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Betting tips from AI for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, 14 January 2026.
AI Consensus
1.78
Away win
6 of 6 AI models pick Denver Nuggets to win at
1.78
ChatGPT tip
Denver Nuggets win
1.78
ChatGPT prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, 14 January 2026.
Denver looks like the smart money here. The Nuggets arrive 26-13 fresh off a gritty 108-104 win over Milwaukee, showing balanced attack and steady free-throw shooting, while New Orleans is deep in a slump at 9-32 with a five-game home skid and a defensive collapse letting Orlando shoot 52.4%. Market pricing gives Denver the nod at 1.62 while the Pelicans sit at 2.36.
Public models and betting trends back Denver — forecasters ~60% and a solid ATS record on the road — and a 123-115 projected outcome feels realistic. For bankroll protection and highest win probability on a $1 stake, I back the Denver Nuggets.
Public models and betting trends back Denver — forecasters ~60% and a solid ATS record on the road — and a 123-115 projected outcome feels realistic. For bankroll protection and highest win probability on a $1 stake, I back the Denver Nuggets.
Gemini tip
Denver Nuggets win
1.78
Gemini prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, 14 January 2026.
The Denver Nuggets roll into New Orleans as clear favorites, and for good reason. The Pelicans are in a complete freefall, boasting a dismal 9-32 record and currently enduring a five-game home losing streak, highlighted by defensive struggles allowing 52.4% shooting in their recent loss to Orlando. Denver, conversely, is in solid form at 26-13, fresh off a balanced victory over Milwaukee.
Expert analysts heavily favor the Nuggets, giving them a 60% win probability. Betting trends also strongly back Denver, as they've consistently covered the spread in 31 of their last 50 games and secured moneyline wins in 27 of their last 45 away contests. While one projection model suggests a potentially tighter contest, and Denver's defense ranks lower in opponent points allowed, New Orleans' own offensive inconsistency makes it unlikely they can truly exploit these weaknesses. Considering the Pelicans' struggles to consistently exceed 117.5 points, Denver's superior form and track record make them the smart play at 1.62.
Expert analysts heavily favor the Nuggets, giving them a 60% win probability. Betting trends also strongly back Denver, as they've consistently covered the spread in 31 of their last 50 games and secured moneyline wins in 27 of their last 45 away contests. While one projection model suggests a potentially tighter contest, and Denver's defense ranks lower in opponent points allowed, New Orleans' own offensive inconsistency makes it unlikely they can truly exploit these weaknesses. Considering the Pelicans' struggles to consistently exceed 117.5 points, Denver's superior form and track record make them the smart play at 1.62.
Claude tip
Denver Nuggets win
1.78
Claude prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, 14 January 2026.
The Nuggets enter this matchup with significant momentum and a strong 26-13 record, while the Pelicans continue to struggle at 9-32 with a concerning five-game home losing streak. Denver's recent victory over Milwaukee demonstrates their balanced offensive approach and clutch performance against quality opposition.
Despite the Nuggets' defensive vulnerabilities (ranking 20th in points allowed), New Orleans hasn't shown the offensive consistency needed to exploit these weaknesses. The Pelicans' home court advantage appears minimal given their current form, having dropped five straight at Smoothie King Center including a recent 128-118 loss to Orlando where their defense allowed over 52% shooting.
With Denver covering the spread in 31 of their last 50 games and winning 27 of their last 45 away contests, the 1.62 odds for Denver represent fair value. Projection models suggest a score around 123-115 in Denver's favor, aligning with betting trends and recent form.
Despite the Nuggets' defensive vulnerabilities (ranking 20th in points allowed), New Orleans hasn't shown the offensive consistency needed to exploit these weaknesses. The Pelicans' home court advantage appears minimal given their current form, having dropped five straight at Smoothie King Center including a recent 128-118 loss to Orlando where their defense allowed over 52% shooting.
With Denver covering the spread in 31 of their last 50 games and winning 27 of their last 45 away contests, the 1.62 odds for Denver represent fair value. Projection models suggest a score around 123-115 in Denver's favor, aligning with betting trends and recent form.
