English
English (US)
Betting tips from AI for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 23 December 2025.
AI Consensus
1.78
Home win
5 of 6 AI models pick Toronto Maple Leafs to win at
1.78
ChatGPT tip
Toronto Maple Leafs win
1.78
ChatGPT prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 23 December 2025.
Toronto’s three-game skid is a real story, but the Maple Leafs have consistently found ways to win tight contests — a 7-3-4 mark in one-goal games suggests they close out close affairs while Pittsburgh has been flaky in pressure moments.
Pittsburgh’s overtime woes (2-9-11) and Toronto’s ability to grind out single-goal wins tilt the matchup toward the Leafs, even though Sidney Crosby (20 points) remains a potent threat and the Pens excel when outshot (9-4-4). Bookmakers price Toronto as a slim favorite at 1.98 while Pittsburgh sits at 3.15. For a $1 stake seeking steady return, backing Toronto’s edge in clutch moments is the smart play.
Pittsburgh’s overtime woes (2-9-11) and Toronto’s ability to grind out single-goal wins tilt the matchup toward the Leafs, even though Sidney Crosby (20 points) remains a potent threat and the Pens excel when outshot (9-4-4). Bookmakers price Toronto as a slim favorite at 1.98 while Pittsburgh sits at 3.15. For a $1 stake seeking steady return, backing Toronto’s edge in clutch moments is the smart play.
Gemini tip
Draw
4.30
Gemini prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 23 December 2025.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are under immense pressure, riding a three-game losing skid that has head coach Craig Berube searching for answers. While they've shown resilience in tight contests with a 7-3-4 record in one-goal games, their recent scoring consistency issues are concerning, especially when limited to two goals or fewer. This presents a prime opportunity for the Pittsburgh Penguins, who, despite their dreadful 2-9-11 overtime record, have proven adept at grinding out results, going 9-4-4 when outshot. With Sidney Crosby still leading the charge with 20 points (17 goals, 3 assists), the Penguins excel at defensive efficiency and capitalizing on limited opportunities.
Given Toronto's struggles to generate consistent offense and Pittsburgh's ability to thrive in defensive battles, this matchup screams a tight, low-scoring affair. The odds for a regulation Draw at 4.35 offer significant value, reflecting the likelihood of these two teams battling to a stalemate before any potential overtime heroics.
Given Toronto's struggles to generate consistent offense and Pittsburgh's ability to thrive in defensive battles, this matchup screams a tight, low-scoring affair. The odds for a regulation Draw at 4.35 offer significant value, reflecting the likelihood of these two teams battling to a stalemate before any potential overtime heroics.
Claude tip
Toronto Maple Leafs win
1.78
Claude prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 23 December 2025.
The Toronto Maple Leafs find themselves in a precarious position with a three-game losing streak, but their impressive 7-3-4 record in one-goal games suggests they have the composure to handle tight contests. This could prove decisive against a Pittsburgh team that has struggled mightily in overtime situations (2-9-11).
While the Penguins have shown efficiency when being outshot (9-4-4), Toronto's home ice advantage and the favorable 1.98 odds make them the more attractive bet. Pittsburgh's 3.15 odds might seem tempting, but their overtime struggles are a significant liability.
Sidney Crosby's 17 goals provide Pittsburgh with star power, but Toronto's need to break their losing streak should fuel a more complete team performance. The Maple Leafs' struggles when scoring two or fewer goals highlight the importance of their offense finding rhythm, which I believe they will against a Penguins team that has shown defensive vulnerabilities.
While the Penguins have shown efficiency when being outshot (9-4-4), Toronto's home ice advantage and the favorable 1.98 odds make them the more attractive bet. Pittsburgh's 3.15 odds might seem tempting, but their overtime struggles are a significant liability.
Sidney Crosby's 17 goals provide Pittsburgh with star power, but Toronto's need to break their losing streak should fuel a more complete team performance. The Maple Leafs' struggles when scoring two or fewer goals highlight the importance of their offense finding rhythm, which I believe they will against a Penguins team that has shown defensive vulnerabilities.
Grok tip
Toronto Maple Leafs win
1.78
Grok prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 23 December 2025.
The Toronto Maple Leafs face the Pittsburgh Penguins in a pivotal NHL clash on December 23, 2025, with Toronto desperate to snap a nagging three-game losing streak that's testing coach Craig Berube's mettle amid the holiday chaos. At 1.98, the Leafs are slight favorites, and I see value there despite their recent woes—their 7-3-4 record in one-goal thrillers screams resilience in nail-biters, a edge over Pittsburgh's shaky 10 points in similar spots.
Pittsburgh, sitting at 3.15, boasts Sidney Crosby's scorching 20 points (17 goals, just 3 assists) as their offensive heartbeat, but their overtime nightmares—a brutal 2-9-11 mark—could unravel them if this turns into a grinder. The Pens do shine when outshot (9-4-4), thriving on defensive grit, yet Toronto's urgency to ignite their scoring depth, hampered lately (0-2-2 with one goal, 3-5-2 with two), tips the scales.
Betting $1 on Toronto feels like a smart play; their close-game prowess should deliver a gritty win, burying the skid and boosting holiday spirits for Leafs Nation.
Pittsburgh, sitting at 3.15, boasts Sidney Crosby's scorching 20 points (17 goals, just 3 assists) as their offensive heartbeat, but their overtime nightmares—a brutal 2-9-11 mark—could unravel them if this turns into a grinder. The Pens do shine when outshot (9-4-4), thriving on defensive grit, yet Toronto's urgency to ignite their scoring depth, hampered lately (0-2-2 with one goal, 3-5-2 with two), tips the scales.
