Betting tips from AI for Newcastle United vs Leeds United, 07 January 2026.

Newcastle arrive on the back of two league wins that have them climbing to ninth, and with Jacob Murphy likely fit they look sharper going into St James’ Park. The Magpies are priced as favorites at 1.73, and their recent corner dominance and attacking form make them the natural choice at home.

Leeds arrive unbeaten in seven but many of those results are draws — they held Liverpool and Man United and have drawn the last three meetings with Newcastle. Missing Dan Burn and Anthony Elanga weakens their spine, and the bookies offer them long odds at 5.09 while a stalemate sits at 3.81.

Both teams love to find the net, so expect a tight, competitive game, but Newcastle’s momentum, home edge and improving fitness give them the edge for a narrow win.

Newcastle United are flying high with back-to-back league wins, positioning them just two points off the top five. However, they face a resilient Leeds United side, currently on a remarkable seven-game unbeaten streak, including hard-fought draws against giants like Liverpool and Manchester United. The bookmakers favor the Magpies at 1.73, but Leeds' impressive run, coupled with their strong head-to-head record at St James' Park – going unbeaten in their last three visits, all ending in draws – suggests a tighter affair than the odds imply. Racing Post even tips a draw as the smart play, acknowledging Leeds' hot form with recent scalps over Chelsea and Crystal Palace. With "both teams to score" looking "nailed on" given recent form for both sides, and cards expected to be plentiful (Newcastle games have seen over 2.5 yellows in nine straight), this match is set to be a feisty, evenly contested clash. The value lies in backing the stalemate at 3.81.

Newcastle United enter this clash with momentum from consecutive league victories, climbing to ninth and within striking distance of European spots. While Leeds' seven-game unbeaten run is impressive, St James' Park remains a fortress where the Magpies typically excel.

Leeds' resilience shouldn't be overlooked – they've secured draws against Liverpool and Manchester United recently, and the last three head-to-head meetings ended level. However, Newcastle's attacking prowess at home gives them the edge, with odds of 1.73 reflecting their favorite status.

With both teams finding the net consistently (BTTS has hit in nine of Leeds' last ten and ten of Newcastle's last 13), we can expect goals. Newcastle's improving injury situation with Jacob Murphy returning provides additional firepower.

Though Leeds have gone unbeaten in their last three visits to St James', Newcastle's current form and home advantage should be enough to secure a narrow victory in what promises to be an entertaining, card-heavy encounter.

Newcastle United are buzzing at St James' Park, fresh off back-to-back wins against Burnley and Crystal Palace that have them ninth and sniffing the top five. Leeds, lurking in 16th, boast a gritty seven-game unbeaten run, including draws at Liverpool and Man United, plus recent upsets over Chelsea. But the Magpies' home form and easing injury list—with Jacob Murphy likely back—give them the edge in this feisty Tyne-Wear showdown.

Head-to-head history screams caution: Leeds unbeaten in their last three visits, drawing the past three overall. Yet Sports Mole tips a tight 2-1 Newcastle win, citing the hosts' corner dominance, while Scores24 sees a 3-1 romp. Racing Post eyes a draw, but Leeds' absences like Dan Burn and Anthony Elanga could blunt their attack.

Both teams to score feels inevitable—it's hit in nine of Leeds' last ten and ten of Newcastle's last 13—setting up goals galore. With Newcastle at 1.73, that's the value play over Leeds' 5.09 or draw at 3.81. Expect cards too, as Newcastle's games average over 2.5 yellows in nine straight. Back the home side to grind out a win and climb higher.

Newcastle United are in fine form with consecutive league wins, but Leeds United's seven-game unbeaten streak, including draws against Liverpool and Manchester United, showcases their resilience.
The head-to-head history points to a stalemate, with the last three meetings ending in draws, and Racing Post tips this as the smart play given Leeds' recent scalps.
With both teams likely to score and Leeds missing key players, the draw at 3.81 offers compelling value over Newcastle's favorite status at 1.73.

Newcastle United enter this clash in fine form, with back-to-back wins lifting them to ninth and just two points off the top five. Their attacking intent has been evident, scoring freely while remaining defensively solid. Leeds United, on the other hand, bring a seven-game unbeaten streak into St James' Park, but it’s worth noting that much of their resilience has come against stronger opposition like Liverpool and Manchester United. While they’ve avoided defeat, draws have been a recurring theme—four in their last five head-to-heads with Newcastle.

The odds paint an intriguing picture: Newcastle are favorites at 1.73, reflecting their home advantage and recent momentum. Leeds, available at 5.09, represent a tempting underdog bet, but their lack of cutting edge on the road makes this a risky proposition. The draw sits at 3.81, aligning with Racing Post's suggestion of a stalemate. However, given Newcastle's improving injury situation and Leeds' struggles to win at St James’ Park (no victory there since 2021), backing the Magpies feels more prudent.

Both teams to score looks highly probable, as highlighted by recent trends—nine of Leeds' last ten matches and ten of Newcastle's last 13 have seen goals at both ends. Yet, with Newcastle’s growing confidence and Leeds’ tendency to drop points away from home, the hosts should edge this contest. Expect a tightly contested affair, but ultimately, the Magpies’ quality will shine through.