English
English (US)
Betting tips from AI for Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz, 24 January 2026.
AI Consensus
1.10
Away win
5 of 6 AI models pick Taylor Fritz to win at
1.10
ChatGPT tip
Stan Wawrinka win
8.89
ChatGPT prediction for Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz, 24 January 2026.
Taylor Fritz arrives as the heavy favorite with betting odds 1.10 while Stan Wawrinka is a live longshot at 8.40. The headlines say it all: Fritz is fresher and firing aces, Wawrinka is 40, battling chronic knee and foot issues and coming off a 4.5‑hour epic that leaves questions about recovery and court time.
Market models (Dimers) put Fritz at ~88% to win, but the book price embeds roughly a ~90.7% chance — a small discrepancy. If Fritz is 88% likely, Wawrinka’s implied 12% chance times the +740 payoff (≈$7.40 on $1) yields a slight positive edge: 0.12*7.40 - 0.88*1 ≈ +$0.008. Backing Wawrinka is a thin +EV value bet given the fatigue narrative and emotional farewell potential; Frogs and form favor Fritz, but value wins long term.
Market models (Dimers) put Fritz at ~88% to win, but the book price embeds roughly a ~90.7% chance — a small discrepancy. If Fritz is 88% likely, Wawrinka’s implied 12% chance times the +740 payoff (≈$7.40 on $1) yields a slight positive edge: 0.12*7.40 - 0.88*1 ≈ +$0.008. Backing Wawrinka is a thin +EV value bet given the fatigue narrative and emotional farewell potential; Frogs and form favor Fritz, but value wins long term.
Gemini tip
Taylor Fritz win
1.10
Gemini prediction for Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz, 24 January 2026.
Stan Wawrinka's emotional farewell at the Australian Open is a compelling narrative, but the harsh reality of professional tennis points squarely to Taylor Fritz. Wawrinka, at 40 and battling chronic knee and foot issues, has endured two grueling five-set epics, including a 4.5-hour marathon against Arthur Gea—the longest match of the tournament. This cumulative court time will undoubtedly leave him gassed against a fresher, in-form Fritz.
Fritz, who has reported his knee feeling stronger than ever, is coming off two straight wins in Melbourne, including a breezy straight-sets victory. He's buzzing about facing the veteran, and his physical condition is a stark contrast to Wawrinka's.
Experts across the board, from Sports Mole to Last Word on Sports, predict Fritz to prevail, often in four sets, acknowledging Wawrinka might snag one on sheer adrenaline. Dimers' model even gives Fritz an 88% chance at victory, with betting lines as extreme as 1.08, reinforcing the bookmakers' assessment of 1.10. The physical toll on Wawrinka, even for a legend, is simply too much to overcome against a top-tier opponent like Fritz at this stage.
Given Wawrinka's immense physical disadvantage and Fritz's strong form, the American is poised to advance.
Fritz, who has reported his knee feeling stronger than ever, is coming off two straight wins in Melbourne, including a breezy straight-sets victory. He's buzzing about facing the veteran, and his physical condition is a stark contrast to Wawrinka's.
Experts across the board, from Sports Mole to Last Word on Sports, predict Fritz to prevail, often in four sets, acknowledging Wawrinka might snag one on sheer adrenaline. Dimers' model even gives Fritz an 88% chance at victory, with betting lines as extreme as 1.08, reinforcing the bookmakers' assessment of 1.10. The physical toll on Wawrinka, even for a legend, is simply too much to overcome against a top-tier opponent like Fritz at this stage.
Given Wawrinka's immense physical disadvantage and Fritz's strong form, the American is poised to advance.
Claude tip
Taylor Fritz win
1.10
Claude prediction for Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz, 24 January 2026.
At 40 years old and ranked 139th, Stan Wawrinka's farewell Australian Open tour faces its toughest test against Taylor Fritz. The Swiss veteran's remarkable stamina has been on full display in two marathon matches, particularly his 4.5-hour epic against Arthur Gea—now the longest match of the tournament. However, this accumulated court time will likely prove decisive.
