English
English (US)
Betting tips from AI for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies, 01 December 2025.
AI Consensus
1.71
Away win
5 of 6 AI models pick Memphis Grizzlies to win at
1.71
ChatGPT tip
Sacramento Kings win
2.27
ChatGPT prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies, 01 December 2025.
Memphis rolls in with three straight road wins (Clippers, Pels, Mavs) and already smashed Sacramento 137-96. They’re 3-0 ATS when favored around this margin and the market shows -3.5 with a 231.5 total—respect earned.
But the moneyline of 1.66 implies a bigger edge than some models suggest (about 51% win chance). That mispricing swings value to the home Kings at 2.25. Sacramento has struggled (5-15), yet at home and motivated, they need only average shooting variance and a glass-by-committee effort to flip this.
If the Kings can keep Memphis under their 123-point comfort zone, the upset is live. I’ll ride the plus price for a small edge.
But the moneyline of 1.66 implies a bigger edge than some models suggest (about 51% win chance). That mispricing swings value to the home Kings at 2.25. Sacramento has struggled (5-15), yet at home and motivated, they need only average shooting variance and a glass-by-committee effort to flip this.
If the Kings can keep Memphis under their 123-point comfort zone, the upset is live. I’ll ride the plus price for a small edge.
Gemini tip
Memphis Grizzlies win
1.71
Gemini prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies, 01 December 2025.
The Memphis Grizzlies roll into Sacramento with all the momentum, riding a three-game road winning streak. In stark contrast, the Kings are reeling, having dropped their last two contests and posting a dismal 5-15 record on the season. The recent history between these two teams tells a lopsided story, with Memphis demolishing Sacramento 137-96 just ten days ago.
This isn't just about form; it's a fundamental mismatch. The Grizzlies' offense is poised to exploit a Kings defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in both rebounding and blocks. Sacramento allows a staggering 123.3 points per game, a number Memphis has surpassed four times this season, winning every single one of those games both straight-up and against the spread.
While the Kings are at home, their struggles as underdogs are well-documented, winning just 17.6% of such games. Everything points to the road favorites handling their business, making the Grizzlies at 1.66 a compelling pick to continue their dominance over Sacramento.
This isn't just about form; it's a fundamental mismatch. The Grizzlies' offense is poised to exploit a Kings defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in both rebounding and blocks. Sacramento allows a staggering 123.3 points per game, a number Memphis has surpassed four times this season, winning every single one of those games both straight-up and against the spread.
While the Kings are at home, their struggles as underdogs are well-documented, winning just 17.6% of such games. Everything points to the road favorites handling their business, making the Grizzlies at 1.66 a compelling pick to continue their dominance over Sacramento.
Claude tip
Memphis Grizzlies win
1.71
Claude prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies, 01 December 2025.
Memphis arrives in Sacramento with serious momentum, having won three straight road games while improving to 8-12. The Grizzlies dominated this exact matchup just 10 days ago, crushing Sacramento 137-96, and remain undefeated against the Kings both straight-up and against the spread this season.
The statistical mismatch is glaring - Memphis averages 113.3 points per game against Sacramento's porous defense that allows 123.3 points. When the Grizzlies exceed that threshold, they're a perfect 4-0. Sacramento's struggles are evident in their 5-15 record and league-worst rankings in blocks (29th) and rebounding (28th).
With Memphis holding a perfect 3-0 ATS record when favored by 3.5+ points this season, the 1.66 line offers solid value against a Kings team that wins just 17.6% of games as underdogs.
The statistical mismatch is glaring - Memphis averages 113.3 points per game against Sacramento's porous defense that allows 123.3 points. When the Grizzlies exceed that threshold, they're a perfect 4-0. Sacramento's struggles are evident in their 5-15 record and league-worst rankings in blocks (29th) and rebounding (28th).
With Memphis holding a perfect 3-0 ATS record when favored by 3.5+ points this season, the 1.66 line offers solid value against a Kings team that wins just 17.6% of games as underdogs.
Grok tip
Memphis Grizzlies win
1.71
Grok prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies, 01 December 2025.
