive in this important top-five clash.

Middlesbrough are riding high in 2nd place with 43 points, making them the clear favorites in this top-five EFL Championship showdown against 4th-placed Hull City. Their home form is rock-solid, with just one loss all season, and they already dismantled Hull 4-1 earlier this term. Pundits at Forebet peg Boro's win probability at 35%, but the odds of 1.68 for Middlesbrough feel a touch short given their dominance at the Riverside.

That said, Hull's upset potential can't be ignored—betting models give them a 31% shot, and at 4.69, that's where the value lies for bold punters. Hull's away games have been goal-fests, hitting over 2.5 in 90% of their last 10, and both teams to score (BTTS) has landed in 70-90% of recent matches for each side. Four of the last five head-to-heads saw BTTS, so expect end-to-end action rather than a clean-sheet masterclass.

Corners should pile up too, with over 9.5 a near-certainty based on both teams' averages of 9-10 per game. While Boro's form screams victory, Hull's resilience and the high-scoring trends make this a tempting spot to back the visitors for a profitable underdog play. I'm eyeing Hull to nick at least a point, but if forcing a pick, their fightback spirit edges it.

Middlesbrough's strong home form and second-place standing make them favorites, but Hull City's high-scoring away games and 4.69 odds offer significant value. Both teams have consistently scored in recent matches, and Hull's attack is potent on the road. While Boro won the previous meeting 4-1, the history suggests both teams will find the net again, making a Hull upset or draw plausible given the odds.

The over 2.5 goals trend is compelling, but for the moneyline, the sheer potential payout on Hull City is too attractive to ignore in what could be a tight, offensive clash. Middlesbrough's 1.68 price doesn't reflect enough risk against a top-four opponent with nothing to lose.

Middlesbrough enters this EFL Championship clash as the clear favorite, with odds of 1.68 reflecting their strong home form and second-place standing in the league. Their lone home defeat all season speaks volumes about their fortress-like Riverside Stadium setup, while their earlier 4-1 demolition of Hull City only adds to their psychological edge. However, Hull City's away form is nothing to scoff at—scoring over 2.5 goals in 90% of their last 10 road trips hints at an explosive offensive potential that could trouble Boro’s backline.

The odds for Hull City sit tantalizingly high at 4.69, offering a tempting upset play for risk-tolerant bettors. Pundits suggest a 31% chance of them pulling off a shocker, which aligns with their fourth-place status and ability to find the net consistently. Yet, it’s hard to ignore Middlesbrough’s superior consistency and depth, particularly when both teams have scored in 70-90% of recent matches—a stat that points toward open, attacking football rather than a cagey stalemate.

While BTTS (both teams to score) looks like a solid side bet given the trends, backing Middlesbrough outright feels prudent here. Their higher probability of victory, coupled with Hull’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road, makes them the safer pick despite the relatively low return on investment at 1.68. Expect fireworks but trust Boro’s firepower to prevail.