Fritz enters fresh and confident at 1.10, reporting his knee feels stronger than ever after dispatching Vit Kopriva in straight sets. The American's efficiency contrasts sharply with Wawrinka's grinding style, and at this stage of the tournament, recovery becomes paramount.
While Wawrinka's experience and three Grand Slam titles command respect, the physical toll of consecutive battles will be too much against the ninth-seeded American. Fritz's current form and Wawrinka's chronic knee and foot issues point clearly to Fritz advancing, likely capturing a set from the Swiss legend on pure adrenaline before closing out the match.
Fritz enters fresh and confident at 1.10, reporting his knee feels stronger than ever after dispatching Vit Kopriva in straight sets. The American's efficiency contrasts sharply with Wawrinka's grinding style, and at this stage of the tournament, recovery becomes paramount.
While Wawrinka's experience and three Grand Slam titles command respect, the physical toll of consecutive battles will be too much against the ninth-seeded American. Fritz's current form and Wawrinka's chronic knee and foot issues point clearly to Fritz advancing, likely capturing a set from the Swiss legend on pure adrenaline before closing out the match.
Grok tip
Taylor Fritz win
1.10
Grok prediction for Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz, 24 January 2026.
In this emotional clash at the Australian Open, 40-year-old Stan Wawrinka faces a daunting task against the surging Taylor Fritz. Wawrinka, ranked No. 139 and battling chronic knee issues, is playing his final Aussie Open before retirement, fueled by adrenaline after epic comebacks—including a grueling 4.5-hour, five-set thriller over Arthur Gea that marked the tournament's longest match. But that marathon, following his outlasting of Laslo Djere, has experts warning of fatigue against Fritz's fresher legs.
Fritz, the No. 9 seed, enters buzzing with confidence, having flipped shaky United Cup form into two straight-sets wins in Melbourne, including a breezy ace-fest over Vit Kopriva. His knee feels stronger than ever, and he's openly praising Wawrinka's stamina while admitting he can't picture himself competing at 40. Dimers' 10,000 simulations give Fritz an 88% edge, aligning with bookmaker lines listing him a massive 1.10 favorite over the +740 underdog Wawrinka.
Analysts at Sports Mole and Last Word on Sports predict Fritz grinds out a four-set victory, with Wawrinka possibly snagging a set on veteran grit but ultimately succumbing to the American's efficiency. As a bettor eyeing value, the odds scream Fritz dominance—his power and youth should overwhelm the Swiss legend in what feels like a poignant farewell.
Fritz, the No. 9 seed, enters buzzing with confidence, having flipped shaky United Cup form into two straight-sets wins in Melbourne, including a breezy ace-fest over Vit Kopriva. His knee feels stronger than ever, and he's openly praising Wawrinka's stamina while admitting he can't picture himself competing at 40. Dimers' 10,000 simulations give Fritz an 88% edge, aligning with bookmaker lines listing him a massive 1.10 favorite over the +740 underdog Wawrinka.
Analysts at Sports Mole and Last Word on Sports predict Fritz grinds out a four-set victory, with Wawrinka possibly snagging a set on veteran grit but ultimately succumbing to the American's efficiency. As a bettor eyeing value, the odds scream Fritz dominance—his power and youth should overwhelm the Swiss legend in what feels like a poignant farewell.
DeepSeek tip
Taylor Fritz win
1.10
DeepSeek prediction for Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz, 24 January 2026.
Taylor Fritz enters as the heavy favorite with odds at 1.10, fresh off straight-sets wins and reporting his knee is in top shape.
In contrast, Stan Wawrinka, at 40 and plagued by injuries, is exhausted after the tournament's longest match—a 4.5-hour thriller.
Analysts see Fritz grinding out a four-set win, with models giving him an 88% chance. While Wawrinka's farewell run is inspirational, Fritz's efficiency and form should secure the victory, making him the profitable bet.
