Betting tips from AI for Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres, 24 December 2025.

Ottawa arrives riding a four-game win streak, fresh off dismantling Boston 6-2 and Chicago 6-4, and they boast the league's most lethal power play at 25%. That advantage is meaningful against a Buffalo penalty kill sitting at just 71%, and oddsmakers list the Sens as favorites at 1.65, which reflects the home-ice and special-teams edge.

Buffalo is red-hot too with six straight wins and a gritty 3-2 road victory in Vancouver, but recent head-to-head tweaks (Buffalo edged Ottawa in October and March) don't erase Ottawa’s slight 55% series edge and the matchup mismatch on the man-advantage. I’m siding with Ottawa on the moneyline — expect special teams to decide this one.

This Canadian Tire Centre clash pits two red-hot teams against each other. The Ottawa Senators are riding a scorching four-game win streak, fresh off demolishing Boston and Chicago, while the Buffalo Sabres counter with six straight victories, including a gritty road win over Vancouver. Bookmakers have pegged the Senators as clear home favorites at 1.65, and for good reason. Ottawa's lethal 25% power play, tops in the league, is perfectly poised to exploit Buffalo's shaky 71% penalty kill. While Buffalo has edged Ottawa in recent head-to-head battles, the current form and tactical mismatch in special teams strongly favor the Sens. Buffalo's recent offensive woes against the Islanders, managing just two goals on 32 shots, also raise concerns. Expect Ottawa's firepower to shine, especially with the man advantage, leading them to victory in what could be a high-scoring affair.

This Christmas Eve showdown features two of the hottest teams in the NHL, with Ottawa riding a four-game heater while Buffalo brings a six-game winning streak to the Canadian Tire Centre. Despite the Sabres' impressive run and recent head-to-head success (winning 8-4 and 3-2 in their last meetings), Ottawa's home-ice advantage and league-leading 25% power play efficiency give them a significant edge against Buffalo's vulnerable 71% penalty kill.

The 1.65 moneyline for the Senators reflects their 55% win probability, which seems justified given their offensive explosion in recent games, including six goals against both Boston and Chicago. While Buffalo has shown remarkable road resilience (12-7-2 when outshot), their offensive struggles against the Islanders raise concerns.

With both teams thriving in high-scoring affairs, expect Ottawa's superior special teams to be the difference-maker in what should be an entertaining holiday matchup. The Senators' home advantage tips the scales in their favor against a Buffalo team due for regression.

The Ottawa Senators are firing on all cylinders with a four-game win streak, including blowouts over Boston (6-2) and Chicago (6-4), bringing that momentum into their home rink against the Buffalo Sabres. Buffalo counters with six straight wins, capped by a 3-2 road grind against Vancouver, but their recent offensive struggles—scoring just two goals on 32 shots in a tie with the Islanders—could be exposed by Ottawa's league-leading 25% power play.

Head-to-head, it's been a slugfest, with Buffalo taking recent edges like 8-4 in October, but the Sens hold a slight series advantage and a projected 55% win probability here. Both teams love to light the lamp, with Ottawa 17-5-1 when scoring three-plus and Buffalo mirroring that success, hinting at a high-scoring affair over the 6.5 total.

At 1.65 moneyline favorites, Ottawa's home-ice edge and special teams prowess make them the smart play over Buffalo's 2.37 underdog price. The draw at 4.20 feels like a long shot in this potential goal-fest. Bettors, this is where value lies in backing the scorching Sens to extend their streak.

The Ottawa Senators ride a four-game win streak into this showdown, fresh off demolishing Boston and Chicago with offensive firepower. Their league-best 25% power play is a critical weapon against Buffalo's shaky 71% penalty kill, giving them a distinct edge.

Buffalo Sabres counter with six straight victories and road resilience, but a recent tie highlighted offensive woes. While the Sabres have recent head-to-head wins, the Sens hold a slight series edge and a 55% win probability.

With both teams excelling in high-scoring games, Ottawa's home advantage and special teams prowess make them the value bet at 1.65.

This matchup between the Ottawa Senators and Buffalo Sabres has all the makings of a high-stakes thriller, with both teams riding impressive win streaks into the contest. The Senators are red-hot at home, winning four straight games while flexing their offensive muscles, including two dominant performances where they scored six goals apiece. Their league-best 25% power play could be pivotal against Buffalo's penalty kill, which sits at a concerning 71%. However, the Sabres are no pushovers, boasting six consecutive victories and showing grit in close games like their recent 3-2 triumph over Vancouver.

Despite Ottawa being favored with odds of 1.65, Buffalo's resilience on the road (12-7-2 when outshot) cannot be ignored. Historically, these teams have delivered barnburners, with three of their last four meetings exceeding seven total goals. Bettors leaning toward an upset might find value in Buffalo's 2.37 odds, especially given their ability to exploit defensive lapses even during rare offensive slumps.

While the Sens hold a slight edge historically and statistically, the Sabres' momentum and knack for grinding out wins make this far from a guaranteed outcome. With both offenses capable of erupting, expect a tightly contested battle that could swing either way—or even end level after regulation.