The Memphis Grizzlies are rolling into Sacramento with serious momentum, fresh off three straight road wins that have boosted their record to 8-12. Their latest triumph was a gritty 112-107 victory over the Clippers, showcasing their ability to close out tight games. In contrast, the Sacramento Kings are mired in a slump at 5-15, having dropped their last two contests against Utah and Phoenix.
What really tips the scales is the recent head-to-head dominance—Memphis crushed the Kings 137-96 just ten days ago, and they're undefeated against them this season. The Grizzlies' offense, averaging 113.3 points, exploits Sacramento's leaky defense that allows 123.3 per game. Memphis is a perfect 4-0 when scoring over that mark.
As 1.66 favorites, the Grizzlies offer solid value against the 2.25 underdog Kings, who win just 17.6% as dogs. Betting models give Memphis a 51% edge, but their form suggests even better odds of victory.
What really tips the scales is the recent head-to-head dominance—Memphis crushed the Kings 137-96 just ten days ago, and they're undefeated against them this season. The Grizzlies' offense, averaging 113.3 points, exploits Sacramento's leaky defense that allows 123.3 per game. Memphis is a perfect 4-0 when scoring over that mark.
As 1.66 favorites, the Grizzlies offer solid value against the 2.25 underdog Kings, who win just 17.6% as dogs. Betting models give Memphis a 51% edge, but their form suggests even better odds of victory.
DeepSeek tip
Memphis Grizzlies win
1.71
DeepSeek prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies, 01 December 2025.
The Memphis Grizzlies enter this contest on a high, having strung together three consecutive road victories to build momentum. Their recent offensive surge was on full display in a dominant 137-96 win over these very Sacramento Kings just ten days ago. Memphis's ability to exploit Sacramento's league-worst defense, particularly their poor rebounding and shot-blocking, gives them a decisive edge. The Kings are mired in a slump at 5-15 and have consistently struggled in the underdog role. With the Grizzlies boasting a perfect record against the spread when favored by this margin and their potent offense poised to overwhelm a vulnerable defense, the value clearly lies with Memphis at 1.66.
Sacramento's sole recent win against Minnesota feels like an anomaly in an otherwise dismal season. Their defensive woes, conceding an average of 123.3 points, play directly into the Grizzlies' hands, as Memphis is a perfect 4-0 when they surpass that scoring threshold. Given the current form, head-to-head dominance, and clear statistical mismatch, backing the road favorite is the most profitable path.
Sacramento's sole recent win against Minnesota feels like an anomaly in an otherwise dismal season. Their defensive woes, conceding an average of 123.3 points, play directly into the Grizzlies' hands, as Memphis is a perfect 4-0 when they surpass that scoring threshold. Given the current form, head-to-head dominance, and clear statistical mismatch, backing the road favorite is the most profitable path.
Qwen tip
Memphis Grizzlies win
1.71
Qwen prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies, 01 December 2025.
The Memphis Grizzlies appear to be the stronger side heading into this matchup against the Sacramento Kings. With a recent run of three consecutive road victories, including a narrow win over the Clippers and dominant performances against New Orleans and Dallas, the Grizzlies are showcasing both resilience and offensive firepower. Their average of 113.3 points per game significantly outpaces Sacramento’s defensive allowance of 123.3 points, suggesting Memphis could exploit this mismatch effectively.
Sacramento, on the other hand, is in poor form with a 5-15 record and has lost their last two games by considerable margins. Their struggles as underdogs—winning just 17.6% of such games this season—further highlight their vulnerabilities. The Kings' defensive frailties, underscored by their league-worst rankings in blocks (29th) and rebounding (28th), make them ill-equipped to handle Memphis’s potent attack.
Memphis also holds a psychological edge, having dismantled Sacramento 137-96 in their most recent encounter. This dominance, coupled with their perfect record against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more, makes them a reliable pick at 1.66. While betting on favorites with such odds may not yield massive returns, the consistency and statistical advantages suggest Memphis is the safer, more profitable choice here.
Considering the context, backing the Grizzlies aligns with both recent performance trends and historical head-to-head results.
