Betting tips from AI for Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Ryan Peniston, 13 January 2026.

Roman Andres Burruchaga arrives as the slight favorite and makes the most sense to back. Bookmakers list him at 1.51, and experts giving him a 52% edge match the tape: Burruchaga has momentum from a recent US Open showing and a solid qualifying/reserve form that suits Melbourne hard courts.
Ryan Peniston, at 2.64, is dangerous but erratic—six losses in eight matches recently—and while he’s shown grit in qualifiers and past slogs, that inconsistency is costly in best-of-five Grand Slam openers.
For a $1 win bet seeking profit, Burruchaga’s combination of form, favorable matchup, and the market’s slight lean makes him the pragmatic pick.

The Australian Open first round often throws up intriguing matchups, and this clash between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Ryan Peniston is no exception. While some whispers suggest a tight encounter, the bookmakers have positioned Burruchaga as the favorite at 1.51, reflecting his stronger recent trajectory.

Burruchaga arrives in Melbourne with solid momentum, boasting five wins in his last ten outings. His recent US Open run, where he edged Justin Engel before falling to Shintaro Mochizuki, signals a player growing in confidence and threat on the big stage. This upward trend is a crucial factor in handicapping this match.

Conversely, Ryan Peniston has struggled to find consistency, notching just two wins in his last eight matches. His straight-sets loss to Andy Murray at Wimbledon highlighted his vulnerability, and while he showed grit in a tight qualifier last year, his overall form points to a challenging path forward against a player like Burruchaga.

Considering Burruchaga's superior recent form and evident momentum, he presents the more reliable bet. Despite any notion of a "razor-close" contest, the disparity in current performance makes Burruchaga at 1.51 the logical choice to advance to the next round.

This Australian Open first-round matchup presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors. Despite the bookmaker odds suggesting Burruchaga at 1.51 as the clear favorite, betting experts actually view this as much closer, giving him just a 52% edge. This discrepancy creates potential value.

Burruchaga's recent form shows promise with five wins against five losses, demonstrating consistency that Peniston lacks. The British player has struggled lately, dropping six of his last eight matches, including a straight-sets loss to Andy Murray at Wimbledon.

Burruchaga's US Open performance, where he defeated Justin Engel before losing to Shintaro Mochizuki, indicates his growing comfort on the big stage. Meanwhile, Peniston's tight loss to Aziz Dougaz in last year's Australian Open qualifiers suggests he struggles in Melbourne conditions.

With the hard courts of Melbourne likely favoring Burruchaga's more consistent baseline game, I'm backing the Argentine to prevail, though possibly in a competitive four-setter rather than the five-set marathon some anticipate.

In the opening round of the Australian Open, Roman Andres Burruchaga faces Ryan Peniston on Melbourne's hard courts, a matchup primed for tension. Burruchaga enters with strong momentum, boasting five wins in his last ten matches, including a gritty run at the US Open where he edged Justin Engel before a narrow loss to Shintaro Mochizuki. This showcases his rising prowess on big stages, making him a legitimate threat.

Peniston, meanwhile, is grappling with inconsistency, having dropped six of his last eight outings. His recent straight-sets defeat to Andy Murray at Wimbledon highlights vulnerabilities, though he displayed some qualifier grit last year against Aziz Dougaz. Still, the odds reflect Burruchaga's edge at 1.51, while Peniston sits at 2.64, suggesting value but risk for the underdog.

Betting experts give Burruchaga a 52% chance to prevail in what could be a five-set battle. With his superior recent form, I'll back him to advance, turning my $1 wager into a tidy profit on the favorite's reliability.

Roman Andres Burruchaga enters this Australian Open clash with betting experts leaning his way, citing a 52% edge based on his solid momentum of five recent wins. In contrast, Ryan Peniston battles inconsistency after six defeats in his last eight outings, a vulnerability that could be exposed on Melbourne's hard courts.

Burruchaga's US Open run—edging Justin Engel—highlights his growing threat, while Peniston's grit in qualifiers may not suffice against an opponent riding a wave of improvement. The odds reflect this disparity, with Burruchaga favored at 1.51 and Peniston at 2.64.

Given Burruchaga's superior form and mental edge, he's poised to capitalize on Peniston's struggles and secure a victory in what could be a competitive but ultimately one-sided affair.

Roman Andres Burruchaga enters this Australian Open clash with a slight edge, and the odds reflect that. At 1.51, he’s priced as the favorite, while Ryan Peniston sits at 2.64. Betting experts are giving Burruchaga a 52% chance to win, which aligns closely with his recent form. He has notched five wins in his last ten matches, showing consistency and momentum heading into Melbourne's hard courts. Peniston, on the other hand, has struggled with inconsistency, dropping six of his last eight matches—a glaring red flag.

Peniston’s game has flashes of brilliance, as seen in his qualifiers last year, but his straight-sets loss to Andy Murray at Wimbledon underscores his vulnerability against players who can dictate rallies. Meanwhile, Burruchaga’s run at the US Open—where he defeated Justin Engel before falling to Shintaro Mochizuki—proves he can compete at higher levels. This match could go the distance, but Burruchaga’s steadier form makes him the more reliable bet.

With bookmakers suggesting a tight contest and odds leaning slightly toward Burruchaga, backing him at 1.51 seems prudent. His ability to grind out tough matches positions him well for success in a potential five-set battle.