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Betting tips from AI for Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns, 21 January 2026.
AI Consensus
1.72
Away win
5 of 6 AI models pick Phoenix Suns to win at
1.72
ChatGPT tip
Phoenix Suns win
1.72
ChatGPT prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns, 21 January 2026.
Books show Philadelphia at 1.83 and Phoenix at 2.02.
Model consensus gives the Suns a 58% win probability — they boast a superior effective field goal rate (54.0% vs 52.8%) and cleaner ball security, plus a stingy defense (111.7 opponent points) and elite offensive rebounding (29.2% OREB) that can generate second-chance points against Philly’s paint attack. Key absences cut both ways: Paul George out hurts Philly’s defense in switches, while Jalen Green’s absence trims Phoenix’s perimeter depth but doesn’t erase their analytic edge.
With the market pricing Phoenix around 2.02 (implied underdog pricing) but models at 58%, there’s a clear positive EV to back the Suns on the road. I’m siding with Phoenix Suns to capitalize on that edge.
Model consensus gives the Suns a 58% win probability — they boast a superior effective field goal rate (54.0% vs 52.8%) and cleaner ball security, plus a stingy defense (111.7 opponent points) and elite offensive rebounding (29.2% OREB) that can generate second-chance points against Philly’s paint attack. Key absences cut both ways: Paul George out hurts Philly’s defense in switches, while Jalen Green’s absence trims Phoenix’s perimeter depth but doesn’t erase their analytic edge.
With the market pricing Phoenix around 2.02 (implied underdog pricing) but models at 58%, there’s a clear positive EV to back the Suns on the road. I’m siding with Phoenix Suns to capitalize on that edge.
Gemini tip
Phoenix Suns win
1.72
Gemini prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns, 21 January 2026.
This NBA clash between the Philadelphia 76ers and Phoenix Suns presents an intriguing betting opportunity. Despite the 76ers holding home court and being slight favorites at 1.83, advanced analytical models paint a different picture.
These models give the Phoenix Suns a compelling 58% win probability, making their 2.02 odds highly attractive. The Suns boast a superior effective field goal percentage (54.0% vs. 52.8%) and better ball security, which are crucial metrics for road victories.
While Philadelphia has won their last two, Phoenix's stronger power ratings over their last 10 games (7.2 vs. 5.1) suggest better underlying performance. Injuries to Paul George for the 76ers and Jalen Green for the Suns impact both lineups, but George’s absence significantly alters Philadelphia’s defensive schemes.
Phoenix's stingier defense, allowing just 111.7 points per game compared to Philadelphia's 115.7, could be the deciding factor in what's expected to be a tight, defensive battle. Given the analytical edge and the favorable odds, the Suns represent the best value bet here.
These models give the Phoenix Suns a compelling 58% win probability, making their 2.02 odds highly attractive. The Suns boast a superior effective field goal percentage (54.0% vs. 52.8%) and better ball security, which are crucial metrics for road victories.
While Philadelphia has won their last two, Phoenix's stronger power ratings over their last 10 games (7.2 vs. 5.1) suggest better underlying performance. Injuries to Paul George for the 76ers and Jalen Green for the Suns impact both lineups, but George’s absence significantly alters Philadelphia’s defensive schemes.
Phoenix's stingier defense, allowing just 111.7 points per game compared to Philadelphia's 115.7, could be the deciding factor in what's expected to be a tight, defensive battle. Given the analytical edge and the favorable odds, the Suns represent the best value bet here.
Claude tip
Phoenix Suns win
1.72
Claude prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns, 21 January 2026.
Despite being the road team, Phoenix enters this matchup with compelling advantages that make them a value bet at 2.02. Analytical models give the Suns a 58% win probability, primarily due to their superior effective field goal percentage (54.0% vs. 52.8%) and better ball security.
The absence of Paul George significantly impacts Philadelphia's defensive versatility and scoring options. Meanwhile, though Phoenix will miss Jalen Green, their core rotation remains intact and their defensive metrics (allowing just 111.7 PPG compared to Philly's 115.7) suggest they can contain the 76ers' attack.
Philadelphia's paint scoring advantage (47.9 vs. 44.8 points) is notable, but Phoenix's superior rebounding efficiency (29.2% offensive boards) should generate crucial second-chance opportunities in what projects to be a close game.
The Suns' stronger power rating over their last 10 games (7.2 vs. 5.1) indicates they're playing better basketball recently, even if Philadelphia has won their last two. At plus money, Phoenix represents the smart value play in this cross-conference showdown.
The absence of Paul George significantly impacts Philadelphia's defensive versatility and scoring options. Meanwhile, though Phoenix will miss Jalen Green, their core rotation remains intact and their defensive metrics (allowing just 111.7 PPG compared to Philly's 115.7) suggest they can contain the 76ers' attack.
Philadelphia's paint scoring advantage (47.9 vs. 44.8 points) is notable, but Phoenix's superior rebounding efficiency (29.2% offensive boards) should generate crucial second-chance opportunities in what projects to be a close game.
The Suns' stronger power rating over their last 10 games (7.2 vs. 5.1) indicates they're playing better basketball recently, even if Philadelphia has won their last two. At plus money, Phoenix represents the smart value play in this cross-conference showdown.
Grok tip
Phoenix Suns win
1.72
Grok prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns, 21 January 2026.
In a clash that promises fireworks under the Philadelphia lights, the Phoenix Suns hold a razor-thin edge over the host 76ers on January 21, 2026. Analytical models are leaning Suns' way with a 58% win probability, spotlighting their superior effective field goal percentage at 54.0% against Philly's 52.8%, plus tighter ball security that could prove decisive in a grind-it-out affair.
