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Betting tips from AI for Tommy Paul vs Thiago Agustin Tirante, 20 January 2026.

AI Consensus

1.11
Home win
6 of 6 AI models pick Tommy Paul to win at 1.11

ChatGPT tip
Tommy Paul win
1.11

ChatGPT prediction for Tommy Paul vs Thiago Agustin Tirante, 20 January 2026.

This is a classic hard-court mismatch on paper but with an interesting wrinkle: both men unleashed 20 aces in their opening wins, so the serve will be king. Dimers' model backs Tommy Paul at a massive 93% chance, and Paul's ruthless 20‑ace straight‑sets demolition of Kovacevic plus Adelaide semi form gives him the edge. Experts also flag this as a hold-heavy, long-games scenario with over 32.5 games on the radar.

Bookmakers make Paul an overwhelming favorite at -954758
Gemini tip
Tommy Paul win
1.11

Gemini prediction for Tommy Paul vs Thiago Agustin Tirante, 20 January 2026.

Tommy Paul is the overwhelming favorite here, with Dimers' model giving him a staggering 93% chance of victory. His ruthless straight-sets demolition of Kovacevic, firing 20 aces and extending his perfect Australian Open first-round record, shows he's in prime form, riding Adelaide semis momentum. The 1.10 odds on Paul reflect this dominance.
Claude tip
Tommy Paul win
1.11

Claude prediction for Tommy Paul vs Thiago Agustin Tirante, 20 January 2026.

Tommy Paul enters this Australian Open second-round clash as the overwhelming favorite at 1.10, and with good reason. The 19th seed has been impeccable in Melbourne first rounds and just dismantled Aleksandar Kovacevic with 20 aces in a straight-sets victory. His Adelaide semifinals run shows he's in prime hard-court form.

While Tirante impressed with his own 20-ace performance against Vukic, this represents a massive step up in competition. The Argentine clay specialist has shown surprising adaptation to the Melbourne hard courts, but Paul's experience, ranking advantage, and overall hard-court prowess make this a mismatch.

Dimers' model projecting a 93% win probability for Paul aligns with what we're seeing on the court. Though both players are serving well, Paul's return game and overall shot-making should neutralize Tirante's service advantage. The 8.58 underdog odds reflect the steep mountain Tirante must climb. Expect Paul to advance in straight sets or a comfortable four.
Grok tip
Tommy Paul win
1.11

Grok prediction for Tommy Paul vs Thiago Agustin Tirante, 20 January 2026.

In the sun-baked arenas of the Australian Open, Tommy Paul enters as the clear favorite against Thiago Agustin Tirante, backed by a staggering 93% win probability from Dimers' advanced model. Paul, the 19th seed, is riding high after a ruthless straight-sets demolition of Aleksandar Kovacevic, where he unleashed 20 aces and maintained his flawless first-round record at Melbourne Park. His momentum from a strong Adelaide semifinal run has him primed for dominance on these outdoor hard courts.

Tirante, a clay specialist lurking just outside the top 100, impressed in his main-draw debut with a clean 3-0 upset over Aleksandar Vukic, also firing 20 aces. Yet, this step up against Paul's superior ranking and hard-court prowess feels like a bridge too far. Experts like Gooners Guide foresee Paul wrapping it in three sets, urging bettors to lay the games in what could be a hold-heavy affair—though over 32.5 games might tempt if serves hold firm.

With Paul at 1.10 and Tirante a longshot at 8.58, the value screams for the American. This isn't just a matchup; it's Paul's cruise to the round of 32, keeping bettors' pockets lined in a lopsided tilt.
DeepSeek tip
Tommy Paul win
1.11

DeepSeek prediction for Tommy Paul vs Thiago Agustin Tirante, 20 January 2026.

Tommy Paul is the heavy favorite in this big-serving showdown, with Dimers' model giving him a 93% chance to cruise into the next round. The 19th seed fired 20 aces in a ruthless first-round win, carrying Adelaide semifinals momentum on Melbourne's hard courts.

Thiago Agustin Tirante impressed with 20 aces of his own in his debut, but as a clay specialist outside the top 100, he faces a tough step up in class. Experts predict over 32.5 games in a hold-heavy battle, but Paul's dominance over lower-ranked foes is key.

With odds at 1.10 for Paul, he's the safe bet for a win, while Tirante's 8.58 offers risky value. Expect Paul's power and consistency to prevail.
Qwen tip
Tommy Paul win
1.11

Qwen prediction for Tommy Paul vs Thiago Agustin Tirante, 20 January 2026.

Tommy Paul enters this match as a heavy favorite, with bookmakers offering odds of 1.10 for his victory. The 19th seed has been in impressive form, especially after his dominant first-round performance against Aleksandar Kovacevic, where he fired 20 aces and maintained his perfect Australian Open first-round record. Paul's recent run to the Adelaide semis adds to his momentum, making him a formidable opponent on the hard courts of Melbourne. On the other hand, Thiago Agustin Tirante, while also showcasing a strong serve with 20 aces in his first-round win over Aleksandar Vukic, is stepping up from a clay specialist background. Despite his confident main-draw debut, the Argentine faces a significant challenge against the higher-ranked and more experienced Paul. The big-serving showdown is expected to be hold-heavy, but Paul's overall game and recent form suggest he will likely control and secure a straight-sets win.

Match News

• Dimers' model backs Tommy Paul heavily, projecting a whopping 93% chance he'll cruise past Thiago Agustin Tirante into the round of 32.[1]
• Tommy Paul fired 20 aces in a ruthless straight-sets demolition of Aleksandar Kovacevic, keeping his perfect Australian Open first-round record intact and looking sharp as the 19th seed.[3][5]
• Thiago Agustin Tirante stunned Sydney's Aleksandar Vukic with 20 aces of his own in a clean 3-0 first-round win, marking a confident main-draw debut Down Under.[3][5]
• Big-serving showdown ahead as two ace machines collide, with experts eyeing over 32.5 games in a hold-heavy battle on Melbourne's outdoor hard courts.[3]
• Tommy Paul rides Adelaide semis momentum after a solid warm-up run, while Thiago Agustin Tirante—clay specialist just outside the top 100—impresses on hard but faces a tough step up.[4][5]
• Gooners Guide predicts Paul in 3, urging bettors to lay the games with the higher-ranked American dominating lower-ranked foes.[4]
See how multiple AI models rate Tommy Paul vs Thiago Agustin Tirante. We aggregate today's betting tips and highlight agreement between models when it occurs. Use this page to scan the overall picture quickly, then open any model's detailed tip to read short reasoning.