Grok tip
Denver Nuggets win
1.78
Grok prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, 14 January 2026.
The Denver Nuggets roll into New Orleans on a high note, fresh off a gritty 108-104 victory over Milwaukee that highlighted their balanced attack and clutch play. At 26-13, they're a force in the West, with a road moneyline win rate that's tough to ignore—27 of their last 45 away games. The Pelicans, meanwhile, are mired in a nightmare season at 9-32, capped by a brutal five-game home losing streak, including a 128-118 drubbing by Orlando where their defense leaked like a sieve, allowing 52.4% shooting.
Expert models tilt heavily toward Denver, pegging their win probability at around 60%, even if projections hint at a sneaky close one with scores like 122.2-120.2 in New Orleans's favor—though that feels optimistic given the Pels' offensive woes, rarely topping 117.5 points lately. Denver's spread coverage is stellar, hitting in 31 of 50 recent games, and while their D ranks middling (20th in points allowed at 117.5), the Nuggets' execution should exploit the Pelicans' inconsistency.
With odds listing Denver at 1.62 and New Orleans at 2.36, the value screams Nuggets on the moneyline. This isn't just form—it's Denver's poise against a faltering foe primed for another L at Smoothie King Center.
Expert models tilt heavily toward Denver, pegging their win probability at around 60%, even if projections hint at a sneaky close one with scores like 122.2-120.2 in New Orleans's favor—though that feels optimistic given the Pels' offensive woes, rarely topping 117.5 points lately. Denver's spread coverage is stellar, hitting in 31 of 50 recent games, and while their D ranks middling (20th in points allowed at 117.5), the Nuggets' execution should exploit the Pelicans' inconsistency.
With odds listing Denver at 1.62 and New Orleans at 2.36, the value screams Nuggets on the moneyline. This isn't just form—it's Denver's poise against a faltering foe primed for another L at Smoothie King Center.
DeepSeek tip
Denver Nuggets win
1.78
DeepSeek prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, 14 January 2026.
The Denver Nuggets arrive in formidable shape with a 26-13 record, fresh off a gritty win over Milwaukee. In contrast, the New Orleans Pelicans are mired in a disastrous season at 9-32, currently enduring a five-game home losing streak.
Analysts project a 60% win probability for Denver, and betting trends show they cover the spread consistently. While the Pelicans have shown flashes at home, their defensive lapses and offensive inconsistency make them a risky bet against a balanced Nuggets squad.
With odds at 1.62 for Denver and 2.36 for New Orleans, the value leans towards the favorites given their superior form and the Pelicans' freefall. Expect Denver to capitalize on New Orleans' vulnerabilities and secure the road victory.
Analysts project a 60% win probability for Denver, and betting trends show they cover the spread consistently. While the Pelicans have shown flashes at home, their defensive lapses and offensive inconsistency make them a risky bet against a balanced Nuggets squad.
With odds at 1.62 for Denver and 2.36 for New Orleans, the value leans towards the favorites given their superior form and the Pelicans' freefall. Expect Denver to capitalize on New Orleans' vulnerabilities and secure the road victory.
Qwen tip
Denver Nuggets win
1.78
Qwen prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, 14 January 2026.
The matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Denver Nuggets presents an intriguing betting scenario, but the scales tip decisively in favor of Denver. The Nuggets enter this game with a strong 26-13 record, fresh off a gritty 108-104 win over Milwaukee where their balanced offense shone through. Their ability to cover spreads consistently—hitting in 31 of their last 50 games—adds further credibility to their chances here. On the flip side, the Pelicans are mired in a dismal stretch, boasting a league-worst 9-32 record and nursing a five-game home losing streak. Their recent defensive struggles, allowing opponents to shoot over 52% from the field, could spell disaster against Denver’s potent attack.
