Betting tips from AI for Moses Itauma vs Filip Hrgović, 31 December 2025.

This fight is a collision of raw power and seasoned craft. Moses Itauma's thunderous first-round TKO of Dillian Whyte announced him to the world, but Filip Hrgović brings a three-inch reach edge, an orthodox, durable style and a recent gritty points win over David Adeleye — traits that live longer in 12-round wars and make him a realistic upset candidate.
Bookmakers list Itauma at 1.13 and Hrgović at 6.75. The market prices Hrgović at roughly a 14.8% chance; I value his upset closer to 20–25% given experience, style and endurance, so a $1 wager on Hrgović at 6.75 represents the best positive expected-value play here.

Moses Itauma enters this highly anticipated heavyweight clash as the undeniable favorite, reflected in his 1.13 odds. The boxing world is still buzzing from his "blistering first-round TKO of Dillian Whyte" in August, showcasing the 20-year-old southpaw's explosive power and impressive 85% KO rate. This isn't just hype; Itauma is an "undefeated phenom" already ranked high by major sanctioning bodies.

Filip Hrgović, the "Croatian Robot," brings a solid 19-1 record and a three-inch reach advantage, along with valuable experience. However, recent whispers from Frank Warren about Hrgović "dodging" a December clash or "stalling" on negotiations suggest a potential reluctance to face the young sensation. His "gritty points win over David Adeleye" contrasts sharply with Itauma's devastating finishes. While Hrgović's orthodox stance and reach could pose challenges, Itauma's "explosive southpaw bombs" are predicted to test the veteran's endurance in what could be Itauma's defining professional trial. All signs point to Itauma continuing his dominant ascent.

Moses Itauma comes into this bout as the heavy favorite at 1.13 for good reason. The 20-year-old southpaw has been devastating opponents with an 85% KO rate, most recently dismantling veteran Dillian Whyte in the first round. This explosive power coupled with his youth gives him a significant edge.

Hrgović's experience (19-1) and three-inch reach advantage could pose challenges, but there are concerning signs in his camp. Frank Warren's revelation that Hrgović priced himself out of a December clash suggests hesitation to face the young phenom. When established fighters avoid matchups, it often indicates concerns about their chances.

While Hrgović at 6.75 offers tempting value, his recent performance against Adeleye wasn't dominant enough to suggest he can handle Itauma's explosive power. The Croatian's orthodox stance might initially trouble Itauma, but the southpaw's speed and power should eventually find the mark for a decisive victory.

In the heavyweight clash of the year, 20-year-old phenom Moses Itauma faces battle-tested Filip Hrgović, a matchup dripping with intrigue as youth collides with veteran grit. Itauma's recent first-round TKO demolition of Dillian Whyte has electrified the boxing world, showcasing his 85% KO rate and southpaw explosiveness that could overwhelm Hrgović's methodical style. Frank Warren's sharp criticism of Hrgović for dodging the fight by demanding a king's ransom only amps up the narrative, painting the Croatian as potentially vulnerable under pressure.

Hrgović enters with a gritty points win over David Adeleye, his 19-1 record and three-inch reach advantage making him a formidable orthodox counterpuncher. Yet, experts foresee a power war where Itauma's blistering bombs test the 'Croatian Robot's' endurance, especially against the undefeated WBA and WBO-ranked contender. With Itauma at 1.13—reflecting his favoritism—and Hrgović at 6.75, the value screams on the young star to dominate early and secure a statement victory.

This isn't just a fight; it's Itauma's coronation moment, blending raw power with unyielding hunger to topple the old guard.

The boxing world is electrified by Moses Itauma's rise, following his blistering first-round TKO of Dillian Whyte. At just 20 with an 85% KO rate, the southpaw phenom brings explosive power that challenges any veteran.

Filip Hrgović, the 'Croatian Robot,' offers experience and a three-inch reach advantage. However, Frank Warren's accusations of Hrgović dodging this clash hint at hesitation, potentially impacting his readiness against Itauma's relentless aggression.

With Itauma ranked as high as No. 1 by the WBA and WBO, his odds at 1.13 make him a heavy favorite. Hrgović at 6.75 is tempting, but Itauma's youth and knockout prowess should prevail.

The upcoming heavyweight clash between Moses Itauma and Filip Hrgović is shaping up to be a fascinating battle of youth versus experience. At just 20 years old, Itauma has already carved out a fearsome reputation, boasting an 85% knockout rate and fresh off a devastating first-round TKO of Dillian Whyte. His southpaw stance and explosive power make him a dangerous opponent for any fighter, and his current odds of 1.13 reflect the betting market's confidence in his ability to dominate.

On the other side, Hrgović, known as the "Croatian Robot," brings a wealth of experience with a solid 19-1 record. However, his recent performances, including a points win over David Adeleye, suggest he may lack the same dynamism that Itauma exudes. The veteran’s demand for higher pay and apparent reluctance to face Itauma sooner hints at possible concerns about the young star’s capabilities. Despite this, Hrgović’s three-inch reach advantage and technical prowess could pose challenges if Itauma fails to close the distance effectively.

The odds tell a compelling story: Hrgović sits at 6.75, indicating he’s viewed as a significant underdog. While his resilience cannot be discounted, Itauma’s raw power and momentum appear overwhelming. This bout feels like the defining moment where Itauma cements himself as boxing’s next big star.