Betting tips from AI for Reilly Opelka vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 21 January 2026.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is my pick. Bookmakers make him the heavy favorite at 1.45, and prediction markets mirror that confidence with a 69¢ edge on Robinhood and stats sites projecting roughly a 71% chance. His steady 2025 form (7-4) and seeded status give him the momentum in this first-round clash.

Reilly Opelka’s thunderous serve and 2025 hard-court resurgence (6-3) mean he can spark an upset, and bettors have him priced around 2.93. Still, with no H2H history and Davidovich Fokina’s superior all-court movement and return depth to neutralize big serves, the smart profitable play is to back the Spaniard to control rallies and close out in three or four.

The Australian Open first round clash between Reilly Opelka and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina presents a clear favorite in the Spaniard. Bookmakers have Davidovich Fokina heavily favored at 1.45, while Opelka sits at 2.93, a sentiment echoed by prediction markets where Fokina is a strong 69¢ favorite. This isn't just market noise; stats sites give Fokina a commanding 71% edge, praising his consistent 7-4 start to 2025.

While Opelka's massive serve is always a threat, capable of sparking fireworks and potentially an upset, Davidovich Fokina’s well-rounded all-court game and strong baseline play make him the sensible pick. His 2025 form has been solid, and with no prior head-to-head, his seeded firepower is expected to prevail against Opelka's hard-court resurgence. The odds for Davidovich Fokina at 1.45 actually present a slight value when considering the high probability assigned to him by statistical models, making him the profitable bet here.

This Australian Open matchup pits the towering serve of Reilly Opelka against the all-court game of 14th-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The odds heavily favor the Spaniard at 1.45, with Opelka positioned as the underdog at 2.93.

Davidovich Fokina enters with impressive momentum, boasting a solid 7-4 record to start 2025. His consistent form and seeded status (32nd draw slot) explain why prediction markets give him a 69¢ chance of victory. However, Opelka's hard-court resurgence (6-3 in 2025) shouldn't be overlooked.

The lack of head-to-head history adds intrigue, but Davidovich Fokina's versatile baseline game should neutralize Opelka's biggest weapon—his serve. While Opelka could push sets to tiebreaks, the Spaniard's superior movement and consistency across all facets of the game make him the value bet despite the shorter odds. Expect Davidovich Fokina to weather the serving storm and advance.

In the opening round of the Australian Open Men's draw, we're witnessing a classic clash of styles: the towering serve of Reilly Opelka against the versatile baseline prowess of 14th-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Bookmakers are all over Fokina, listing him as a heavy -221 favorite, while Opelka sits at +193 as the intriguing underdog with upset potential.

Fokina enters with momentum from a solid 7-4 start to 2025, showcasing his all-court game that's perfect for Melbourne's hard courts. Stats models give him a 71% edge, and prediction markets echo that with traders pegging him at 69¢ to win. Opelka's 6-3 hard-court record this year highlights his resurgence, powered by that massive serve that could force tiebreaks and fireworks, but without a head-to-head edge, it's tough to fade Fokina's seeded consistency in this 32nd slot battle.

As a betting pro eyeing value, I'll back Fokina to navigate the intensity and advance—his form trumps Opelka's raw power in what shapes up as a gritty affair. Expect Fokina in straight sets or a close three, but the Spaniard prevails.

In this Australian Open first-round clash, bookmakers heavily favor 14th-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 1.45 over big-serving Reilly Opelka, priced at 2.93 as an upset threat.

Davidovich Fokina's consistent 2025 form, with a 7-4 record to start the year, gives him a statistical edge forecasted at 71%. His all-court game is expected to neutralize Opelka's massive serve, which has sparked a hard-court resurgence but may not suffice against seeded firepower.

With no prior head-to-head meetings, the intrigue is high, but Davidovich Fokina's baseline prowess and betting previews point to him advancing in an intense battle.

In the upcoming Australian Open Men's match, 14th-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is favored by bookmakers at 1.45 odds, while Reilly Opelka is seen as a potential upset threat at 2.93. Davidovich Fokina has been in consistent form, boasting a 7-4 record to start the year, and his all-court game is expected to give him an edge in this first-round clash. Despite Opelka's powerful serve, which could certainly cause some trouble, the Spaniard's versatility and recent performance make him a strong favorite. The lack of prior head-to-head meetings adds an element of unpredictability, but the stats and current form suggest that Davidovich Fokina is well-positioned to secure the win. Prediction markets also favor Davidovich Fokina, with a 69¢ chance of winning, further solidifying his position as the likely.