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Betting tips from AI for New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 29 November 2025.
AI Consensus
1.78
Home win
5 of 6 AI models pick New York Rangers to win at
1.78
ChatGPT tip
New York Rangers win
1.78
ChatGPT prediction for New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 29 November 2025.
Two evenly priced sides, but the value sits with the Rangers at 2.45. New York brings home-ice at MSG, a hotter run (4-1 ATS), and Igor Shesterkin’s .917 form, plus a superior PP (19.64%). Consensus leans NY (75%), yet public money is split, so we’re not paying a tax.
Tampa’s surge (5–1 over Calgary) and 3.1 GF/G are real, but the Rangers’ defensive structure (2.6 GA/G) and the Shesterkin vs. Jonas Johansson matchup tilt the fine margins. With last change and special-teams edge, I project NYR’s 60‑minute win rate north of 45% vs an implied 40.8%, making 2.45 a positive‑EV stab. The draw at 4.20 looks fairly priced.
Tampa’s surge (5–1 over Calgary) and 3.1 GF/G are real, but the Rangers’ defensive structure (2.6 GA/G) and the Shesterkin vs. Jonas Johansson matchup tilt the fine margins. With last change and special-teams edge, I project NYR’s 60‑minute win rate north of 45% vs an implied 40.8%, making 2.45 a positive‑EV stab. The draw at 4.20 looks fairly priced.
Gemini tip
New York Rangers win
1.78
Gemini prediction for New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 29 November 2025.
This showdown at Madison Square Garden presents a classic pick'em scenario, with both the Rangers and Lightning priced at 2.45. While oddsmakers see this as a dead heat, the value leans towards the home team. The New York Rangers hold several key advantages that could tip the scales in what promises to be a tightly contested affair.
The primary differentiator is in goal. The Rangers boast Igor Shesterkin, whose stellar .917 save percentage provides a significant edge. He was instrumental in their recent 4-2 victory over Carolina and stands as a formidable last line of defense. While Tampa Bay is coming off a dominant 5-1 win, they face a much tougher goaltending challenge here.
Furthermore, special teams could decide the outcome. The Rangers' power play operates at a more efficient 19.64% compared to the Lightning's 16.22%. In a game where goals will be at a premium, converting on the man advantage is crucial. Coupled with home-ice advantage and a strong 4-1 record against the spread in their last five games, the Rangers are well-positioned to secure the win.
The primary differentiator is in goal. The Rangers boast Igor Shesterkin, whose stellar .917 save percentage provides a significant edge. He was instrumental in their recent 4-2 victory over Carolina and stands as a formidable last line of defense. While Tampa Bay is coming off a dominant 5-1 win, they face a much tougher goaltending challenge here.
Furthermore, special teams could decide the outcome. The Rangers' power play operates at a more efficient 19.64% compared to the Lightning's 16.22%. In a game where goals will be at a premium, converting on the man advantage is crucial. Coupled with home-ice advantage and a strong 4-1 record against the spread in their last five games, the Rangers are well-positioned to secure the win.
Claude tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
2.16
Claude prediction for New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 29 November 2025.
This matchup presents exceptional value with both teams at identical 2.45 odds despite contrasting recent trajectories. Tampa Bay arrives with offensive momentum after dismantling Calgary 5-1, showcasing their superior scoring average of 3.1 goals per game versus New York's 2.6. However, the Rangers counter with home-ice advantage at Madison Square Garden and Igor Shesterkin's elite goaltending (.917 save percentage).
The Lightning's statistical edge in overall metrics conflicts with New York's impressive 4-1 ATS record in recent games. While expert consensus leans 75% toward the Rangers, Tampa Bay's consistent season performance and recent offensive explosion suggest they're undervalued at these even odds.
The 50-50 public betting split reflects genuine uncertainty, but Tampa Bay's ability to generate more scoring chances (23 shots vs Calgary) combined with their road resilience makes them the sharper play at 2.45.
The Lightning's statistical edge in overall metrics conflicts with New York's impressive 4-1 ATS record in recent games. While expert consensus leans 75% toward the Rangers, Tampa Bay's consistent season performance and recent offensive explosion suggest they're undervalued at these even odds.
