Betting tips from AI for Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Aleksandar Vukic, 19 January 2026.

Aleksandar Vukic arrives with the clear edge: higher ranking (No.87), superior hard‑court form and a 1-0 H2H win over Thiago Tirante, plus a confidence-boosting run in Australia that included an upset of Stefanos Tsitsipas. Tirante’s three straight losses and weak recent challenger results make him a shaky pick despite the payday on offer.
On a $1 stake the favorite at 1.42 only pays about $0.42 profit if he wins, while Tirante at 3.09 would return $2.09. Oddsmakers and recent form peg Vukic around a 69% chance, and that combination of probability and stability makes backing Vukic the pragmatic, long-term EV choice here.

As the Australian Open heats up, the clash between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Aleksandar Vukic presents a clear favorite. Vukic, priced at 1.42, enters this match with undeniable momentum, fresh off upsetting Stefanos Tsitsipas in Adelaide and showcasing a strong 4-2 hardcourt record this year. His previous encounter with Tirante saw him dominate, securing a decisive 7-6(4), 6-3 victory in the 2023 Australian Open qualifiers, a crucial psychological edge.

Conversely, Tirante, listed at 3.09, has been in a dismal run of form. He's dropped three consecutive matches, including surprising losses to lower-ranked players, reflecting just two wins in his last five outings. The statistical advantage further solidifies Vukic's position, boasting a 62.5% hardcourt win rate compared to Tirante's 42.4%, alongside a significantly higher ranking. All signs point to Vukic advancing comfortably.

Aleksandar Vukic has all the momentum heading into this Australian Open clash. The home favorite's recent upset over Stefanos Tsitsipas in Adelaide demonstrates his capacity to compete at a high level on hardcourts, where he boasts an impressive 62.5% win rate. His quarterfinal appearance there, only stopped by Tommy Paul, shows he's in strong form.

In stark contrast, Tirante is struggling mightily, dropping three consecutive matches including disappointing losses to lower-ranked players like Henry Bernet and Mark Lajal. His 42.4% hardcourt win rate exposes a clear weakness on this surface.

The head-to-head history further supports Vukic, who dominated Tirante 7-6(4), 6-3 in their only meeting at the 2023 Australian Open qualifiers. With Vukic now ranked No. 87 and playing in front of a supportive home crowd, the 1.42 odds actually seem reasonable given the significant gap in current form and surface proficiency. Tirante at 3.09 offers little value considering his recent struggles.

In the sweltering heat of the Australian Open, Aleksandar Vukic faces off against Thiago Agustin Tirante in a matchup that screams home-soil advantage for the Aussie. Vukic, ranked No. 87, carries momentum from a stunning upset over Stefanos Tsitsipas in Adelaide, showcasing his hardcourt prowess with a 4-2 record this season and a dominant 62.5% win rate on the surface. He's already bested Tirante once, grinding out a 7-6(4), 6-3 victory in the 2023 AO qualifiers right here on these courts.

Tirante, meanwhile, is stumbling into Melbourne on a cold streak, with three straight losses in recent challengers to players like Henry Bernet and Mark Lajal. His hardcourt win rate sits at a shaky 42.4%, and just two victories in his last five matches paint a picture of inconsistency. The odds reflect this disparity, listing Vukic as a heavy favorite at 1.42 while Tirante lingers at 3.09, implying a 69% win probability for the local hero.

Betting $1 on Vukic isn't just smart—it's a calculated play on form, history, and surface familiarity. Expect Vukic to control the baseline and seal another straight-sets win, padding our bankroll early in the tournament.

Aleksandar Vukic holds a clear psychological edge after crushing Thiago Agustin Tirante in their 2023 Australian Open qualifier clash. His current form is red-hot, highlighted by an upset over Stefanos Tsitsipas in Adelaide and a 4-2 hardcourt record this season.

Tirante, meanwhile, is ice-cold with three straight losses and only two wins in his last five matches, struggling against lower-tier challenger opposition. The odds reflect this stark contrast, with Vukic heavily favored at 1.42 and Tirante a high-risk underdog at 3.09.

With Vukic's higher ranking, superior 62.5% hardcourt win rate, and momentum from recent performances, he is the smart bet to advance comfortably and cash in on his 1.42 odds.

Aleksandar Vukic enters this Australian Open clash as the clear favorite, and for good reason. His recent form on hard courts has been impressive, highlighted by a stunning upset over Stefanos Tsitsipas in Adelaide. Though he fell to Tommy Paul in the quarters, his 4-2 record on the surface this season speaks volumes about his consistency. Vukic also holds a psychological edge over Thiago Agustin Tirante, having defeated him 7-6(4), 6-3 in their only prior meeting during the 2023 Australian Open qualifiers. That match showcased Vukic's ability to dominate under pressure.

Tirante, meanwhile, arrives in poor form, losing three consecutive matches and struggling to find rhythm. His hardcourt win rate of just 42.4% pales in comparison to Vukic's 62.5%. With oddsmakers assigning Vukic a hefty 69% win probability, the numbers align with his superior ranking at No. 87 and recent performances. The odds reflect this disparity, with Tirante listed at 3.09 and Vukic at 1.42. While the underdog odds might tempt some bettors, Tirante's current slump makes him a risky proposition.

Given Vukic's head-to-head advantage, better form, and higher win probability, backing him seems like the smarter play despite the steep odds.