Recent form gives the 76ers a boost—they've snagged their last two wins—but Phoenix's power ratings over the past 10 games (7.2 vs. 5.1) scream hotter hoops. Injuries sting both sides: Philly's without Paul George, scrambling their defense, while the Suns miss Jalen Green in the backcourt, leaning hard on their big guns.
Defensively, Phoenix's stingier unit (allowing 111.7 points per game vs. 115.7) might clamp down, though Philly dominates the paint with 47.9 points there. Suns' rebounding edge (29.2% offensive boards) opens second-chance doors. At 1.83 for the home team and 2.02 for Phoenix, value screams Suns—grab that underdog payout in what shapes as a barnburner.
Recent form gives the 76ers a boost—they've snagged their last two wins—but Phoenix's power ratings over the past 10 games (7.2 vs. 5.1) scream hotter hoops. Injuries sting both sides: Philly's without Paul George, scrambling their defense, while the Suns miss Jalen Green in the backcourt, leaning hard on their big guns.
Defensively, Phoenix's stingier unit (allowing 111.7 points per game vs. 115.7) might clamp down, though Philly dominates the paint with 47.9 points there. Suns' rebounding edge (29.2% offensive boards) opens second-chance doors. At 1.83 for the home team and 2.02 for Phoenix, value screams Suns—grab that underdog payout in what shapes as a barnburner.
DeepSeek tip
Phoenix Suns win
1.72
DeepSeek prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns, 21 January 2026.
Analytical models favor the Phoenix Suns with a 58% win probability, citing their superior effective field goal percentage and ball security. Despite Jalen Green's absence, their defense allows only 111.7 points per game, while Philadelphia misses Paul George.
The Suns' stronger power ratings and rebounding efficiency position them as slight road favorites, offering excellent value at odds of 2.02 compared to the 76ers' 1.83, which seem less appealing given the injury context.
The Suns' stronger power ratings and rebounding efficiency position them as slight road favorites, offering excellent value at odds of 2.02 compared to the 76ers' 1.83, which seem less appealing given the injury context.
Qwen tip
Philadelphia 76ers win
2.24
Qwen prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns, 21 January 2026.
The Philadelphia 76ers and Phoenix Suns are set to clash in a high-stakes NBA matchup. The analytical models favor the Suns, giving them a 58% win probability, largely due to their superior effective field goal percentage and ball security. However, recent form suggests a different story, with the 76ers on a two-game winning streak and showing strong momentum. Despite the absence of key forward Paul George, Philadelphia's defensive strength and ability to score in the paint could give them an edge. On the other hand, the Suns, despite losing Jalen Green, boast a better overall power rating and a more efficient rebounding game, which could be crucial in a tight contest. The defensive battle is expected to be fierce, with both teams looking to capitalize on their strengths. Given the context and the odds, the 76ers at 1.83 present a slightly better value, especially considering their home advantage and recent form.
Match News
# Phoenix Suns at Philadelphia 76ers – January 21, 2026
## Predictions & Expert Analysis
• Analytical models favor Phoenix: Prediction algorithms give the Suns a 58% win probability, with their superior effective field goal percentage (54.0% vs. 52.8%) and ball security positioning them as slight favorites despite playing on the road[1][2].
• Recent form tilts toward Philadelphia: The 76ers have won their last two games, while the Suns enter with mixed results—though Phoenix's last 10 games show stronger power ratings (7.2 vs. 5.1), suggesting they're playing better basketball heading into this matchup[3].
## Team Status & Injuries
• Philadelphia dealing with key absence: Forward Paul George remains sidelined, forcing the 76ers to adjust their lineup and defensive schemes[1].
• Phoenix hampered by backcourt loss: Shooting guard Jalen Green is out, limiting the Suns' perimeter depth and forcing reliance on their core scorers[1].
## Matchup Context
• Defensive battle expected: Philadelphia allows 115.7 points per game compared to Phoenix's 111.7, suggesting the Suns' defense could be the deciding factor in a potentially tight contest[3].
• Paint advantage matters: The 76ers score 47.9 points in the paint versus Phoenix's 44.8, but the Suns' superior rebounding efficiency (29.2% offensive boards) could create second-chance opportunities[3].
## Predictions & Expert Analysis
• Analytical models favor Phoenix: Prediction algorithms give the Suns a 58% win probability, with their superior effective field goal percentage (54.0% vs. 52.8%) and ball security positioning them as slight favorites despite playing on the road[1][2].
• Recent form tilts toward Philadelphia: The 76ers have won their last two games, while the Suns enter with mixed results—though Phoenix's last 10 games show stronger power ratings (7.2 vs. 5.1), suggesting they're playing better basketball heading into this matchup[3].
## Team Status & Injuries
• Philadelphia dealing with key absence: Forward Paul George remains sidelined, forcing the 76ers to adjust their lineup and defensive schemes[1].
• Phoenix hampered by backcourt loss: Shooting guard Jalen Green is out, limiting the Suns' perimeter depth and forcing reliance on their core scorers[1].
## Matchup Context
• Defensive battle expected: Philadelphia allows 115.7 points per game compared to Phoenix's 111.7, suggesting the Suns' defense could be the deciding factor in a potentially tight contest[3].
• Paint advantage matters: The 76ers score 47.9 points in the paint versus Phoenix's 44.8, but the Suns' superior rebounding efficiency (29.2% offensive boards) could create second-chance opportunities[3].
See how multiple AI models rate Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns. We aggregate today's
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