Betting tips from AI for Real Madrid vs Levante, 17 January 2026.

A chaotic week at the Bernabéu: Xabi Alonso was sacked after a 3-2 Super Cup loss to Barcelona and a shock Copa del Rey exit to Albacete, and Alvaro Arbeloa steps in for his first La Liga match. The market still makes Madrid overwhelming favourites at 1.16.

Form favours Los Blancos — nine league goals in three straight wins and a 4-1 earlier-season demolition where Mbappé hit a brace. Levante have one win in ten but Luis Castro has steadied them with three unbeaten; visitor and draw prices sit at 14.52 and 9.25 respectively.

Betting verdict: back Real Madrid. Home firepower and recent head-to-head dominance outweigh short-term turbulence; a 3-1 home win is the most likely outcome.

Real Madrid faces a tumultuous week, with Xabi Alonso's sacking and Alvaro Arbeloa taking the reins. Despite cup exits, Los Blancos have been formidable in the league, netting nine goals in three consecutive triumphs. As they sit just four points off the top, a slip against bottom-feeders Levante is unthinkable, especially with Champions League spots on the line.
Levante arrives at the Bernabéu with a dismal record of just one victory in their last ten outings. While new boss Luis Castro has sparked a modest three-game unbeaten run, including a recent draw, it's a monumental ask against a Real Madrid side they demolished 1.04-1 earlier this season. Although Levante's Karl Etta Eyong and Iker Losada could exploit Madrid's "leaky defense," as Goal.com notes, Real Madrid's sheer attacking prowess and recent habit of three-goal hauls should prevail. Betting experts at Football Whispers and Sports Mole also foresee a 1.03-1 Real Madrid victory. Given the overwhelming odds of 1.16 for a Real Madrid win, it's the most sensible pick despite the low return.

Real Madrid's managerial shakeup comes at a critical moment with Arbeloa stepping in for his first La Liga match after Alonso's dismissal. Despite recent cup failures, Los Blancos maintain impressive league form with nine goals across three consecutive victories. The timing isn't ideal, but facing bottom-dwellers Levante offers the perfect opportunity to steady the ship.

Levante's Luis Castro has engineered an unbeaten three-game run, but their overall record shows just one win in ten matches. Their attacking threats Eyong and Losada could trouble Madrid's vulnerable defense, but the talent gap remains substantial. The earlier 4-1 drubbing featuring Mbappé's brace demonstrates the firepower disparity.

With Barcelona just four points ahead, Real Madrid can't afford to drop points. The 1.16 odds reflect their overwhelming favorite status. While Levante might find the net in what could be a 3-1 scoreline, backing Real Madrid at home represents the safest bet despite the minimal return.

Real Madrid are in turmoil after sacking Xabi Alonso following a shocking Super Cup defeat to Barcelona and a Copa del Rey upset against second-tier Albacete, but new boss Alvaro Arbeloa steps into his first La Liga game with the weight of second place on his shoulders. Barcelona loom just four points ahead, and with Champions League spots in the balance, Los Blancos can't afford to stumble against bottom-of-the-table Levante, who've managed just one win in their last ten outings. Despite the chaos, Madrid's league form remains electric, smashing nine goals across three straight triumphs, and they already thrashed Levante 4-1 earlier this season thanks to Kylian Mbappé's brace. Levante's new manager Luis Castro has ignited three unbeaten games, including a draw last weekend, but their away record at the Bernabéu is dismal—78% of their scant points come from home soil. Betting experts at Football Whispers and Sports Mole both foresee a 3-1 Madrid win, and with odds at 1.16 for the hosts, it's a banker bet for value seekers. Rodrygo could shine in a potential goal-fest, but Madrid's dominance in recent head-to-heads—five wins in the last ten—seals it. Expect Los Blancos to steady the ship and overpower the visitors.

Real Madrid enters this La Liga fixture amid managerial chaos after sacking Xabi Alonso, with Alvaro Arbeloa taking charge for his first league game. Despite cup exits, Los Blancos have scored nine goals in three straight league wins and cannot afford a slip with Barcelona just four points ahead.

Levante, under new boss Luis Castro, is unbeaten in three games but has only one win in ten and relies heavily on away points. However, Real Madrid's dominance includes a 4-1 victory earlier this season, and with odds at 1.16 for the hosts, 14.52 for Levante, and 9.25 for a draw, the value points to a home win fueled by attacking stars like Rodrygo and Mbappé.

Real Madrid enters this clash amid a storm of managerial change and inconsistent form. The sacking of Xabi Alonso after embarrassing cup exits has left the squad in transition under Alvaro Arbeloa, who faces his first La Liga test here. Despite internal turmoil, Los Blancos have shown offensive firepower with nine goals across their last three league games, a trend Football Whispers expects to continue in a predicted 3-1 victory. Levante, meanwhile, is no longer a pushover under Luis Castro, going unbeaten in their last three matches and showing resilience on the road where they've earned most of their points this season.

The odds reflect Real Madrid's dominance, with their moneyline set at 1.16, signaling overwhelming favoritism. Levante's 14.52 suggests an upset is improbable, though not impossible given their recent uptick in form. A draw sits at 9.25, tempting for bettors expecting both teams to find the net as Goal.com’s analyst anticipates. Rodrygo and Kylian Mbappé could be decisive for Madrid, while Levante’s Karl Etta Eyong and Iker Losada offer counterattacking threats.

Historically, Real Madrid dominates this fixture, including a 4-1 rout earlier this season fueled by Mbappé’s brilliance. However, Levante's newfound stability makes them dangerous spoilers. Still, with Barcelona breathing down their necks in the title race, Real Madrid cannot afford another slip-up at home.