Betting tips from AI for Souheil Kaouchen vs Krzysztof Geburek, 20 December 2025.

This is a classic underdog value play: Krzysztof Geburek arrives on a three-win run with size and momentum, while Souheil Kaouchen is priced as a heavy favorite by the books at 1.30, making the upset line on Geburek tempting at 3.20.

MMA Oracle analysts back Geburek to edge Kaouchen and even project a gritty submission outcome, and the youngster’s 3-1 pro form (two decisions, one sub) and 5'9" frame suggest he can impose a style mismatch on the less-experienced Frenchman. Kaouchen is 1-0 and unbeaten, but that thin resume makes the market prone to overreaction.

Given the price and the analyst backing, this is a profitable small-stake speculative bet on Geburek — the upside outweighs the risk against an inexperienced favorite.

This featherweight preliminary bout between Souheil Kaouchen and Krzysztof Geburek presents a classic underdog value play. While Kaouchen is the bookmakers' favorite at 1.30, the smart money, according to MMA Oracle analysts, is firmly on Geburek. They predict a gritty submission win for the Polish prospect, giving him a 63-37 edge, a stark contrast to the implied probability of the current odds.

Geburek comes into this fight on a hot streak with a 3-1 record, including a submission victory, showcasing his diverse skillset. Kaouchen, though undefeated at 1-0, faces his sternest test yet against a more experienced and in-form opponent. Pundits are already buzzing about an upset, noting Geburek's 5'9" frame and recent performances as key factors. The initial betting lines had Kaouchen at 1.44 and Geburek at 2.63, but even with the current movement making Kaouchen a heavier favorite, the analytical backing for Geburek at 3.20 offers immense value. This is where we find our edge.

Despite Souheil Kaouchen opening as the favorite at 1.30, the value lies with Krzysztof Geburek at 3.20. The Polish fighter brings superior experience with a solid 3-1 record compared to Kaouchen's mere 1-0 professional slate.

MMA Oracle analysts have notably backed Geburek by a 63-37 margin, suggesting sharp bettors see something the oddsmakers don't. Geburek's submission prowess could be the difference-maker against the relatively untested Kaouchen.

While both fighters weigh in at 143 lbs, Geburek's 5'9" frame may provide crucial advantages in this featherweight clash. His three professional wins—including two decisions and one submission—demonstrate his versatility compared to Kaouchen's single decision victory.

The initial betting lines opened at Kaouchen 1.44 but have since moved to 1.30, yet the expert consensus suggests this line movement is misguided. Back the underdog Geburek for maximum value in what promises to be a KSW barnburner.

In the featherweight prelims of KSW 113, Souheil Kaouchen enters as the undefeated prospect with a 1-0 record via decision, but this is his toughest challenge yet. The Frenchman is a heavy favorite at 1.30, reflecting his potential, yet the odds undervalue Krzysztof Geburek's momentum. The Polish fighter boasts a 3-1 streak, including a submission win, and his 5'9" frame could exploit any openings in a gritty matchup.

MMA Oracle's 63-37 prediction leans Geburek toward a submission upset, aligning with sharp money potentially shifting lines from an initial 1.44 for Kaouchen to +163 for the underdog. Both tipped at 143 lbs, but Geburek's recent form screams value. As a bettor chasing profits on $1 wagers, I'm riding the hot streak—Geburek's edge in experience tips this barnburner his way, offering +220 payout potential in an evenly matched showdown.

Souheil Kaouchen opens as a heavy favorite at 1.30, but the news reveals Krzysztof Geburek is backed by MMA Oracle analysts with a 63-37 prediction for a submission win. Geburek's 3-1 record and recent form, including two decisions and one sub, contrast with Kaouchen's untested 1-0 pro journey, setting the stage for an upset.

Sharp money could flip the script, as initial lines had Kaouchen at -225, but Geburek's current odds of 3.20 offer enticing value. With both featherweights at 143 lbs and Geburek's 5'9" frame adding to the buzz, betting on the underdog aligns with profitable opportunities in this KSW barnburner.

This featherweight clash between Souheil Kaouchen and Krzysztof Geburek at KSW 113 offers a fascinating betting puzzle. On paper, Kaouchen enters as the favorite with odds of 1.30, reflecting his undefeated record and decision win in his lone professional bout. However, the sharp money narrative suggests that Geburek’s odds of 3.20 could present significant value for bettors willing to back the underdog.
Geburek brings momentum into this fight, boasting a 3-1 record with two decisions and one submission victory. His recent form, combined with a height advantage at 5'9", gives him an edge in controlling distance—a crucial factor in featherweight matchups. Analysts from MMA Oracle are leaning toward Geburek pulling off a submission win, citing his technical grappling acumen and pressure-based style as potential difference-makers against Kaouchen.
Kaouchen's lack of experience in high-stakes fights looms large here. While his undefeated status is impressive, he has yet to face an opponent of Geburek’s caliber. The Frenchman will need to rely heavily on his defensive grappling and ability to dictate pace if he hopes to justify his favored status. That said, Geburek’s slight but notable edge in both physical tools and cage time makes him a compelling pick.
The odds suggest that backing Geburek at 3.20 provides strong value, especially given his predicted path to victory via submission. With the betting market potentially shifting closer to fight night, now is the time to capitalize on this line before it tightens further.