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Betting tips from AI for New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 29 November 2025.
AI Consensus
2.35
Away win
6 of 6 AI models pick Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to win at
2.35
ChatGPT tip
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win
2.35
ChatGPT prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 29 November 2025.
New Mexico State is a fragile favorite entering the finale: five losses in six, and they’ve failed to cover in four straight when laying 3.5. Middle Tennessee just snapped a seven-game skid with a 31-17 win over Sam Houston (460-360 yards), and their offense looks steadier.
Matchup-wise, NMSU is pass-first (51st at 245.2 ypg) but the run game is anemic (76.6 ypg, 135th), making them easier to defend. The Blue Raiders get efficient, turnover-free QB play from Roman Gagliano (751 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT) and a steady ground threat in Jekail Middlebrook (657 yards). Both average ~21-22 ppg and allow ~30, with NMSU’s home edge modest.
With the Aggies at 1.60 and the Blue Raiders at 2.44, the market prices a clear gap that the form and matchup don’t justify. I’ll take the plus-money swing on Middle Tennessee.
Matchup-wise, NMSU is pass-first (51st at 245.2 ypg) but the run game is anemic (76.6 ypg, 135th), making them easier to defend. The Blue Raiders get efficient, turnover-free QB play from Roman Gagliano (751 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT) and a steady ground threat in Jekail Middlebrook (657 yards). Both average ~21-22 ppg and allow ~30, with NMSU’s home edge modest.
With the Aggies at 1.60 and the Blue Raiders at 2.44, the market prices a clear gap that the form and matchup don’t justify. I’ll take the plus-money swing on Middle Tennessee.
Gemini tip
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win
2.35
Gemini prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 29 November 2025.
While New Mexico State enters as the betting favorite with odds of 1.60, their recent form paints a troubling picture. The Aggies have stumbled badly down the stretch, dropping five of their last six contests. Their struggles are compounded by an inability to cover the spread, failing in their last four games when favored by 3.5 points or more, casting serious doubt on their reliability.
Conversely, Middle Tennessee comes into this matchup with a surge of momentum. The Blue Raiders snapped a long losing streak with a convincing 31-17 victory, showcasing an offense that has found its rhythm. Quarterback Roman Gagliano has been efficient, and the team has shown resilience as an underdog, making them a live wire in this season finale.
The statistical matchup reveals two evenly flawed teams, but the key difference is trajectory. New Mexico State's offense is one-dimensional, boasting a respectable passing attack but a dreadful running game ranked 135th in the nation. This predictability, combined with their recent collapse, makes the Blue Raiders a compelling value pick at 2.44 to pull off the road upset.
Conversely, Middle Tennessee comes into this matchup with a surge of momentum. The Blue Raiders snapped a long losing streak with a convincing 31-17 victory, showcasing an offense that has found its rhythm. Quarterback Roman Gagliano has been efficient, and the team has shown resilience as an underdog, making them a live wire in this season finale.
The statistical matchup reveals two evenly flawed teams, but the key difference is trajectory. New Mexico State's offense is one-dimensional, boasting a respectable passing attack but a dreadful running game ranked 135th in the nation. This predictability, combined with their recent collapse, makes the Blue Raiders a compelling value pick at 2.44 to pull off the road upset.
Claude tip
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win
2.35
Claude prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 29 November 2025.
Middle Tennessee's recent 31-17 victory over Sam Houston provides crucial momentum heading into this finale, snapping a seven-game losing streak with impressive 460 total yards. The Blue Raiders have demonstrated value as underdogs, covering in three of six games when facing 3.5+ point deficits.
New Mexico State's concerning form cannot be ignored - they've lost five of six games and failed to cover in their last four contests when favored by 3.5+ points. The Aggies' anemic rushing attack (76.6 yards per game, 135th nationally) creates predictable offensive limitations.
With both teams averaging similar offensive output but struggling defensively, this shapes up as a competitive finale. The 2.44 odds on Middle Tennessee offer solid value given their recent improvement and New Mexico State's poor covering record as favorites.
New Mexico State's concerning form cannot be ignored - they've lost five of six games and failed to cover in their last four contests when favored by 3.5+ points. The Aggies' anemic rushing attack (76.6 yards per game, 135th nationally) creates predictable offensive limitations.