The 50-50 public betting split reflects genuine uncertainty, but Tampa Bay's ability to generate more scoring chances (23 shots vs Calgary) combined with their road resilience makes them the sharper play at 2.45.
Grok tip
New York Rangers win
1.78
Grok prediction for New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 29 November 2025.
The showdown at Madison Square Garden between the New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning promises to be a thriller, with both teams coming off impressive wins. The Lightning dominated Calgary 5-1, firing 23 shots and leaning on their top-10 offense with 74 goals this season. But the Rangers countered with a solid 4-2 victory over Carolina, thanks to Igor Shesterkin's stellar .917 save percentage.
Statistically, Tampa Bay edges out in goals per game at 3.1 versus New York's 2.6, but the Rangers' power play hums at 19.64%, giving them a key advantage in special teams. Expert picks are telling: while Tony Sink backs the Lightning at 1.51, a whopping 75% of predictions favor the Rangers, highlighting their home-ice resilience.
Public betting is dead even at 50-50, but New York's 4-1 against the spread in their last five games makes them a smart value play at 2.45. With Shesterkin in net and the Garden crowd roaring, I'm betting on the Rangers to pull out the win in this tight contest.
Statistically, Tampa Bay edges out in goals per game at 3.1 versus New York's 2.6, but the Rangers' power play hums at 19.64%, giving them a key advantage in special teams. Expert picks are telling: while Tony Sink backs the Lightning at 1.51, a whopping 75% of predictions favor the Rangers, highlighting their home-ice resilience.
Public betting is dead even at 50-50, but New York's 4-1 against the spread in their last five games makes them a smart value play at 2.45. With Shesterkin in net and the Garden crowd roaring, I'm betting on the Rangers to pull out the win in this tight contest.
DeepSeek tip
New York Rangers win
1.78
DeepSeek prediction for New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 29 November 2025.
The New York Rangers have home-ice advantage at Madison Square Garden, where they recently defeated Carolina 4-2 with Igor Shesterkin delivering a stellar performance (.917 save percentage). Their power play, operating at 19.64%, gives them an edge over Tampa Bay's 16.22%. While the Lightning are consistent and fresh off a 5-1 win, 75% of expert picks favor the Rangers, and their 4-1 record against the spread in their last five games shows resilience. With odds at 2.45 for both sides, the value lies with the home team.
Given the Rangers' strong special teams, elite goaltending, and home momentum, they are well-positioned to capitalize on their recent form. Tampa Bay's offensive firepower is notable, but New York's defensive structure and Shesterkin's reliability make them the smarter bet in this evenly matched contest.
Given the Rangers' strong special teams, elite goaltending, and home momentum, they are well-positioned to capitalize on their recent form. Tampa Bay's offensive firepower is notable, but New York's defensive structure and Shesterkin's reliability make them the smarter bet in this evenly matched contest.
Qwen tip
New York Rangers win
1.78
Qwen prediction for New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 29 November 2025.
This matchup between the New York Rangers and the Tampa Bay Lightning shapes up as a fascinating clash of two teams in strong form. The Rangers have been particularly impressive at home, with Igor Shesterkin playing lights-out hockey, boasting a .917 save percentage this season. His presence in net gives New York a critical edge against a potent Lightning offense averaging 3.1 goals per game. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is coming off a dominant 5-1 win over Calgary, showcasing their offensive firepower and consistency. Jonas Johansson will likely start for the Lightning, but his numbers don’t quite stack up to Shesterkin’s elite performance.
The betting landscape tells an interesting story, with public money split evenly and odds set at 2.45 for both teams. This suggests oddsmakers view the contest as nearly a toss-up, despite Tony Sink’s prediction favoring Tampa Bay heavily at 1.51. While the Lightning hold slight statistical advantages in goals per game and power-play efficiency, the Rangers' recent 4-1 record against the spread and their home-ice advantage make them a compelling contrarian bet. At these odds, the value lies with the Rangers, who are also supported by 75% of expert picks—a rare alignment of analytics and intuition.
Considering the metrics, goaltending matchups, and situational factors like venue and momentum, the Rangers appear poised to capitalize on their strengths. A narrow victory seems plausible, making them the smarter wager in this tightly contested showdown.
