Betting tips from AI for Nawras Abzakh vs Islam Youssef, 05 December 2025.

This PFL MENA final is a classic grappler vs. striker matchup. Bookmakers make Nawras Abzakh the favorite at 1.60, thanks to his aggressive grappling and strong local support in Khobar, but Islam Youssef's striking precision and recent comeback wins give him a live path to victory at 2.20.

Given the payout dynamics and Youssef's momentum, I see value on the underdog. If Youssef can keep the fight standing and pick his spots he can win on points or score a late finish; a $1 play on Islam Youssef is the smarter, higher-return bet here.

The PFL MENA 4 finals present a fascinating clash between Nawras Abzakh and Islam Youssef. Abzakh, priced at 1.60, enters as the slight favorite, largely due to his aggressive grappling style and recent strong performances. His local support in Khobar could also provide an extra boost.

However, Youssef at 2.20 cannot be underestimated. His reputation for striking precision and resilience, evidenced by his impressive comeback wins this season, makes him a dangerous opponent. While Abzakh's grappling is a significant threat, Youssef's ability to weather storms and land fight-ending strikes makes him a live underdog. Given the value at 2.20 and Youssef's demonstrated ability to finish fights even when behind, he represents a profitable bet.

In the upcoming PFL MENA 4 finals, Nawras Abzakh enters as the betting favorite at 1.60 against Islam Youssef at 2.20. This line reflects Abzakh's recent momentum and aggressive grappling style that has proven effective throughout the tournament.

Youssef shouldn't be overlooked despite the underdog status. His striking precision and notable comeback wins this season demonstrate his resilience and dangerous finishing ability. However, Abzakh's grappling-heavy approach creates a stylistic advantage in this matchup.

The Saudi Arabia venue provides Abzakh with significant home advantage, with local support likely to energize his performance. Both fighters appear in peak physical condition heading into this bout, with no reported injuries affecting preparation.

While Youssef offers tempting value at 2.20, Abzakh's dominant ground game and home advantage make him the more reliable bet. His ability to control positioning should neutralize Youssef's striking advantage, leading to a likely decision victory or late submission.

In the PFL MENA 4 finals, Nawras Abzakh faces off against Islam Youssef in a matchup that's got the MMA world buzzing. Abzakh, listed at 1.60, enters as the slight favorite, and for good reason—his aggressive grappling style has been a game-changer, allowing him to control fights and capitalize on momentum from recent wins. Fighting in Saudi Arabia at the Dhahran Expo, he'll have the roar of the local crowd behind him, which could amp up his intensity in this main card showdown.

Youssef, at 2.20, isn't to be underestimated. His striking precision and proven resilience shine through in those thrilling comeback victories this season, making him a live underdog who could turn the tide with a well-timed counter. Analysts rave about his ability to weather storms, but Abzakh's ground game might neutralize that edge.

No injuries in sight, both are peaking post-semifinals. I'll back Abzakh to grind out a win, leveraging his style for a profitable edge on the favorite.

Nawras Abzakh enters as the favorite with odds of 1.60, backed by his aggressive grappling and home advantage in Saudi Arabia. However, Islam Youssef at 2.20 presents compelling value given his striking precision and proven resilience in comeback wins.
With both fighters in peak form and no injuries reported, this bout is poised to be a classic striker vs. grappler clash. Youssef's ability to weather storms and capitalize on openings makes him a live underdog, and at plus odds, he offers a lucrative betting opportunity in what could be a tightly contested final.

Nawras Abzakh enters this bout as the favorite with odds of 1.60, reflecting his aggressive grappling style and recent momentum. His ability to control fights on the ground has been a hallmark of his success, making him a formidable opponent in close quarters. Islam Youssef, on the other hand, counters with striking precision and resilience, boasting odds of 2.20. Youssef’s knack for comeback wins cannot be overlooked, but his path to victory hinges on keeping the fight standing—a tough ask against Abzakh’s relentless takedowns.

The location of the fight at Dhahran Expo adds another layer of intrigue. Abzakh is expected to enjoy strong local support, which could amplify his confidence and performance. Crowd energy often plays a subtle yet significant role in high-stakes MMA bouts, potentially giving Abzakh an edge in maintaining composure under pressure. Furthermore, Youssef’s striking prowess may falter if Abzakh successfully closes the distance early and imposes his will.

While Youssef’s resilience makes him a live underdog, Abzakh’s well-rounded skill set and current form suggest he is better equipped to dictate the pace of the fight. Given the dynamics at play, siding with the favorite seems like the sharper bet despite the lower payout.