Betting tips from AI for St Louis Blues vs Seattle Kraken, 09 November 2025.

Market check first: St Louis in regulation is priced at 2.18, Seattle at 2.80, and the Draw at 4.25. In a three-way NHL market, those tags frame a modest home lean but leave room for value if the road side is steadier or has a goaltending/special-teams edge.

St. Louis comes in with meaningful turbulence. Zach Dean is on IR for personal reasons, Jake Neighbours is sidelined with a leg issue, and Torey Krug is out for the season. Beyond the lost bodies, the functions they fill matter: Neighbours has become a key finisher and forechecker, while Krug’s absence removes a proven power-play quarterback and first-pass exit option. The recent benching of Jordan Kyrou and Oskar Sundqvist underscores the staff’s push for accountability after a poor outing; that can spark a response, but it’s equally a sign that line chemistry is in flux. Nathan Walker’s fourth-line return adds energy, yet it doesn’t change the top-six talent squeeze or the PP-1 puck movement gap without Krug.

Seattle, by contrast, reports no major fresh injuries and generally thrives when they roll four lines and lean on a structured, layered forecheck. Their identity is territorial: win puck retrievals, funnel play low-to-high, and stack shot attempts at five-on-five. When the Kraken get competent goaltending, their suppression profile travels well. Against a Blues team likely to shuffle combinations and lean heavily on Robert Thomas/Jordan Kyrou for primary chance creation, Seattle’s depth across the middle six can tilt the neutral-zone battle and grind clock in the offensive zone.

Special teams and exits are a quiet hinge. Without Krug, St. Louis’ breakout under pressure and PP entries can bog down, inviting shorter possessions and more dump-and-chase. Seattle’s penalty kill has typically been detail-oriented and, with clean goaltending, can neutralize a Blues power play that lacks its usual quarterbacking.

From a numbers lens, 2.18 (Blues), 2.80 (Kraken), and 4.25 (Draw) imply roughly 45.9%, 35.7%, and 23.5% (about a 105.1% book). My projection leans closer to 40% STL, 37% SEA, 23% Draw given the Blues’ injuries/benchings and Seattle’s steadier profile. On a $1 stake, the Kraken at 2.80 return $2.80; EV ≈ 0.37 × 1.80 − 0.63 × 1 = +0.04, while the Blues EV is ≈ −0.13 and the Draw ≈ −0.02. That makes Seattle the clear plus-EV side in regulation.

Yes, home ice and a potential bounce-back from a benched star introduce variance, and Jordan Binnington can absolutely steal nights. But priced at 2.80, Seattle’s combination of lineup continuity, five-on-five shot share potential, and a reliable defensive posture outweighs those risks. For a single $1 outcome wager, the value play is the Kraken in regulation.

At first glance, the St. Louis Blues might seem like the logical pick, playing on home ice with favorable odds of 2.18. However, a deeper dive into the team's current situation reveals a club in significant distress, making the Seattle Kraken a compelling underdog pick with highly attractive 2.80 odds.

The Blues are navigating a storm of personnel issues that cannot be understated. Their defense is critically weakened with the season-ending ankle injury to top-pairing defenseman Torey Krug. His absence leaves a massive hole in their blue line, impacting both their defensive structure and their ability to transition the puck up the ice. The offensive depth is also taking a major hit, with key left-winger Jake Neighbours and center Zach Dean on injured reserve. These aren't just minor roster changes; they are significant losses to the team's core.

Compounding the injury problems is clear internal turmoil. The recent benching of high-skill forward Jordan Kyrou and Oskar Sundqvist is a major red flag. This isn't a simple healthy scratch; it's a disciplinary measure that signals a disconnect between the players and the coaching staff. When a team resorts to sitting one of its top offensive talents, it points to deeper issues with performance, attitude, or team chemistry. This kind of instability often translates directly to poor on-ice performance, as the team lacks cohesion and confidence.

In stark contrast, the Seattle Kraken enter this matchup as a model of stability. They have no new major injuries to report and no signs of internal strife. This allows them to focus purely on their game plan and execute as a cohesive unit. While the Blues are scrambling to plug holes and manage a fractured locker room, the Kraken can roll out their established lines and exploit the obvious weaknesses in St. Louis's game. The Kraken's steady presence against a depleted and distracted Blues squad creates a classic upset scenario.

The value here is undeniably with Seattle. The market seems to be overvaluing the Blues' home-ice advantage while heavily discounting the devastating impact of their injuries and internal chaos. A healthy, stable Kraken team facing a wounded and unsettled Blues team is a prime opportunity for a profitable bet. We're backing the away team to capitalize on the dysfunction in St. Louis and secure the win.

As we gear up for this NHL clash between the St. Louis Blues and the Seattle Kraken on November 9, 2025, at 00:00 UTC, there's plenty to unpack for betting enthusiasts. The Blues, playing at home, come in with American odds of 2.18, while the Kraken are listed at 2.80, and a draw sits at 4.25. At first glance, the odds suggest the Blues have a slight edge, but digging into the recent news reveals some cracks in their armor that could tilt this game toward an upset.