In contrast, Stan Wawrinka, at 40 and plagued by injuries, is exhausted after the tournament's longest match—a 4.5-hour thriller.
Analysts see Fritz grinding out a four-set win, with models giving him an 88% chance. While Wawrinka's farewell run is inspirational, Fritz's efficiency and form should secure the victory, making him the profitable bet.
Qwen tip
Taylor Fritz win
1.10
Qwen prediction for Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz, 24 January 2026.
Taylor Fritz, the No. 9 seed, enters this match with a significant advantage over the veteran Stan Wawrinka. Fritz has shown impressive form in Melbourne, securing two straight-set victories and reporting that his knee feels stronger than ever. This physical and mental edge is crucial, especially against an opponent like Wawrinka, who recently endured a grueling 4.5-hour match, the longest of the tournament so far. The cumulative court time and Wawrinka's chronic knee and foot issues are likely to take a toll on the 40-year-old, making it difficult for him to maintain the high level of play required to outlast Fritz. While Wawrinka's experience and emotional drive in his final Australian Open cannot be underestimated, the odds and recent performances strongly favor Fritz. The American's efficiency and current form make him the clear favorite to win this match, likely in four sets as predicted by multiple analysts.
Match News
• Taylor Fritz is buzzing about facing 40-year-old Stan Wawrinka, admitting he can barely picture himself competing at that age in four years, while praising the Swiss veteran's insane stamina after endless marathon battles this year.
• Wawrinka, the world No. 139 battling chronic knee and foot woes, is playing his final Australian Open before retiring at season's end, turning this clash into an emotional farewell for the three-time Slam champ.
• Sports Mole predicts Fritz grinds out a four-set win, arguing Wawrinka's epic 4.5-hour thriller over Arthur Gea—now the longest match of the tournament—will leave the 40-year-old gassed against the fresher American.
• Analysts at Last Word on Sports see Fritz prevailing in four, with Ateet noting Wawrinka might snag a set on adrenaline as the oldest third-round Slammer since Ken Rosewall, but Yesh calls it the end of his Aussie Open run.
• Dimers' model crunches 10,000 simulations to give Fritz an 88% shot at victory, with betting lines listing the No. 9 seed a massive -1250 favorite over the wildcard vet.
• Fritz has flipped his shaky United Cup form, now ripping two straight wins in Melbourne—including a breezy straight-sets ace-fest over Vit Kopriva—while reporting his knee feels stronger than ever.
• Wawrinka dug deep for a heroic comeback against Gea in five grueling sets after outlasting Laslo Djere, but experts warn the cumulative court time could doom him versus Fritz's efficiency.
• Wawrinka, the world No. 139 battling chronic knee and foot woes, is playing his final Australian Open before retiring at season's end, turning this clash into an emotional farewell for the three-time Slam champ.
• Sports Mole predicts Fritz grinds out a four-set win, arguing Wawrinka's epic 4.5-hour thriller over Arthur Gea—now the longest match of the tournament—will leave the 40-year-old gassed against the fresher American.
• Analysts at Last Word on Sports see Fritz prevailing in four, with Ateet noting Wawrinka might snag a set on adrenaline as the oldest third-round Slammer since Ken Rosewall, but Yesh calls it the end of his Aussie Open run.
• Dimers' model crunches 10,000 simulations to give Fritz an 88% shot at victory, with betting lines listing the No. 9 seed a massive -1250 favorite over the wildcard vet.
• Fritz has flipped his shaky United Cup form, now ripping two straight wins in Melbourne—including a breezy straight-sets ace-fest over Vit Kopriva—while reporting his knee feels stronger than ever.
• Wawrinka dug deep for a heroic comeback against Gea in five grueling sets after outlasting Laslo Djere, but experts warn the cumulative court time could doom him versus Fritz's efficiency.
See how multiple AI models rate Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz. We aggregate today's
betting tips and highlight agreement between models when it occurs. Use this page to scan the overall
picture quickly, then open any model's detailed tip to read short reasoning.