The betting landscape tells an interesting story, with public money split evenly and odds set at 2.45 for both teams. This suggests oddsmakers view the contest as nearly a toss-up, despite Tony Sink’s prediction favoring Tampa Bay heavily at 1.51. While the Lightning hold slight statistical advantages in goals per game and power-play efficiency, the Rangers' recent 4-1 record against the spread and their home-ice advantage make them a compelling contrarian bet. At these odds, the value lies with the Rangers, who are also supported by 75% of expert picks—a rare alignment of analytics and intuition.
Considering the metrics, goaltending matchups, and situational factors like venue and momentum, the Rangers appear poised to capitalize on their strengths. A narrow victory seems plausible, making them the smarter wager in this tightly contested showdown.
Match News
# Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers - November 29, 2025
## Expert Predictions
Tony Sink from Doc Sports is backing the Lightning to secure the victory, favoring Tampa Bay at -196 odds despite the matchup taking place at Madison Square Garden. However, consensus among multiple prediction platforms leans toward the Rangers, with 75% of expert picks supporting a New York win, suggesting this contest could be closer than the moneyline indicates.
## Team Form and Recent Performance
The Lightning arrive in New York riding momentum after a dominant 5-1 victory over Calgary, showcasing their offensive firepower with 23 shots on goal. Tampa Bay has been one of the league's more consistent performers this season, ranking 10th in goals scored with 74 and maintaining a respectable .905 save percentage. The Rangers, meanwhile, just defeated Carolina 4-2 at home, with Igor Shesterkin delivering a stellar performance between the pipes, boasting a .917 save percentage on the season. New York has shown resilience in recent games, going 4-1 against the spread in their last five contests.
## Statistical Matchup
The Lightning hold a slight edge in overall team metrics, averaging 3.1 goals per game compared to the Rangers' 2.6, while allowing 2.7 goals against versus New York's 2.6. Tampa Bay's power play operates at 16.22%, while the Rangers' special teams unit is more potent at 19.64%, giving New York an advantage in converting scoring chances with the man advantage. Both teams feature elite goaltending, with Jonas Johansson expected to start for Tampa Bay against Shesterkin for the hosts.
## Betting Landscape
Public betting is split evenly at 50-50 between the two teams, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup. The point spread favors Tampa Bay slightly, though the Rangers' strong recent performance against the spread and their home-ice advantage at Madison Square Garden make them an intriguing contrarian play for bettors looking for value.
## Expert Predictions
Tony Sink from Doc Sports is backing the Lightning to secure the victory, favoring Tampa Bay at -196 odds despite the matchup taking place at Madison Square Garden. However, consensus among multiple prediction platforms leans toward the Rangers, with 75% of expert picks supporting a New York win, suggesting this contest could be closer than the moneyline indicates.
## Team Form and Recent Performance
The Lightning arrive in New York riding momentum after a dominant 5-1 victory over Calgary, showcasing their offensive firepower with 23 shots on goal. Tampa Bay has been one of the league's more consistent performers this season, ranking 10th in goals scored with 74 and maintaining a respectable .905 save percentage. The Rangers, meanwhile, just defeated Carolina 4-2 at home, with Igor Shesterkin delivering a stellar performance between the pipes, boasting a .917 save percentage on the season. New York has shown resilience in recent games, going 4-1 against the spread in their last five contests.
## Statistical Matchup
The Lightning hold a slight edge in overall team metrics, averaging 3.1 goals per game compared to the Rangers' 2.6, while allowing 2.7 goals against versus New York's 2.6. Tampa Bay's power play operates at 16.22%, while the Rangers' special teams unit is more potent at 19.64%, giving New York an advantage in converting scoring chances with the man advantage. Both teams feature elite goaltending, with Jonas Johansson expected to start for Tampa Bay against Shesterkin for the hosts.
## Betting Landscape
Public betting is split evenly at 50-50 between the two teams, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup. The point spread favors Tampa Bay slightly, though the Rangers' strong recent performance against the spread and their home-ice advantage at Madison Square Garden make them an intriguing contrarian play for bettors looking for value.
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