Betting tips from AI for New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns, 28 December 2025.

Phoenix come in with real momentum — a 132-108 dismantling of the Lakers and Booker/Brooks buzzing suggests the Suns are firing on all cylinders. New Orleans looks fragile after a 118-141 hammering by Cleveland despite Zion’s 26 off the bench, and the season series plus a lopsided November meeting give Phoenix a clear matchup edge.
Computer projections favor Phoenix 119-114 and public models line up with that view. The market also tilts to the road favorite: Phoenix is listed at 1.47 while New Orleans is 2.86. For a $1 moneyline play, backing Phoenix minimizes variance and captures the stronger win probability against a team that’s just been exposed defensively.

The Phoenix Suns roll into New Orleans riding a wave of momentum, fresh off a dominant 132-108 victory over the Lakers, with key players like Dillon Brooks and Devin Booker firing on all cylinders. Historically, the Suns have held an edge over the Pelicans, including a 121-98 crushing win in their last encounter. However, the New Orleans Pelicans, despite a recent 118-141 thrashing by the Cavaliers, are a resilient team, particularly when playing as Western Conference underdogs after a loss, having covered in nine straight such instances. Zion Williamson's 26 points off the bench in their last game signal their offensive capabilities.

While computer models project a narrow 119-114 Suns victory, a significant stat reveals that underdogs have "nipped" Phoenix in four of their last five visits to the Smoothie King Center. With analysts split and the betting buzz favoring an under 241 points total, suggesting a potentially tighter affair, the Pelicans at 2.86 present a compelling value bet. Their home-court advantage and historical knack for challenging the Suns in New Orleans make them an attractive upset pick against the favored Suns at 1.47.

The Phoenix Suns are storming into New Orleans on a wave of momentum after a dominant 132-108 demolition of the Lakers, where Dillon Brooks dropped 25 points and Devin Booker orchestrated with 11 assists. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are nursing wounds from a 118-141 beatdown by the Cavaliers, despite Zion Williamson's gritty 26 points off the bench. Historically, the Suns own the rivalry, winning 29 of 53 head-to-heads and routing New Orleans 121-98 in November at home.

With the Suns as road favorites at 1.47, their star power should overpower the Pelicans' underdog resilience. New Orleans has covered in nine straight as Western Conference underdogs after losses, but Phoenix's efficiency and defensive edge make them the play. Computer models forecast a tight 119-114 Suns win at Smoothie King Center, where underdogs have upset Phoenix in four of five recent visits—but this Suns squad feels primed to buck that trend.

Betting the Suns at 1.47 aligns with their form; value lies in their ability to control the pace against a slumping Pelicans team. Expect Booker and company to extend their hot streak.

Phoenix Suns are riding a huge wave of momentum after crushing the Lakers 132-108, with Dillon Brooks and Devin Booker leading the charge. Their recent dominance and the historical edge—29 wins in 53 matchups, including a 121-98 blowout in November—make them formidable road favorites at 1.47.

New Orleans Pelicans are reeling from a 141-118 loss to the Cavaliers, and while Zion Williamson's 26 points off the bench offer a glimmer of hope, their defense has been porous. Despite some analysts pointing to the Pelicans' underdog resilience, the Suns' form and computer models projecting a 119-114 win suggest they'll control this clash.

Given the Suns' offensive firepower and the Pelicans' recent struggles, backing Phoenix at 1.47 is the smart play for consistent value.

The Phoenix Suns appear poised to continue their dominance over the New Orleans Pelicans, even on the road. Despite the Pelicans' historical knack for upsetting the Suns at Smoothie King Center, recent form tells a compelling story. Phoenix demolished the Lakers 132-108 in their last outing, with Dillon Brooks and Devin Booker leading the charge. That kind of offensive firepower, combined with their stifling defense, gives them an edge here.

New Orleans is reeling after a 141-118 loss to the Cavaliers, though Zion Williamson’s 26-point bench performance offers a silver lining. However, relying on a single player to spark a turnaround against a red-hot Suns team feels risky. The Pelicans’ odds at 2.86 are tempting for bettors chasing long shots, but the Suns’ consistency makes them a safer pick at 1.47.

Historically, Phoenix holds a strong advantage, winning 29 of 53 matchups, including a convincing 121-98 victory earlier this season. While computer models project a tight contest (119-114), the Suns’ ability to close out games as road favorites should not be underestimated. Betting trends suggest under 241 points, but the focus remains on Phoenix edging another win.