Betting tips from AI for Sijia Wei vs Elvina Kalieva, 12 January 2026.

Bookmakers make Sijia Wei the favorite at 1.71, but Wincomparator’s model gives Elvina Kalieva a 55% edge — enough to flip the value. Backing Kalieva at 2.18 yields a profit of $1.18 on a win, which versus a 55% win probability produces roughly +$0.20 expected value per $1 stake.
Both players arrive in similar nick — 6 wins in 10, low-scoring hard-court battles expected — but Kalieva’s recent three-set grind in Canberra shows match toughness and readiness to scrape through tight openers. TennisTonic’s slight lean toward Wei is noted, yet the market price understates Kalieva’s chance.
Verdict: take the value on Elvina Kalieva at 2.18 for a small, positive EV play.

This Australian Open Women’s opener between Sijia Wei and Elvina Kalieva promises to be a genuine coin-flip thriller. Both players come into this clash in solid form, boasting six wins in their last ten matches, setting the stage for a tight battle on the hardcourts.

Bookmakers have Wei as the slight favorite at 1.71, but expert opinions are divided. While TennisTonic leans towards Wei, Wincomparator is backing Elvina Kalieva to pull off the upset, assigning her a 55% chance of victory based on recent performance. Given Kalieva's odds of 2.18, this presents a compelling value opportunity, as her implied probability from Wincomparator's assessment is stronger than what the market offers.

Kalieva's recent display of grit, powering through a tough three-setter in Canberra, showcases her match fitness and mental fortitude, crucial for a Grand Slam opener. With this being their first-ever encounter, expect a hard-fought contest, potentially under 22.5 games, but Kalieva's current momentum and the favorable expert analysis make her the smart play.

This Australian Open clash between Wei and Kalieva presents a genuine toss-up. While bookmakers slightly favor Wei at 1.71, expert analysis from Wincomparator actually leans toward Kalieva with a 55% win probability. Both players enter with identical 6-4 records in their last ten matches, suggesting remarkably even form.

Wei's first-set dominance could be crucial on the hardcourts, but Kalieva's recent three-set battle in Canberra demonstrates her resilience and match fitness. The identical 3-7 win-loss trends point to a tight contest likely staying under 22.5 games.

Despite TennisTonic naming Wei as the slight favorite, the value lies with Kalieva at 2.18. With evenly matched odds around 1.9 decimal for both players and this being their first-ever meeting, I'm backing the American underdog who brings slightly better value in what betting experts predict will be a coin-flip thriller.

In the opening round of the Australian Open Women's draw, Sijia Wei faces Elvina Kalieva in what promises to be a nail-biter on the hardcourts. Wei, the slight favorite at 1.71, enters with a solid 6-4 record over her last 10 matches, showcasing her knack for dominating first sets. Kalieva, at 2.18, matches that form but brings fresh momentum from a hard-fought three-set win in Canberra last week, proving her grit in tight spots.

Experts are split: Wincomparator gives Kalieva a 55% edge based on her recent surge, while TennisTonic leans toward Wei at implied odds around 1.85. Both players share identical 3-7 overall stats this season, pointing to a low-scoring affair under 22.5 games. As a betting pro eyeing value, I'm wagering on Wei's experience to prevail in this coin-flip clash—her consistency tips the scales in a predicted straight-sets victory.

This matchup screams caution for punters, but the value lies with the underdog's poise under Grand Slam pressure.

Australian Open Women's opener features a tantalizing clash between Sijia Wei and Elvina Kalieva, with bookmakers listing Wei at 1.71 and Kalieva at 2.18.

Betting experts at Wincomparator are backing Kalieva to edge out Wei, giving her a 55% shot based on recent form, while TennisTonic sees Wei as the slight favorite.

Both fighters mirror each other with 6 wins in their last 10, and Kalieva's gritty three-setter in Canberra last week showcases her resilience.

With identical 3-7 win-loss stats and under trends pointing to a low-scoring battle, the value lies with Kalieva at plus money, making her the smart bet in this coin-flip thriller.

This Australian Open Women’s clash between Sijia Wei and Elvina Kalieva is shaping up to be a thrilling encounter, with both players entering the match in solid form. Wei has shown impressive first-set dominance in her last 10 matches, boasting six wins and often dictating play early. However, Kalieva’s resilience cannot be underestimated after she powered through a gritty three-set victory in Canberra last week. This is their first head-to-head meeting, but the betting markets are leaning slightly toward Wei, offering odds of 1.71, while Kalieva sits at 2.18.

Wincomparator experts give Kalieva a narrow edge, assigning her a 55% chance based on recent performances. While this may seem tempting, TennisTonic’s prediction aligns more closely with the bookmakers, suggesting Wei as the slight favorite with implied odds around 1.85. The identical 3-7 win-loss records for both players highlight how evenly matched they are, making this a true coin-flip scenario. With punters expecting a low-scoring affair under 22.5 games, it’s clear neither player will have an easy path to victory.

Ultimately, Wei’s consistency and strong opening sets could prove decisive in a tight contest. Backing her at 1.71 might not offer huge returns, but her track record suggests she can handle pressure better than Kalieva in crucial moments.