Betting tips from AI for Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso, 27 December 2025.

Naoya Inoue arrives as the overwhelming favorite for good reason: 31-0 with 27 KOs and an 87% stoppage rate — he’s the picture of finishing power and the book matches that with 1.03.
David Picasso has real angles — three inches taller, a two-inch reach edge, a recent majority decision and a third-round KO on his ledger — and those traits justify the outsider price of 15.00. Still, Picasso’s path is narrow: he needs to neutralize Inoue’s furious tempo and avoid the mid-round exchange where Inoue’s KO history bites.
All things considered this is a clear Inoue proposition. The market correctly prices a dominant favorite and I expect Inoue to retain via stoppage or clear decision.

The boxing world braces for another masterclass from Naoya 'The Monster' Inoue, who steps into the ring with an unblemished 31-0 record, including 27 devastating knockouts. His staggering 87% knockout rate profoundly overshadows David Picasso's 53%, painting a clear picture of Inoue's overwhelming power. While Picasso does possess a notable height and reach advantage, fresh off a majority decision over Kyonosuke Kameda, it's challenging to envision these attributes halting a fighter of Inoue's caliber. The fiery press conference, hyping this 'critical defense,' only underscores the immense challenge Picasso faces. Bookmakers have Inoue as an overwhelming favorite at 1.03, a reflection of the widespread belief; 77% of fans predict a knockout victory for the Japanese sensation. Picasso, at 15.00, is a monumental long shot. While upsets define boxing, Inoue's consistent dominance and unparalleled power make him the undeniable pick here. Expect 'The Monster' to deliver another emphatic victory.

Naoya Inoue's nickname 'Monster' isn't hyperbole - his 31-0 record with 27 KOs translates to an astonishing 87% knockout rate that speaks volumes. While Picasso brings physical advantages with his 3-inch height and 2-inch reach edge, these attributes likely won't be enough against Inoue's technical brilliance and devastating power.

The 1.03 odds for Inoue reflect his dominance, making him a prohibitive favorite. Picasso, despite coming off solid victories against Kameda and Cuello, faces a massive leap in competition. The 15.00 underdog odds appropriately reflect the mountain he must climb.

The heated press conference shows both fighters are motivated, but fan predictions heavily favoring an Inoue knockout (77%) align with the likely outcome. Inoue's combination of speed, technique, and power should neutralize Picasso's physical advantages, leading to either a mid-round stoppage or dominant decision victory for the undisputed champion.

Naoya Inoue, the unbeaten 'Monster' with 31 wins and 27 KOs, enters this super bantamweight undisputed title defense as a towering favorite at 1.03 odds. His 87% knockout rate dwarfs David Picasso's 53%, and fan predictions echo this with 77% expecting Inoue to finish the fight early. Picasso's height and reach edges—3 inches taller and 2-inch reach advantage—offer some hope, especially after his recent majority decision over Kyonosuke Kameda and a third-round KO of Yehison Cuello. But the fiery press conference trash talk only amps up the hype for Inoue's critical 2025 capper in Riyadh.

Inoue's precision and power have dismantled elite foes, making this a low-risk bet despite the slim payout. Picasso's upset at 15.00 would be legendary, but his underdog status feels right—Inoue's dominance seals it. For a $1 bet, we're banking on the Monster to roar.

Betting on Inoue maximizes long-term profitability in a lopsided matchup, avoiding the draw's tempting but improbable 30.00 lure.

Naoya Inoue is a proven force with an unbeaten 31-0 record and a staggering 87% knockout rate. His power and precision are unmatched, and the odds of 1.03 reflect his dominance. While David Picasso has height and reach advantages, plus momentum from recent wins, he faces a monumental task against 'The Monster.' Inoue's fiery press conference demeanor suggests he's fully focused on another statement victory.

Fan sentiment overwhelmingly supports Inoue, with 77% predicting a KO. Picasso at 15.00 is a massive underdog for good reason—Inoue’s relentless aggression and elite skill should secure a decisive win.

Naoya Inoue enters this undisputed super bantamweight title showdown as an overwhelming favorite with odds of 1.03, and for good reason. The Japanese superstar boasts a perfect 31-0 record, with a staggering 87% knockout rate that underscores his reputation as one of boxing's most fearsome punchers. Facing him is David Picasso, who despite holding height and reach advantages, has far less punching power and big-fight experience. Picasso’s last two performances—a majority decision win over Kyonosuke Kameda and a third-round KO of Yehison Cuello—show he can adapt, but they pale in comparison to the level of competition Inoue routinely dismantles.

The odds tell a story of their own. With Picasso listed at 15.00 and a draw at 30.00, bookmakers clearly view this as Inoue’s fight to lose. Fan predictions reflect similar confidence, with 77% expecting a knockout victory for the Monster. While Picasso’s physical tools might briefly intrigue observers, his inability to stop elite opponents will likely be exposed against someone of Inoue’s caliber. The fiery press conference only adds intrigue, but emotions won’t change the dynamics inside the ring.

Inoue’s speed, precision, and devastating power should overwhelm Picasso early. This isn’t just another defense—it’s a showcase for Inoue to cement his legacy further by delivering yet another emphatic statement on the global stage.