With both teams averaging similar offensive output but struggling defensively, this shapes up as a competitive finale. The 2.44 odds on Middle Tennessee offer solid value given their recent improvement and New Mexico State's poor covering record as favorites.
Grok tip
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win
2.35
Grok prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 29 November 2025.
As the NCAA Football season winds down, the New Mexico State Aggies host the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in what could be a sneaky upset alert. The Aggies are favored at 1.60, but they've been stumbling, dropping five of their last six games, with tight losses highlighting their vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, the Blue Raiders just snapped a seven-game skid with a convincing 31-17 win over Sam Houston, outgaining them 460-360 yards and showing real offensive spark.
Betting trends add intrigue: New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in their last four games as 3.5-point favorites or more, making that 2.44 underdog line for Middle Tennessee look tempting. The Blue Raiders have covered in three of six such spots, and their passing attack, led by Roman Gagliano's 751 yards and four TDs without picks, could exploit the Aggies' shaky defense that allows about 30 points per game.
New Mexico State's passing ranks 51st nationally at 245.2 yards, but their abysmal run game—135th with just 76.6 yards—limits their balance. Middle Tennessee's Jekail Middlebrook has rushed for 657 yards, providing a ground threat that might control the clock. With both teams scoring around 21-22 points but leaky on D, this could hit the over on 52.5, but I see the Blue Raiders pulling off the road win in a close one, capitalizing on their recent momentum and the Aggies' home woes—they've won just two of five at home lately.
For bettors, that 2.44 offers juicy value on an underdog with fight.
Betting trends add intrigue: New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in their last four games as 3.5-point favorites or more, making that 2.44 underdog line for Middle Tennessee look tempting. The Blue Raiders have covered in three of six such spots, and their passing attack, led by Roman Gagliano's 751 yards and four TDs without picks, could exploit the Aggies' shaky defense that allows about 30 points per game.
New Mexico State's passing ranks 51st nationally at 245.2 yards, but their abysmal run game—135th with just 76.6 yards—limits their balance. Middle Tennessee's Jekail Middlebrook has rushed for 657 yards, providing a ground threat that might control the clock. With both teams scoring around 21-22 points but leaky on D, this could hit the over on 52.5, but I see the Blue Raiders pulling off the road win in a close one, capitalizing on their recent momentum and the Aggies' home woes—they've won just two of five at home lately.
For bettors, that 2.44 offers juicy value on an underdog with fight.
DeepSeek tip
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win
2.35
DeepSeek prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 29 November 2025.
The Aggies enter as favorites but carry significant red flags, having dropped five of their last six games and failing to cover the spread in their last four when favored by at least 3.5 points. Their anemic running game, ranked 135th nationally, is a major liability.
Conversely, Middle Tennessee is building momentum after snapping a seven-game skid with a convincing win. Their offense, led by QB Roman Gagliano's efficient play and RB Jekail Middlebrook, has shown recent competence. At the attractive underdog odds of 2.44, the Blue Raiders offer strong value to exploit the Aggies' late-season struggles.
Conversely, Middle Tennessee is building momentum after snapping a seven-game skid with a convincing win. Their offense, led by QB Roman Gagliano's efficient play and RB Jekail Middlebrook, has shown recent competence. At the attractive underdog odds of 2.44, the Blue Raiders offer strong value to exploit the Aggies' late-season struggles.
Qwen tip
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win
2.35
Qwen prediction for New Mexico State Aggies vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 29 November 2025.
This matchup between New Mexico State Aggies and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders presents an intriguing betting scenario. The Aggies enter as favorites with odds of 1.60, but their recent form raises red flags. They’ve lost five of their last six games, struggling to cover spreads even in favorable situations. While their passing game ranks 51st nationally, their inability to establish a running game—averaging just 76.6 yards per contest—could be a critical weakness against a Blue Raiders defense that has shown resilience.
Middle Tennessee, on the other hand, arrives at better odds of 2.44 after snapping a seven-game losing streak with a convincing win over Sam Houston. Quarterback Roman Gagliano has been efficient, throwing for 751 yards without an interception this season, while Jekail Middlebrook adds balance with 657 rushing yards. Their ability to move the ball effectively could exploit New Mexico State’s porous defense, which concedes nearly 30 points per game.