Betting $1 on Toronto feels like a smart play; their close-game prowess should deliver a gritty win, burying the skid and boosting holiday spirits for Leafs Nation.
DeepSeek tip
Toronto Maple Leafs win
1.78
DeepSeek prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 23 December 2025.
Toronto Maple Leafs face pressure from a three-game losing streak, but their 7-3-4 record in one-goal games shows clutch potential against Pittsburgh's overtime woes (2-9-11). Sidney Crosby's leadership for the Penguins at 3.15 odds offers upset value, yet Toronto's ability to thrive in tight contests, coupled with 1.98 odds as slight favorites, makes them the smart bet to snap the skid at home.
Pittsburgh excels when outshot (9-4-4), but Toronto's scoring consistency issues may be mitigated by their defensive focus in a pivotal holiday matchup. Expect a close game where the Leafs' experience in narrow victories proves decisive.
Pittsburgh excels when outshot (9-4-4), but Toronto's scoring consistency issues may be mitigated by their defensive focus in a pivotal holiday matchup. Expect a close game where the Leafs' experience in narrow victories proves decisive.
Qwen tip
Toronto Maple Leafs win
1.78
Qwen prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 23 December 2025.
The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this matchup against the Pittsburgh Penguins with a mix of urgency and concern, given their current three-game losing streak. While head coach Craig Berube faces mounting pressure, Toronto's ability to excel in close contests (7-3-4 in one-goal games) provides a glimmer of hope. The Penguins, however, have been inconsistent in overtime (2-9-11), which could neutralize Toronto's edge in tight games.
Sidney Crosby's leadership has been invaluable for Pittsburgh, contributing 20 points this season, but Toronto's recent offensive struggles when limited to two goals or fewer (0-2-2 with one goal, 3-5-2 with two) are a glaring red flag. Despite these issues, Toronto holds a slight edge at home, reflected in their odds of 1.98 compared to Pittsburgh's 3.15.
Pittsburgh’s resilience when outshot (9-4-4 record) suggests they can withstand Toronto’s attempts to control possession. However, Toronto’s desperation to snap their losing streak may push them to elevate their game. Given these dynamics, the Maple Leafs' home advantage and tendency to perform well in close games make them the more likely winner, though bettors should tread cautiously due to their inconsistency.
Sidney Crosby's leadership has been invaluable for Pittsburgh, contributing 20 points this season, but Toronto's recent offensive struggles when limited to two goals or fewer (0-2-2 with one goal, 3-5-2 with two) are a glaring red flag. Despite these issues, Toronto holds a slight edge at home, reflected in their odds of 1.98 compared to Pittsburgh's 3.15.
Pittsburgh’s resilience when outshot (9-4-4 record) suggests they can withstand Toronto’s attempts to control possession. However, Toronto’s desperation to snap their losing streak may push them to elevate their game. Given these dynamics, the Maple Leafs' home advantage and tendency to perform well in close games make them the more likely winner, though bettors should tread cautiously due to their inconsistency.
Match News
• Toronto's Losing Streak Weighs Heavy: The Maple Leafs enter this matchup riding a three-game losing skid, putting additional pressure on head coach Craig Berube as the team struggles to find consistency during the holiday stretch.
• Pittsburgh's Overtime Woes: The Penguins have been particularly vulnerable in extra time this season, posting a dismal 2-9-11 record in overtime contests, a significant weakness that could prove costly in tight games.
• Toronto's One-Goal Mastery: Despite recent struggles, the Maple Leafs have been remarkably effective in close contests, compiling a 7-3-4 record in games decided by a single goal—a potential advantage against a Penguins team that has earned just 10 points in similar situations.
• Penguins Thrive When Outshooting Opponents: Pittsburgh has demonstrated strong performance when being outshot, going 9-4-4 in 17 games where they faced more shots, suggesting they excel at defensive efficiency and capitalizing on limited opportunities.
• Toronto's Scoring Consistency Issue: The Maple Leafs have struggled when limited to two goals or fewer, posting a combined 0-2-2 record in games with just one goal and 3-5-2 when scoring exactly two, highlighting their need for offensive depth.
• Sidney Crosby Leads Pittsburgh: The Penguins' captain continues to anchor the team with 20 points (17 goals, 3 assists), providing veteran leadership and offensive firepower in a matchup against a Toronto team searching for answers.
• Pittsburgh's Overtime Woes: The Penguins have been particularly vulnerable in extra time this season, posting a dismal 2-9-11 record in overtime contests, a significant weakness that could prove costly in tight games.
• Toronto's One-Goal Mastery: Despite recent struggles, the Maple Leafs have been remarkably effective in close contests, compiling a 7-3-4 record in games decided by a single goal—a potential advantage against a Penguins team that has earned just 10 points in similar situations.
• Penguins Thrive When Outshooting Opponents: Pittsburgh has demonstrated strong performance when being outshot, going 9-4-4 in 17 games where they faced more shots, suggesting they excel at defensive efficiency and capitalizing on limited opportunities.
• Toronto's Scoring Consistency Issue: The Maple Leafs have struggled when limited to two goals or fewer, posting a combined 0-2-2 record in games with just one goal and 3-5-2 when scoring exactly two, highlighting their need for offensive depth.
• Sidney Crosby Leads Pittsburgh: The Penguins' captain continues to anchor the team with 20 points (17 goals, 3 assists), providing veteran leadership and offensive firepower in a matchup against a Toronto team searching for answers.
See how multiple AI models rate Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins. We aggregate today's
betting tips and highlight agreement between models when it occurs. Use this page to scan the overall
picture quickly, then open any model's detailed tip to read short reasoning.