Betting tips from AI for New York Islanders vs St Louis Blues, 22 November 2025.

This sets up as a favorable spot for the Islanders in regulation. New York is trending upward (7–3 last 10) and, more importantly, is translating that form at UBS Arena, where they’ve avoided a regulation loss in 8 of the last 9 head-to-heads versus St. Louis. Their attack is reliably producing (3.2 goals per game over the last 10), and while the raw season-long numbers show only a modest home scoring rate, the matchup-specific history and current trajectory suggest they can reach three goals against a Blues side conceding 3.3 per game and struggling to string together stops.

St. Louis has labored offensively (2.5 goals per game) and arrives with a road scoring profile that repeatedly stalls below 3.5. That’s particularly relevant in regulation markets: if the Blues don’t get to three, they become heavily dependent on elite goaltending swings or special teams variance to steal points. Projections do show a small save percentage edge for the Blues (91% vs. 89.7%) and a close shot volume (Isles 29, Blues 27), but New York’s recent five-on-five execution and defensive structure at home have blunted the Blues’ looks in this building.

From a price perspective, the three-way line lists the Islanders at 2.10, the Blues at 2.88, and the Draw at 4.35. Those translate to rough implieds of 47.6%, 34.7%, and 23.0% (overround included). Given form, matchup history at UBS, and the Blues’ current finishing issues, I make the Islanders’ regulation win probability closer to 52–54%, with St. Louis around 26–28% and the draw near 18–20%. At that valuation, backing New York at 2.10 offers a clear positive expected value: even at a conservative 52% fair probability, the expected return on a $1 stake is meaningfully positive.

Yes, there are risk flags. If the Blues’ netminder has a true outlier night, their goaltending edge in the projections could neutralize the Isles’ territorial tilt. And models giving St. Louis a slight 52.7% nod are weighting shot quality or goalie form differently. But these projections sit against a tangible and repeatable matchup dynamic in this rink, where New York has consistently kept the Blues under their required offensive threshold to win in 60.

Tactically, expect the Islanders to manage the middle, force St. Louis to the outside, and lean on a forecheck that has been humming. A 3–2 or 4–2 home win profile fits the recent numbers and the historical average of 5.45 total goals in this series. The bet I’m making: Islanders to win in regulation at 2.10.

This NHL clash presents a classic case of two teams heading in opposite directions, and the betting value lies squarely with the home team. The New York Islanders, offered at appealing 2.10 odds, are the clear choice against a struggling St. Louis Blues squad.

The Islanders are firing on all cylinders, evidenced by their strong third-place standing and a formidable record of seven wins in their last ten outings. They've found a consistent offensive rhythm, averaging 3.2 goals per game over that stretch. More importantly, their home ice at UBS Arena has become a veritable fortress, especially when the Blues come to town. The Islanders have not lost in regulation in eight of their last nine home matchups against St. Louis, a staggering trend that cannot be overlooked. This isn't just a statistic; it's a psychological edge that often proves decisive in tight contests.

Conversely, the St. Louis Blues are mired in a slump. Their recent record of 3-7 over the last ten games and a lowly 29th position in the league standings paint a bleak picture. Their primary issue is a sputtering offense that generates just 2.5 goals per game while their defense concedes 3.3. This offensive anemia is particularly pronounced on the road, where they have failed to score more than three goals in six consecutive games. Against an Islanders team they historically struggle to score on, it's difficult to see where the goals will come from.

While some projection models give the Blues a slight edge, citing a marginally better save percentage from their goaltenders, this factor is unlikely to be enough to steal a win. Goaltending can keep a game close, but it can't score goals. The Blues' inability to find the back of the net, combined with the Islanders' current form and overwhelming home-ice advantage in this specific head-to-head, creates a significant mismatch. The Islanders are simply the better, more confident team right now, and getting them at plus-money (2.10) on home ice is a bet that offers substantial value.

This NHL matchup presents a compelling contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions. The New York Islanders enter this contest riding significant momentum, positioned third in the standings with an impressive 7-3 record over their last 10 games. Their offensive output has been particularly strong at home, averaging 2.67 goals per game at UBS Arena, while their overall recent form shows 3.2 goals scored per contest.

The St. Louis Blues arrive in a drastically different state, mired in a prolonged slump with just 3 wins in their last 10 outings and sitting 29th in league standings. Their offensive struggles are evident, managing only 2.5 goals per game while surrendering 3.3, creating a concerning goal differential that has plagued their season.

Home ice advantage appears particularly significant in this matchup. The Islanders have dominated recent head-to-head meetings at UBS Arena, avoiding regulation losses in 8 of their last 9 encounters against St. Louis. This trend suggests the Blues struggle specifically in this venue, which aligns with their road difficulties this season.

The betting market offers interesting value considerations. While the Islanders carry 2.10 odds as slight favorites, the Blues sit at 2.88 despite their poor form. However, the underlying metrics support the home team's favoritism. St. Louis has scored fewer than 3.5 goals in 6 consecutive road games and in 8 of their last 9 matchups against New York.

Projected shot totals favor the Islanders 29-27, though St. Louis holds a slight goaltending edge with a 91% save percentage versus 89.7%. Despite this marginal advantage between the pipes, the Blues' defensive vulnerabilities and offensive struggles on the road make them vulnerable against an Islanders team playing confident hockey at home.

Given the form differential, home ice dominance in recent meetings, and the Blues' road scoring troubles, backing the Islanders at 2.10 represents solid value in what should be a regulation victory for the home side.