Let's start with the Blues' injury woes, which are piling up and could seriously hamper their performance. Center Zach Dean is on injured reserve for personal reasons and won't return until at least January 7, leaving a gap in their forward depth. Left wing Jake Neighbours is sidelined with a leg injury until December 9, robbing the team of his scoring touch. And don't forget defenseman Torey Krug, who's out for the entire season with an ankle injury – that's a massive blow to their blue line stability and puck-moving ability. These absences mean the Blues are relying on a patchwork lineup, which might struggle against a healthier opponent.

Compounding matters, the Blues recently benched forwards Jordan Kyrou and Oskar Sundqvist after a tough loss on November 6, opting to insert Alexandre Texier and Mathieu Joseph instead. This shake-up signals internal frustrations and potential chemistry issues. On a positive note, Nathan Walker returned to the fourth line on November 5 after missing just one game, providing some grit, but it's hardly enough to offset the losses. The Blues have been inconsistent lately, and with these roster changes, their offensive flow could be disrupted, making it harder to generate consistent pressure.

Now, contrast that with the Seattle Kraken, who enter this matchup with no major injury updates or lineup changes reported in the last week. This stability is a huge advantage in the fast-paced world of NHL hockey, where continuity often translates to better on-ice execution. The Kraken can field their preferred lines without the headaches of adjustments, allowing them to focus on strategy and exploitation of the Blues' weaknesses. Seattle has shown resilience on the road this season, and facing a depleted Blues squad presents a prime opportunity to capitalize.

From a betting perspective, the value here lies with the Kraken at 2.80. While the Blues' home-ice advantage is real, their injuries and recent benchings suggest vulnerability, especially in defensive transitions where Krug's absence will hurt. The Kraken's healthy roster could exploit tired legs and forced matchups, potentially leading to odd-man rushes and scoring chances. If Seattle controls the neutral zone and gets solid goaltending, they could steal this one outright. Historically, teams dealing with multiple key injuries like the Blues often underperform against expectations, making the underdog play intriguing.

That said, ice hockey is unpredictable, and a draw at 4.25 isn't out of the question if both teams play conservatively, leading to a low-scoring affair that goes to overtime. But for those looking to maximize returns, backing the Kraken offers the best risk-reward balance. Keep an eye on starting goalies – if the Blues go with their backup due to any last-minute issues, that could further boost Seattle's chances. Overall, this matchup screams upset potential, and savvy bettors should consider riding the Kraken wave for a profitable night.

The NHL matchup between the St Louis Blues and the Seattle Kraken on November 9, 2025, presents an intriguing betting opportunity when examining the recent news and odds. The Blues are currently dealing with a significant number of injuries that could hinder their performance. Key players such as Zach Dean, Jake Neighbours, and Torey Krug are unavailable due to various injuries. Dean and Neighbours are essential contributors in both offensive and defensive roles, and Krug’s absence leaves a gaping hole in the Blues' blue line. This trio's unavailability significantly weakens the team’s depth and flexibility, making them vulnerable against a potentially stronger opponent like the Kraken.
Furthermore, the Blues’ recent lineup decisions add another layer of uncertainty. On November 6, forwards Jordan Kyrou and Oskar Sundqvist were benched after a tough loss, signaling internal struggles within the team. While Alexandre Texier and Mathieu Joseph were brought into the lineup to address these shortcomings, chemistry issues often arise from sudden changes, especially under pressure. Although Nathan Walker returned to the fourth line, his impact is unlikely to compensate for the losses elsewhere in the roster. These factors collectively suggest that the Blues may struggle to find consistency and cohesion in this matchup."In stark contrast, the Seattle Kraken appear to be in better shape heading into the game. With no major injury updates or lineup changes reported recently, the Kraken can field a consistent and well-rested squad. Stability is a critical advantage in professional sports, particularly in the NHL, where fatigue and injuries can drastically alter outcomes. The Kraken’s ability to maintain their core group without disruptions allows them to focus on executing their game plan effectively. This consistency gives them a competitive edge over a depleted Blues team."The bookmaker odds reflect some of these dynamics but may still underestimate the Kraken's advantage. The Blues are listed at 2.18, while the Kraken are at 2.80. A draw is priced at 4.25. Given the Blues' mounting injury concerns and lack of cohesion, their odds seem overly generous. Meanwhile, the Kraken’s odds present excellent value considering their relatively stable position and the Blues’ vulnerabilities. Betting markets sometimes lag behind real-time developments, and this appears to be one such instance where the odds do not fully account for recent news."From a strategic perspective, the Kraken should dominate key areas of the game. Their defense, likely less pressured by the absence of Krug on the Blues’ side, can focus on shutting down what remains of St Louis’ offense. Additionally, the Kraken’s forward lines will have opportunities to exploit gaps left by injured Blues players. If the Kraken’s special teams capitalize on power plays, their chances of securing a win increase substantially.