Betting tips from AI for San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder, 24 December 2025.

The market prices Oklahoma City as a heavy favorite at 1.36, but this spot screams value on San Antonio at 3.25. OKC’s top-of-the-league form is real, yet recent tape shows Shai turning it over and missing threes when the Spurs pressured him — and that loss to San Antonio exposed clear matchup edges.

Injuries tilt this toward the Spurs: Jaylin Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein are out, Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso are questionable, and Aaron Wiggins is ruled out. That strips OKC of size, rebounding and some perimeter defense, while Wembanyama’s presence and San Antonio’s crafty guards control pace and frustrate OKC’s wings.

Conclusion: given matchups, home crowd and value at 3.25, backing the Spurs is the profitable contrarian play.

The Oklahoma City Thunder, despite their league-leading 1.36 record, face a formidable challenge against a red-hot San Antonio Spurs team. OKC's recent loss to the Spurs exposed turnover issues from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and poor three-point shooting, vulnerabilities San Antonio is keen to exploit again.

The Spurs, currently rolling at 20-7 with four wins in their last five, already pulled off a gritty upset against the Thunder, even with Victor Wembanyama’s minutes limited. Adding to OKC's woes are significant injury headaches, with Jaylin Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein out, and Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso questionable. This depleted roster will struggle to contain the Spurs' momentum.

The SportsLine model predicts a low-scoring grinder, favoring the under, thanks to Wembanyama's defensive anchor. With analysts buzzing about the Spurs' potential to rattle OKC, and a bold preview calling for a 112-108 home win for San Antonio, betting on the Spurs at 3.25 looks like a profitable play. The Frost Bank Center crowd will fuel a slower pace, exactly what San Antonio needs to dictate the game.

The Spurs have been quietly building momentum at 20-7 and recently proved they can handle the Thunder, even with Wembanyama on limited minutes. That previous upset exposed OKC's vulnerability to turnover issues, particularly from Gilgeous-Alexander.

The injury situation heavily favors San Antonio here. OKC is dealing with multiple key absences - Williams and Hartenstein out, Holmgren and Caruso questionable, plus Wiggins sidelined. This decimates their frontcourt defense against a returning Wembanyama.

Despite OKC's impressive 25-3 record, the 3.25 odds on San Antonio represent tremendous value. The Spurs' home court advantage at Frost Bank Center will be significant, and their crafty guards should exploit OKC's compromised defense.

The SportsLine model's prediction of a low-scoring grinder also plays into San Antonio's hands, as they've shown they can dictate pace against the Thunder. Expect Wemby to anchor a stifling defense and the Spurs to grind out another statement victory.

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this matchup as the NBA's juggernaut, boasting a stellar 25-3 record and a recent blowout over the Clippers. Yet, their vulnerabilities were laid bare in a recent loss to the Spurs, where Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's turnovers and dismal three-point shooting handed San Antonio a gritty upset. With key injuries piling up—Jaylin Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein out, Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso questionable, and Aaron Wiggins sidelined—OKC's depth is severely tested.

Meanwhile, the Spurs are surging at 20-7, winners of four of their last five, fueled by Victor Wembanyama's return to anchor the defense. His rim protection could neutralize OKC's high-powered attack in what SportsLine models as a low-scoring grinder. San Antonio's crafty guards like Castle and Fox might exploit Thunder's elite perimeter D, especially with the home crowd at Frost Bank Center dictating a slower pace.

Given the 1.36 favoritism for OKC, the value lies in fading them amid these injury woes. A narrow Spurs win, say 112-108, feels like the profitable play on the 3.25 underdog line—perfect for bettors seeking bang for their buck.

The San Antonio Spurs are surging with a 20-7 record, including a recent upset over the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder, where Victor Wembanyama's rim protection stifled OKC's attack. The Thunder's injury woes mount with Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso questionable, compounding turnover issues from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

At Frost Bank Center, the Spurs' crafty guards can exploit OKC's perimeter defense, while the SportsLine model predicts a low-scoring grinder favoring San Antonio's pace. With the Spurs at juicy odds of 3.25, there's immense value in backing the home underdog against the 1.36 favorites, who may be overvalued due to their league-leading record.

The upcoming clash between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder presents a fascinating betting opportunity. Despite OKC’s dominance this season at 25-3, their vulnerabilities were on full display in their recent loss to the Spurs. Turnovers from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and subpar three-point shooting could again plague the Thunder, especially with key players like Jaylin Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein sidelined. Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso’s questionable status further weakens their depth.
San Antonio enters this matchup rolling at 20-7, buoyed by Victor Wembanyama’s rim protection and the crafty playmaking of guards like Castle and Fox. Their gritty win over OKC earlier this season wasn’t a fluke—it showcased their ability to dictate pace and stifle the Thunder’s high-powered attack. With Wembanyama back anchoring the defense, the Spurs are well-equipped to frustrate OKC into another low-scoring grinder.
The odds reflect OKC’s status as favorites, with the Thunder listed at 1.36 compared to the Spurs’ 3.25. However, San Antonio’s home-court advantage at Frost Bank Center and their proven success against this opponent make them an enticing underdog bet. A narrow Spurs victory, potentially replicating the predicted 112-108 scoreline, feels within reach.
Considering these dynamics, backing the Spurs at +225 odds offers significant value. This is a team that matches up well against the Thunder and thrives in grinding, defensive battles—a style likely to define this Christmas Eve showdown.