New Mexico State’s home-field advantage hasn’t translated into consistent success, with only two wins in their last five home games. Meanwhile, although Middle Tennessee has dropped three straight road contests, they’ve covered the spread in half of those games, showing competitiveness despite defeats. Given these dynamics, the value lies with the underdog Blue Raiders, who combine offensive firepower with reliable performances against the spread.
Considering both teams’ trends, the edge goes to Middle Tennessee. Backing them at 2.44 offers strong potential returns, especially given New Mexico State’s struggles when favored.
Middle Tennessee, on the other hand, arrives at better odds of 2.44 after snapping a seven-game losing streak with a convincing win over Sam Houston. Quarterback Roman Gagliano has been efficient, throwing for 751 yards without an interception this season, while Jekail Middlebrook adds balance with 657 rushing yards. Their ability to move the ball effectively could exploit New Mexico State’s porous defense, which concedes nearly 30 points per game.
New Mexico State’s home-field advantage hasn’t translated into consistent success, with only two wins in their last five home games. Meanwhile, although Middle Tennessee has dropped three straight road contests, they’ve covered the spread in half of those games, showing competitiveness despite defeats. Given these dynamics, the value lies with the underdog Blue Raiders, who combine offensive firepower with reliable performances against the spread.
Considering both teams’ trends, the edge goes to Middle Tennessee. Backing them at 2.44 offers strong potential returns, especially given New Mexico State’s struggles when favored.
Match News
## Match Preview: New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee
Contrasting Form Heading Into Finale
New Mexico State enters as modest favorites despite struggling down the stretch, having dropped five of their last six games with only one loss coming in overtime and another by just three points. Middle Tennessee snapped a seven-game losing streak with a dominant 31-17 home victory over Sam Houston, outgaining their opponent 460-360 yards and demonstrating offensive competence in recent weeks.
Betting Market Skepticism on Favorites
The Aggies are installed as 3.5-point favorites, yet they've failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games when favored by at least 3.5 points—a troubling trend that has bettors wary. Conversely, the Blue Raiders have shown resilience as underdogs, covering the spread in three of their six games when facing 3.5-point deficits or worse.
Offensive Firepower Comparison
Middle Tennessee's passing game has shown life recently, with Roman Gagliano accumulating 751 yards, four touchdowns, and zero interceptions this season, while rusher Jekail Middlebrook has compiled 657 yards on 120 carries. New Mexico State ranks 51st nationally in passing offense at 245.2 yards per game but struggles significantly in the running game, averaging just 76.6 yards per contest—135th in the nation.
Statistical Matchup
Both teams average around 21-22 points per game offensively but concede roughly 30 points defensively, creating a total that sits at 52.5 points. New Mexico State's home field advantage has been marginal this season, winning just two of their last five home contests while the Blue Raiders have lost three consecutive road games.
Contrasting Form Heading Into Finale
New Mexico State enters as modest favorites despite struggling down the stretch, having dropped five of their last six games with only one loss coming in overtime and another by just three points. Middle Tennessee snapped a seven-game losing streak with a dominant 31-17 home victory over Sam Houston, outgaining their opponent 460-360 yards and demonstrating offensive competence in recent weeks.
Betting Market Skepticism on Favorites
The Aggies are installed as 3.5-point favorites, yet they've failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games when favored by at least 3.5 points—a troubling trend that has bettors wary. Conversely, the Blue Raiders have shown resilience as underdogs, covering the spread in three of their six games when facing 3.5-point deficits or worse.
Offensive Firepower Comparison
Middle Tennessee's passing game has shown life recently, with Roman Gagliano accumulating 751 yards, four touchdowns, and zero interceptions this season, while rusher Jekail Middlebrook has compiled 657 yards on 120 carries. New Mexico State ranks 51st nationally in passing offense at 245.2 yards per game but struggles significantly in the running game, averaging just 76.6 yards per contest—135th in the nation.
Statistical Matchup
Both teams average around 21-22 points per game offensively but concede roughly 30 points defensively, creating a total that sits at 52.5 points. New Mexico State's home field advantage has been marginal this season, winning just two of their last five home contests while the Blue Raiders have lost three consecutive road games.
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