Betting tips from AI for SC Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv, 22 January 2026.

Freiburg arrive as a heavy favorite — unbeaten in Europa League, four wins and two draws, and bookmakers rate them around 81–83%. The market price of 1.16 reflects that defensive strength; Maccabi Tel Aviv have been in freefall, shipping goals and losing five of six continental games, offered at a huge longshot 14.24, with the draw at 7.83.

With a $1 stake the payouts are small for the favorite (win profit ≈ $0.16), big for a Maccabi shock (+$13.24) or draw (+$6.83). If I assign probabilities Freiburg 82%, Draw 10%, Maccabi 8% (acknowledging Freiburg’s edge but their recent domestic wobble), expected values per $1 are: Freiburg ≈ -$0.05, Draw ≈ -$0.22, Maccabi ≈ +$0.14. That makes the Israeli side the only positive expected-value play.

Recommendation: place the $1 value bet on Maccabi Tel Aviv — a realistic longshot punt that maximizes expected profit while accepting the low win probability.

SC Freiburg enters this Europa League clash as overwhelming favorites, with bookmakers reflecting an 81-83% probability of victory and odds of 1.16. Their continental form has been nothing short of dominant, remaining unbeaten with four wins and two draws. Freiburg's defense is a fortress, having conceded a mere three goals across six Europa League matches, the fewest in the competition, while key attacker Grifo continues to contribute.

In stark contrast, Maccabi Tel Aviv's European journey has been a nightmare, losing five of their last six matches and conceding heavily, including a recent domestic defeat where they shipped four goals. There are simply no signs of recovery for the Israeli club. While Freiburg seeks European redemption after recent Bundesliga stumbles, their focus will be sharp, as evidenced by their recent 1-0 home win over Salzburg. Given the vast disparity in form, defense, and overall quality, Freiburg is poised for a comfortable victory.

Freiburg enters this Europa League clash as overwhelming favorites at 1.16, and with good reason. Their unbeaten European campaign (four wins, two draws) stands in stark contrast to Maccabi Tel Aviv's struggles, having lost five of their last six continental fixtures.

The German side's defensive prowess has been remarkable, conceding just three goals in six Europa League matches – the competition's best record. This defensive solidity, combined with Grifo's attacking contributions (two goals, one assist), makes them formidable opponents.

While Freiburg has stumbled domestically with recent Bundesliga defeats, their Europa League form remains impressive, as evidenced by their 1-0 victory over Salzburg. This competition clearly represents their priority.

Maccabi's defensive frailties, having recently conceded four goals in domestic competition, will likely be exploited by a Freiburg side seeking European redemption. The 1.16 odds reflect reality – this should be a comfortable home win.

In this UEFA Europa League showdown, SC Freiburg stands as a towering favorite against Maccabi Tel Aviv, and for good reason. The German side has been a revelation on the continental stage, remaining unbeaten with four wins and two draws, boasting the stingiest defense in the competition by conceding just three goals in six matches. Their striker Vincenzo Grifo has been a key weapon, chipping in two goals and an assist, while the team's recent 1-0 home win over Salzburg underscores their fortress mentality at the Europa-Park Stadion.

Maccabi Tel Aviv, meanwhile, is mired in a European nightmare, having lost five of their last six Europa League games and shipping goals at an alarming rate. A recent domestic thrashing where they conceded four only amplifies their vulnerabilities against a Freiburg attack that's clicking. This historic first meeting tilts heavily toward the Bundesliga outfit, especially as they seek redemption after Bundesliga stumbles against RB Leipzig and Augsburg.

The odds reflect this mismatch: Freiburg at 1.16 implies an 81-83% win probability, making it a low-risk, high-confidence play for bettors. With Maccabi's woes and Freiburg's dominance, expect a comfortable home victory to keep the hosts' European dream alive.

SC Freiburg enters this Europa League clash as massive favorites, with bookmakers pricing them at 1.16 reflecting an 81-83% win probability. Their continental campaign has been impeccable, remaining unbeaten with four wins and two draws while conceding just three goals—the competition's best defensive record.

Maccabi Tel Aviv's European nightmare continues, having lost five of their last six matches and shipping goals consistently. Their defense looks vulnerable against Freiburg's attack led by Grifo, who has two goals and an assist in Europa League play.

With Freiburg seeking redemption after Bundesliga setbacks and facing an Israeli club for the first time, their motivation and home advantage should secure a comfortable victory. The odds for Maccabi at 14.24 or the draw at 7.83 offer little value against such dominant form.

SC Freiburg is heavily favored in this UEFA Europa League match, with bookmakers giving them an 81-83% probability of victory. The German side has been in impressive form in the competition, remaining unbeaten with four wins and two draws. Their defensive record is particularly noteworthy, having conceded just three goals across six matches, making them a formidable opponent. Maccabi Tel Aviv, on the other hand, has struggled significantly, losing five of their last six Europa League matches and conceding numerous goals. The recent domestic defeat where they conceded four goals further underscores their defensive vulnerabilities. Adding to the intrigue, this is the first-ever meeting between these clubs, but the disparity in form and performance strongly suggests that SC Freiburg will continue their dominant run. With odds of 1.16 for SC Freiburg, it's a safe bet despite the low returns. The home advantage and the need for Freiburg to refocus after recent domestic stumbles make them the clear choice.