Betting tips from AI for Miomir Kecmanovic vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry, 18 January 2026.

Form and matchup lean to Etcheverry. Kecmanovic arrives 0-2 in 2026 after a shock loss to Vacherot, while Etcheverry is marginally steadier and carries the recent H2H edge, winning in Stockholm and leading their meetings 2-1. Etcheverry also has consistent Australian Open returns and a reliable backhand that matches up well.
Market pricing is 1.80 for Etcheverry versus 2.11 for Kecmanovic. Multiple analysts and algorithmic models put Etcheverry around 59–61% to win, which looks like value against the bookmaker line, so the $1 bet edges toward profit.
Expect a tight, likely five-set duel, but I back Tomas Martin Etcheverry to advance given form, H2H and the market inefficiency.

The Australian Open draw has presented a fascinating first-round encounter. Miomir Kecmanovic enters Melbourne in troubling form, holding an 1.00-2 record this season. His opponent, Tomas Martin Etcheverry, while not dominating, shows a slightly better 1.01-2 start.
Expert consensus and betting markets heavily favor Etcheverry, with analysts predicting him to advance and algorithmic models giving him a 59-61% win probability. His recent head-to-head advantage, including a victory in Stockholm, further strengthens his claim. Despite Kecmanovic's past success at Melbourne Park, reaching the third and fourth rounds previously, his current lack of form is a significant concern.
Etcheverry's powerful backhand and reliable serve should give him the edge. With bookmaker odds at 1.80 for Etcheverry, which is more favorable than the general consensus of 1.69, there's clear value. Expect a tough, potentially five-set contest, but Etcheverry's current trajectory and H2H lead make him the smart play.

This Australian Open matchup tilts in Etcheverry's favor despite what should be a competitive contest. Kecmanovic enters Melbourne in troubling form, going winless in 2026 with a concerning defeat to Vacherot in Adelaide. Etcheverry hasn't been stellar either at 1-2 this season, but he holds crucial advantages in their head-to-head (2-1) including a recent victory in Stockholm.

While Kecmanovic has historically performed well at Melbourne Park with third and fourth-round appearances in recent years, his current form simply can't be ignored. Etcheverry's powerful backhand and solid service game match up favorably against Kecmanovic's current struggles.

The odds reflect this reality with Etcheverry at 1.80 compared to Kecmanovic at 2.11. Algorithmic predictions giving Etcheverry around 60% win probability align with the betting market's assessment. Expect Etcheverry to weather some resistance but ultimately prevail in what could stretch to four or five sets.

The Australian Open opener pits Miomir Kecmanovic against Tomas Martin Etcheverry, a matchup ripe with intrigue on the hard courts of Melbourne. Kecmanovic enters on a skid, winless in 2026 after a tough loss in Adelaide, his form a far cry from the top-30 player he once was. Meanwhile, Etcheverry brings a slight edge in recent play, sitting at 1-2 this season despite an early Auckland exit.

Head-to-head, Etcheverry dominates with a 2-1 lead, including a gritty win in Stockholm last October—proof he can handle Kecmanovic's all-court game. At Melbourne Park, Etcheverry's consistency shines, reaching the second round three years running, while Kecmanovic's past deep runs feel distant amid his current struggles.

Styles clash compellingly: Etcheverry's booming backhand and reliable serve should pressure Kecmanovic, whose hard-court record (141-112) boasts pedigree but lacks punch right now. Odds reflect this, with Etcheverry at 1.80 and Kecmanovic a longshot at 2.11. Analysts peg Etcheverry's win probability at 59-61%, hinting at a five-set scrap, but his momentum tips the scales.

For bettors eyeing value, back Etcheverry to advance—his form and history make him the smart play in this early-round battle.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry holds the upper hand with marginally better form and a head-to-head edge over Miomir Kecmanovic. Kecmanovic's 0-2 start in 2026 contrasts with Etcheverry's 1-2 record, and Etcheverry won their last match in Stockholm.

Odds of 1.80 for Etcheverry align with algorithmic predictions giving him a 59-61% win probability. Kecmanovic, at 2.11, has past hard-court success but his current slump and Etcheverry's powerful backhand and consistent Australian Open pedigree tip the scales.

This Australian Open clash between Miomir Kecmanovic and Tomas Martin Etcheverry presents an intriguing betting opportunity, with the odds reflecting Etcheverry's perceived edge at 1.80 against Kecmanovic's 2.11. The Serbian enters the tournament in poor form, carrying a 0-2 record into Melbourne after a recent loss to Vacherot. Meanwhile, Etcheverry has shown slightly better consistency this season, despite his own early exit in Auckland.

Etcheverry's advantage in their head-to-head record, coupled with his victory in their last meeting in Stockholm, adds weight to the case for his favoritism. His powerful backhand and reliable service game make him a formidable opponent on hard courts. Additionally, his experience reaching the second round in three consecutive Australian Opens suggests he thrives under these conditions.

That said, Kecmanovic cannot be dismissed outright. Despite his current struggles, his past performances at Melbourne Park include third and fourth-round finishes, showcasing his ability to compete at this level. However, his recent results and lack of momentum make it difficult to justify backing him here, especially when Etcheverry is priced so attractively.

The betting market and analyst predictions align closely, with most models giving Etcheverry a 59-61% chance of advancing. While this could shape up to be a competitive encounter, Etcheverry's superior form and historical edge tip the scales in his favor.