While prediction models suggest a tight contest with scores projected at 120.2-122.2, Denver's current form and historical performance on the road make them a safer bet. The odds reflect this sentiment, with the Nuggets listed at 1.62 compared to the Pelicans' 2.36. Although New Orleans has shown flashes of covering spreads at home (14-9 ATS), their inability to secure wins outright diminishes confidence in backing them. Moreover, Denver’s scoring consistency and depth give them an edge even if the Pelicans manage to exploit their defensive weaknesses.
Given these factors, betting on the Nuggets appears to be the more profitable play despite the steep odds.
While prediction models suggest a tight contest with scores projected at 120.2-122.2, Denver's current form and historical performance on the road make them a safer bet. The odds reflect this sentiment, with the Nuggets listed at 1.62 compared to the Pelicans' 2.36. Although New Orleans has shown flashes of covering spreads at home (14-9 ATS), their inability to secure wins outright diminishes confidence in backing them. Moreover, Denver’s scoring consistency and depth give them an edge even if the Pelicans manage to exploit their defensive weaknesses.
Given these factors, betting on the Nuggets appears to be the more profitable play despite the steep odds.
Match News
# NBA Preview: Pelicans vs Nuggets
## Expert Predictions
• Prediction analysts favor Denver heavily, with forecasters giving the Nuggets approximately a 60% win probability against a struggling New Orleans squad[2]. One projection model anticipates a tight contest with Denver scoring 120.2 points versus New Orleans's 122.2, suggesting the matchup could be closer than the records indicate[3].
• Betting trends strongly support Denver's spread coverage, with the Nuggets hitting the spread in 31 of their last 50 games and winning the moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away contests[4].
## Recent Form & Context
• New Orleans is in freefall, sitting at 9-32 and currently riding a five-game home losing streak, including a 128-118 defeat to Orlando where defensive lapses allowed 52.4% shooting[1][5].
• Denver arrives in solid form at 26-13 after defeating Milwaukee 108-104, showcasing balanced offensive execution with 40.2% field goal shooting and 77.4% free throw accuracy[1].
• The Pelicans show inconsistency at home, with a 14-9 against-the-spread record in home games compared to 8-10 on the road, though they've won both moneyline favorite opportunities at Smoothie King Center[5].
## Match Outlook
• Denver's defensive vulnerabilities could present opportunities, as the Nuggets rank 20th in opponent points allowed (117.5 per game) and 23rd in limiting opponent assists, though New Orleans's offensive inconsistency makes capitalizing difficult[1].
• Score projections center around 123-115 in Denver's favor, with the under gaining traction given New Orleans's struggles to exceed 117.5 points consistently[5].
## Expert Predictions
• Prediction analysts favor Denver heavily, with forecasters giving the Nuggets approximately a 60% win probability against a struggling New Orleans squad[2]. One projection model anticipates a tight contest with Denver scoring 120.2 points versus New Orleans's 122.2, suggesting the matchup could be closer than the records indicate[3].
• Betting trends strongly support Denver's spread coverage, with the Nuggets hitting the spread in 31 of their last 50 games and winning the moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away contests[4].
## Recent Form & Context
• New Orleans is in freefall, sitting at 9-32 and currently riding a five-game home losing streak, including a 128-118 defeat to Orlando where defensive lapses allowed 52.4% shooting[1][5].
• Denver arrives in solid form at 26-13 after defeating Milwaukee 108-104, showcasing balanced offensive execution with 40.2% field goal shooting and 77.4% free throw accuracy[1].
• The Pelicans show inconsistency at home, with a 14-9 against-the-spread record in home games compared to 8-10 on the road, though they've won both moneyline favorite opportunities at Smoothie King Center[5].
## Match Outlook
• Denver's defensive vulnerabilities could present opportunities, as the Nuggets rank 20th in opponent points allowed (117.5 per game) and 23rd in limiting opponent assists, though New Orleans's offensive inconsistency makes capitalizing difficult[1].
• Score projections center around 123-115 in Denver's favor, with the under gaining traction given New Orleans's struggles to exceed 117.5 points consistently[5].
See how multiple AI models rate New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets. We aggregate today's
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