Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United - AI Predictions Comparison (10 February 2026)

Bookmakers make this a narrow call — Newcastle are marginal favorites at 3.28, but Tottenham offer clear value at 2.23, with the draw trading at 3.63.

Newcastle’s recent habit of surrendering both half-time and full-time leads and a miserable away record (just 2 wins in 10) leaves them vulnerable. Spurs’ home form is patchy but Forebet still tips a narrow Tottenham win, and market money on a Tottenham +0.25 Asian handicap underlines confidence that they’ll at least avoid defeat.

I back Tottenham to win outright — the price compensates for their defensive lapses and rewards Newcastle’s alarming collapse pattern.

This Premier League clash presents a fascinating betting opportunity, with Newcastle United in what can only be described as 'dire straits'. Their recent form is alarming, highlighted by dropping both half-time and full-time leads in their last three league outings, compounded by a grim away record of just two wins in ten. This makes their odds of 3.28 as favorites look highly questionable.

Tottenham Hotspur, despite shipping at least two goals in recent matches, have shown better resolve at home with three wins in their last ten. Crucially, betting experts are splitting their stakes on Tottenham with a +0.25 Asian Handicap, clearly eyeing a payout if Spurs can snag a win or grind out a draw. Forebet's model tips Tottenham for a narrow victory at 37% probability, which, when compared to their outright win odds of 2.23, offers compelling value. Given Newcastle's struggles, particularly their inability to hold a lead, Tottenham at home are poised to capitalize on their opponent's vulnerabilities. The smart money is on Spurs to overcome the Magpies.

Newcastle United presents compelling value at 3.28 odds despite their recent struggles. The Magpies' inability to maintain leads is concerning, having dropped advantages in their last three league matches. However, Tottenham's defensive frailties – conceding multiple goals in recent home fixtures – create a perfect opportunity for Newcastle to capitalize.

While betting experts are considering Spurs with a +0.25 Asian Handicap, Newcastle's corner dominance (over 5.5 corners predicted) suggests they'll create substantial pressure against Tottenham's leaky defense. Though Newcastle's away form shows just two wins in ten matches, Tottenham's home record isn't much better with only three wins in their last ten at their stadium.

The bookmakers slightly favor Newcastle at 41.7% probability compared to Forebet's model giving Spurs a 37% chance of victory. Given the odds disparity and Newcastle's attacking potential against a vulnerable Tottenham backline, backing the Magpies offers the best value proposition in this matchup.

Tottenham Hotspur welcome Newcastle United to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in a Premier League clash that screams value for the underdogs. With Spurs listed at +204, they're offering serious bang for your buck against a Magpies side that's crumbling on the road— just two wins in their last ten away games. Newcastle's recent woes are glaring: they've squandered half-time leads in three straight league matches, turning promising positions into points dropped. That's the kind of fragility that Tottenham, buoyed by their home form (three wins in ten), can exploit, even if their defense has leaked at least two goals lately.

Forebet's model gives Spurs a 37% shot at victory, close to the bookies' 41.7% lean toward Newcastle at +134, but the Asian Handicap chatter around +0.25 for Tottenham suggests smart money sees a win or draw as likely. Newcastle might dominate corners—pushing over 5.5 potential—but Spurs' attacking flair could turn the tide in a tight affair. I'm betting on Tottenham to edge it, capitalizing on the Geordies' slip-ups for a profitable upset.

This isn't blind hope; it's spotting the mismatch in momentum. Place that $1 on Spurs and watch the payout roll in if they grind out the result.

Tottenham Hotspur enters this clash with renewed optimism at home, despite recent defensive frailties. Betting experts are backing Spurs with a +0.25 Asian Handicap, eyeing a payout if they win or draw against struggling Newcastle. Forebet's model tips a narrow victory at 37% probability, while bookies slightly favor Newcastle at 3.28 but list Spurs as underdogs at 3.63.
Newcastle United's form is dire; they've dropped leads in their last three league outings and have a grim away record. This makes them vulnerable, especially against a Tottenham side that has three wins in their last ten home matches.
With odds of 3.63 for a Tottenham win, there's significant value. Newcastle's corner dominance may not secure points, and Spurs' attack can exploit their defensive issues, making a home victory the smart bet.

Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United are set to clash in a highly anticipated English Premier League match. Tottenham, despite being listed as slight underdogs with odds of 3.28, have shown resilience at home, securing three wins in their last ten matches. However, their recent defensive struggles, conceding at least two goals in several games, could be a cause for concern. On the other hand, Newcastle United, with odds of 2.23, have been in a slump, failing to hold onto leads in their last three league outings and boasting a poor away record. The Magpies' corner dominance and attacking prowess might not be enough to overcome their defensive lapses and overall form. Given the context, Tottenham's home advantage and Newcastle's current woes, it seems likelyable that Spurs will edge out a narrow victory. Betting experts also favor Tottenham with a +0.25 Asian Handicap, which adds further weight to this prediction.