The New York Islanders are gearing up to host the St. Louis Blues in what promises to be an intriguing NHL matchup at UBS Arena. Coming off a hot streak, the Islanders have been dominant lately, boasting a 7-3 record over their last 10 games and winning four of their past five. They're sitting pretty in third place in the standings, and their offensive output has been solid, averaging 3.2 goals per game overall and 2.67 at home. This kind of form makes them a tough out, especially on their home ice where they've been nearly unbeatable against the Blues in recent history.

Speaking of history, the Islanders have not lost in regulation in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings against St. Louis at home. That's a staggering stat that speaks volumes about their comfort level in this matchup. On the flip side, the Blues are in a rough patch, with a dismal 3-7 record in their last 10 and four straight losses before scraping together a recent win. Ranked 29th in the league, they're struggling to find the net, averaging just 2.5 goals per game while giving up 3.3. Their road woes are particularly glaring, having scored fewer than 3.5 goals in six consecutive away games and in 8 of their last 9 against the Islanders.

Diving into the odds, the Islanders are listed at 2.10, making them slight underdogs in American terms, while the Blues sit at 2.88 and the draw at 4.35. But don't let that fool you—projections have the Blues as 52.7% favorites, yet the Islanders' home dominance and current form suggest otherwise. Shot projections give the Islanders a slight edge with 29 expected shots compared to the Blues' 27, though St. Louis has a goaltending advantage with a 91% save percentage versus the Islanders' 89.7%. Historically, these teams have split their 33 meetings with the Blues holding an 18-15 edge, but recent trends favor New York heavily at home.

The average total goals in head-to-heads is 5.45, pointing to a potentially high-scoring affair, but given the Blues' offensive struggles on the road, I see the Islanders controlling the pace and capitalizing on their scoring chances. Their defensive solidity at home, combined with the Blues' tendency to concede more goals away, positions New York well for a victory. Betting enthusiasts should note that while the Blues might have a slight edge in projections, the Islanders' momentum and historical home success make them the smarter pick here.

For those looking to maximize value, the 2.10 on the Islanders offers decent returns without excessive risk, especially considering their form. If you're feeling bold, the draw at 4.35 could be a long shot, but I wouldn't bank on it given the Islanders' push for a win. Overall, this game screams Islanders win, and I'd put my money on them to continue their strong run and send the Blues packing with another loss.

When evaluating this NHL matchup, the New York Islanders present a compelling case for a bet. Their current form is robust, with seven wins in their last ten games and an average of 3.2 goals scored per game. Playing at UBS Arena, they have been particularly dominant in recent head-to-heads against St. Louis, avoiding regulation losses in eight of the last nine meetings on home ice. This home-ice advantage, combined with their consistent offensive output, makes them a formidable opponent.

The St. Louis Blues, in contrast, are mired in a slump. With only three wins in their last ten games and a league ranking of 29th, they are struggling on both ends of the ice. Averaging just 2.5 goals per game while conceding 3.3 highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Their road performance is especially concerning, having scored under 3.5 goals in six straight games and in eight of their last nine against the Islanders. Despite some projections giving them a slight edge and their goaltending holding a save percentage advantage (91% vs. 89.7%), their overall team form and scoring woes are significant red flags.

From a betting perspective, the odds of 2.10 for the Islanders offer solid value given their strong recent record and home dominance. The Blues' odds of 2.88 may seem tempting for an underdog, but their persistent struggles and inability to score on the road make them a risky bet. The draw at 4.35 is less appealing, as the Islanders' offensive consistency and the Blues' defensive leaks suggest a decisive outcome is more likely. Historical data showing an average of 5.45 total goals in their meetings points to an open game, further favoring the in-form home team.

Ultimately, betting on the Islanders capitalizes on current momentum, historical trends, and tangible statistical advantages. Their ability to control the game at home and exploit the Blues' defensive weaknesses makes them the smarter choice for a profitable wager.

The matchup between the New York Islanders and the St. Louis Blues on November 22, 2025, presents an intriguing betting opportunity when analyzing current form, historical trends, and statistical performance. The Islanders are in excellent shape this season, sitting third in their standings and riding a wave of confidence after securing four wins in their last five games. Their offensive output has been consistent, averaging 3.2 goals per game, while their home record at UBS Arena is particularly impressive. They’ve lost in regulation only once in their last nine home meetings against the Blues, suggesting that their familiarity with St. Louis’ style gives them a significant edge in this venue.
On the other hand, the Blues are enduring a tough stretch, winning just three of their last ten games and suffering through a streak of four consecutive losses prior to their most recent victory. Their struggles are compounded by defensive frailties, as they’re conceding an average of 3.3 goals per game—among the highest rates in the league. On the road, their woes deepen; they’ve scored fewer than 3.5 goals in six straight away fixtures and have struggled historically against the Islanders, managing less than 3.5 goals in eight of their last nine head-to-head encounters. These trends paint a bleak picture for St. Louis, especially considering their poor positioning (29th overall) in the league standings.
While some projections give the Blues a slight edge as 52.7 percent favorites based on raw probabilities, such models often fail to account fully for situational factors like venue, momentum, and psychological edges. The Islanders’ dominance over St. Louis at UBS Arena cannot be overstated. In addition, the Blues’ projected 27 shots on goal compared to the Islanders’ 29 hints at a closer contest than it might actually be. Shot quality and conversion rates matter more than sheer volume, and the Islanders’ superior scoring efficiency makes them likelier to capitalize on their chances.