Sacramento, on the other hand, is in poor form with a 5-15 record and has lost their last two games by considerable margins. Their struggles as underdogs—winning just 17.6% of such games this season—further highlight their vulnerabilities. The Kings' defensive frailties, underscored by their league-worst rankings in blocks (29th) and rebounding (28th), make them ill-equipped to handle Memphis’s potent attack.
Memphis also holds a psychological edge, having dismantled Sacramento 137-96 in their most recent encounter. This dominance, coupled with their perfect record against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more, makes them a reliable pick at 1.66. While betting on favorites with such odds may not yield massive returns, the consistency and statistical advantages suggest Memphis is the safer, more profitable choice here.
Considering the context, backing the Grizzlies aligns with both recent performance trends and historical head-to-head results.
Match News
# Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies - December 1, 2025
## Form and Recent Performance
The Memphis Grizzlies arrive in Sacramento riding momentum from three consecutive road victories, improving to 8-12 on the season.[2] Their most recent outing saw them edge the Los Angeles Clippers 112-107, following dominant wins against New Orleans (133-128) and Dallas (102-96).[1] The Sacramento Kings, conversely, are struggling at 5-15 after dropping their last two games—falling to Utah 128-119 and Phoenix 112-100.[3] Sacramento's sole bright spot came against Minnesota, where they secured a 117-112 victory.
## Matchup Dynamics and Betting Context
Memphis enters as a modest 3.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 231.5 points.[2] The Grizzlies have demonstrated particular strength when favored by this margin or more, posting a perfect 3-0 record against the spread in such situations this season.[2] Conversely, Sacramento has struggled as underdogs, winning just 17.6% of their 17 games in that role.[2] Prediction models lean toward Memphis, with one analysis giving the Grizzlies a 51% probability of victory.[6]
## Head-to-Head History
Memphis holds a commanding advantage in their recent matchup history, having defeated Sacramento 137-96 just ten days ago on November 21.[1][3] The Grizzlies are undefeated against the Kings this season both straight-up and against the spread.[2]
## Statistical Advantages
Memphis's offensive efficiency presents a significant mismatch—the Grizzlies average 113.3 points per game, which exceeds Sacramento's defensive allowance of 123.3 points by a notable margin.[2] When Memphis surpasses 123.3 points, they maintain a perfect 4-0 record both straight-up and against the spread.[2] Sacramento's defensive vulnerabilities are compounded by their league-worst ranking in blocks (29th) and rebounding (28th).[2]
## Form and Recent Performance
The Memphis Grizzlies arrive in Sacramento riding momentum from three consecutive road victories, improving to 8-12 on the season.[2] Their most recent outing saw them edge the Los Angeles Clippers 112-107, following dominant wins against New Orleans (133-128) and Dallas (102-96).[1] The Sacramento Kings, conversely, are struggling at 5-15 after dropping their last two games—falling to Utah 128-119 and Phoenix 112-100.[3] Sacramento's sole bright spot came against Minnesota, where they secured a 117-112 victory.
## Matchup Dynamics and Betting Context
Memphis enters as a modest 3.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 231.5 points.[2] The Grizzlies have demonstrated particular strength when favored by this margin or more, posting a perfect 3-0 record against the spread in such situations this season.[2] Conversely, Sacramento has struggled as underdogs, winning just 17.6% of their 17 games in that role.[2] Prediction models lean toward Memphis, with one analysis giving the Grizzlies a 51% probability of victory.[6]
## Head-to-Head History
Memphis holds a commanding advantage in their recent matchup history, having defeated Sacramento 137-96 just ten days ago on November 21.[1][3] The Grizzlies are undefeated against the Kings this season both straight-up and against the spread.[2]
## Statistical Advantages
Memphis's offensive efficiency presents a significant mismatch—the Grizzlies average 113.3 points per game, which exceeds Sacramento's defensive allowance of 123.3 points by a notable margin.[2] When Memphis surpasses 123.3 points, they maintain a perfect 4-0 record both straight-up and against the spread.[2] Sacramento's defensive vulnerabilities are compounded by their league-worst ranking in blocks (29th) and rebounding (28th).[2]
See how multiple AI models rate Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies. We aggregate today's
betting tips and highlight agreement between models when it occurs. Use this page to scan the overall
picture quickly, then open any model's detailed tip to read short reasoning.