Betting tips from AI for Rafael Jodar vs Luca Van Assche, 15 January 2026.

Rafael Jodar looks the safer one‑unit play in this Australian Open first‑round clash. Experts at WinComparator back him with a 66% edge and Forebet pushes him to 69%, he owns a 4‑1 head‑to‑head lead and arrives on a four‑match winning run while Van Assche is a volatile 5‑5 over his last ten despite a gritty win over Billy Harris and a heavy loss to Moez Echargui. The market gap is clear: Jodar 1.43 vs Van Assche 2.89.

For $1 I recommend the moneyline on Jodar. Expect him to control rallies with steadier baseline depth and fewer unforced errors, forcing Van Assche to overpress; the favorite offers the best risk/reward to preserve bankroll and maximize long‑term profit.

The Australian Open serves up an intriguing first-round encounter where all signs point to Rafael Jodar securing a comfortable victory. Betting markets heavily favor Jodar at 1.43, a sentiment echoed by expert analysts from WinComparator and Forebet, who give him a strong 66-69% edge.

Jodar's dominant 4-1 head-to-head record against Luca Van Assche is a critical factor, showcasing his historical superiority. Furthermore, Jodar enters this match with significant momentum, boasting four wins in his last five outings. In stark contrast, Van Assche's recent form has been a rollercoaster, with an even 5-5 split over his last ten matches, including a recent 0-2 loss that highlights his inconsistency. While Van Assche did manage a gritty straight-sets win to start the tournament, Jodar's consistent performance and psychological edge make him the clear favorite to advance.

Rafael Jodar enters this Australian Open clash with impressive momentum, boasting a strong 4-1 recent record that contrasts sharply with Van Assche's inconsistent 5-5 performance over his last ten outings. The betting markets have responded accordingly, installing Jodar as a clear 1.43 favorite.

Van Assche's recent form raises serious concerns. While he managed a straight-sets win over Billy Harris to start the tournament, his subsequent 0-2 collapse against Moez Echargui at the Hong Kong Open exposed vulnerabilities in his game that Jodar is well-positioned to exploit.

Jodar's head-to-head advantage (4-1) against Van Assche cannot be overlooked. This psychological edge, combined with his superior recent form, explains why multiple analytics platforms give him approximately a 66-69% chance of victory.

While Van Assche at 2.89 offers tempting value, Jodar's consistency and proven track record against this opponent make him the smarter selection in what should be a compelling but ultimately predictable first-round encounter.

In the opening round of the Australian Open Men's Singles, Rafael Jodar faces off against Luca Van Assche in what promises to be a compelling battle between two rising stars. Jodar, the clear favorite at 1.43, enters with impressive momentum, boasting a 4-1 record in his last five matches. Experts at WinComparator give him a 66% edge, highlighting his consistency against Van Assche's more erratic form.

Van Assche, listed at 2.89, showed grit in a straight-sets win over Billy Harris to kick off the tournament but faltered with a 0-2 loss to Moez Echargui at the Hong Kong Open. His last 10 matches are split evenly at 5-5, revealing flashes of brilliance but underscoring inconsistency that could prove costly on the hard courts of Melbourne.

Forebet analysts predict Jodar pulling ahead with 69% odds, and betting markets reflect this at 1.39 for the Spaniard versus 2.69 for Van Assche. Jodar's superior recent run and head-to-head edge make him the safer, more profitable pick for bettors eyeing value in this first-round thriller. Expect Jodar to advance in straight sets, capitalizing on his momentum to start the tournament strong.

Australian Open enthusiasts can expect a compelling showdown as Rafael Jodar faces Luca Van Assche. Jodar carries significant momentum with four recent victories and just one loss, backed by a strong 4-1 head-to-head edge over Van Assche, per expert analysis.

Forebet predicts a 69% win probability for Jodar, mirroring his bookmaker odds of 1.43. Van Assche, despite a gritty opening win, struggles with consistency, sporting a 5-5 record in his last ten matches and a recent straight-sets defeat.

With markets heavily favoring Jodar at 1.43, his superior form and psychological advantage make him the smart bet, while Van Assche's 2.89 odds remain risky amid erratic performances.

Rafael Jodar enters this Australian Open clash as the clear favorite, and for good reason. His recent form has been exceptional, boasting a 4-1 record in his last five matches, while Luca Van Assche's inconsistency is evident in his 5-5 split over his last 10 games. The betting markets reflect this dominance, with Jodar sitting at 1.43 compared to Van Assche's 2.89. These odds suggest that Jodar is heavily favored to win, and analysts agree—WinComparator gives him a 66% edge, while Forebet ups the ante with a 69% likelihood of victory.
Van Assche did show flashes of brilliance by defeating Billy Harris in straight sets earlier in the tournament, but his 0-2 loss to Moez Echargui at the Hong Kong Open raises concerns about his readiness for high-stakes matches. Meanwhile, Jodar’s momentum from four consecutive victories signals he’s peaking at the right time. His head-to-head advantage over Van Assche further tilts the scales in his favor.
While Van Assche’s fighting spirit shouldn’t be underestimated, Jodar’s consistency and superior form make him the safer and more logical bet. At 1.43, the value lies in trusting the Spaniard to deliver under pressure in this first-round thriller.